Have you heard that this bull market is only being driven by Large-cap Tech?

Well, what if Small-cap Tech broke out of this multi-year base to new all-time highs?

What then?

Would it still be just Large-cap Tech?

Here's what the index looks like and, by definition, it excludes any of the so called "Mag7" and any other Mega-cap stocks that are perhaps helping to drive other indexes.

From the Desk of Ian Culley @IanCulley

The talking heads are forecasting choppy market conditions and a significant correction for Q3.

News flash: The market has been messy for months. And we already experienced a stealth correction beneath the surface.

I’ll keep an open mind, but if commodity currencies start breaking out…

Forget about it!

Stocks have weathered the US dollar’s recent rally. 

Imagine how they’ll perform once the dollar rolls over, especially against risk-on currencies like the New Zealand dollar.

Check out the NSD/USD pair coiling within a symmetrical triangle after retesting its 2020 low:

I’m not a fan of symmetrical triangles, as I’ve found measuring risk with diagonal boundaries far less reliable than horizontal support/...

In today’s Daily Digest, we’ll review the following:

1. No new positions today.
2. Adjustment to QQQ position.
3. No exits since the last report.
4. Current status of open campaigns.

Let’s dig in!

The most significant insider buy on today's list comes via a 13G filing by Philippe Laffont’s Coatue Management L.L.C.

The investment firm revealed an initial stake of 9.20% in bitcoin miner Hut 8 Mining Corp $HUT.

RA Capital Management LP also reported an original stake of 5.90% in Recursion Pharmaceuticals Inc $RXRX in a 13G filing..

Here’s The Hot Corner, with data through July 8, 2024:

Wellington Management Company revealed a new passive stake in TPG Inc $TPG of 10.16%

Wellington also reported an increase in its Customers Bancorp $CUBI position from 5.41% to 10.18%.

The relative strength from bitcoin miners has been off the charts, as they continue to trend higher in an otherwise tough tape for the broader crypto space.

Here’s Hut 8 Corp $HUT on the verge of completing a two-year bearish-to-bullish reversal pattern.

Crypto markets have continued their sell-off into last week, with Bitcoin losing the critical 60,000 support level and the total crypto market-cap briefly dipping below $2T for the first time since February.

From the Desk of Ian Culley @IanCulley

It doesn’t matter whether we’re talking about markets or summer vacations –  I always avoid the crowds and aim to beat the heat.

No lines. No traffic. No fake, overpriced food.

It also means dropping those hot semiconductor names and reaching for silver mining stocks…

July is by far the best month of the year for gold’s crazy cousin. And it’s not even close:

Unsurprisingly, silver futures gained roughly seven percent last week. They also eclipsed the previous month's high and printed their highest weekly close since January 2013 – a stellar way to start the month.

On the flip side, June takes the cake as Silver’s most challenging month of the year.

And what did Silver do last month?

It only fell by three percent, finding support at a critical shelf of former highs:

Silver futures are down almost three percent today alone. No biggie. 

From the desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza

We held our July Monthly Strategy Session last week. Premium Members can access and rewatch it here.

Non-members can get a quick recap of the call simply by reading this post each month.

By focusing on long-term, monthly charts, the idea is to take a step back and put things into the context of their structural trends. This is easily one of our most valuable exercises as it forces us to put aside the day-to-day noise and simply examine markets from a “big-picture” point of view.

With that as our backdrop, let’s dive right in and discuss three of the most important charts and/or themes from this month’s call.

The bull market is on, baby!

But if we expect it to continue, then we're going to need to see some rotation into some new sectors to bring fresh cash into the market and keep the wave going.

One sector that my Analysts feel has the potential to pick up the slack is Precious Metals. And the name that Steve Strazza and I discussed on today's Flow Show has the potential to ride the sector wave as well as play catch up to its big brother Gold.

Here's a chart of Wheaton Metals Corp $WPM:

It doesn’t matter whether we’re talking about markets or summer vacations –  I always avoid the crowds and aim to beat the heat.

No lines. No traffic. No fake, overpriced food.

It also means dropping those hot semiconductor names and reaching for silver mining stocks…

From the Desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza and Alfonso Depablos @AlfCharts

Welcome to the Hot Corner Insider Weekly Report!

As you know, we spend a lot of time tracking insider activity to come up with this universe.

But that’s only half the battle!

Once we identify the names insiders are targeting, we overlay our expert technical analysis to see if the market agrees with their actions.

While we track some of the most powerful and well-informed market participants… we aren’t just going to follow them blindly into their trades.

We want to see that the insider activity is confirmed by the trend before we get involved. 

When we can check both of these boxes, we identify asymmetric risk/reward setups, and then jump in...

In today’s Daily Digest, we’ll review the following:

1. No new positions today.
2. Adjustment to GDXJ position.
3. No exits since the last report.
4. Current status of open campaigns.

Let’s dig in!

I don't know if you heard, but Jeff Bezos is reportedly selling $5 Billion worth of $AMZN stock.

And I'm being told how bearish this is and why we need to sell all our Amazon stock as well.

"He knows something, which is why he's selling so much of his stock"

In my experience, this bad take is only because some people think $5 Billion is a lot of money.

And maybe it is to you.

But $5 Billion is almost zero when it comes to someone like Jeff Bezos.

Bear with me for a second, let me put y'all on game.

The most significant insider buy on today's list comes via a Form 4 filing by AP Moller Holdings.

The Danish investment company reported the acquisition of 300,000 shares of Noble Corporation $NE, equivalent to $13.2 million.

Durable Capital Partners LP filed a 13G for Doximity Inc $DOCS revealing an initial stake of 5.10%.

Here’s The Hot Corner, with data through July 5, 2024:

The CFO of Dave & Buster's Entertainment Inc $PLAY bought 13,578 shares of the restaurant stock.

NE is consolidating in a well-defined range within the context of an underlying uptrend.

However, the stock has done nothing for over a year now, still trading around the same level it was in early 2023.

The 200-day moving average has been flat for the past year, confirming the absence of any real trend.

With momentum (...

This is the weekly post that aggregates all the charts we put together throughout the week and organizes them all into one, easy to flip through deck.

With the S&P500 and Nasdaq closing at new all-time highs this week, the questions remain:

Is this sustainable?

Does the rally have legs?

Can this bull market continue?

Before I get to what I think is the most bullish thing that can possibly happen to this market, I have one sector I'd like to focus on quickly.

This is the S&P Industrials Index, which historically has the highest positive correlation with the S&P500 of all the S&P sectors.

Is this just a consolidation within an ongoing uptrend in a leadership group? Or is this a double top that's about to come tumbling down?

Stocks needed a correction.

And they got it.

Most stocks haven't made much progress since the middle of Q1. It's now July. They've been through a much needed digestion of prior gains.

Remember how epic that rally in Q4 was last year? And then it spilled over into January and early February this year.

But then came the correction.

A good look here is the Equally-weighted Nasdaq100 going out at new all-time highs on Friday, after 4 months of no progress: