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Investors Ice the Bond Market Rally

June 7, 2024

From the Desk of Ian Culley @IanCulley

G7 central banks are cutting rates – first Canada and now the European Union.

Will the Federal Reserve follow suit in the coming months?

Investors seem to think so…

US 30-year T-bond futures have posted positive returns six days in a row – their longest winning streak since April last year.

T-bonds also broke above a key polarity zone, triggering our buy signals from last month:

I’ve made clear my disdain for buying treasuries, so the long bond trade will likely be a winner. After all, the best trades are often the hardest to take.

But price is sliding back below our risk level following the May nonfarm payroll data. And a yearlong downtrend line continues to act as resistance. Until T-bond futures break through resistance, the downtrend remains intact,...

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Copper’s Sharp Drop Shocks the Bulls

June 7, 2024

From the Desk of Ian Culley @IanCulley

Copper Springs into Action… Buyers Dig Copper… Copper, F%$# Yeah!

Those are a few titles I spitballed last night. But the markets wouldn’t have it.

This morning, the overall theme of the metals space turned on its head, trashing my bullish bias.

To be clear, I still have a favorable outlook for base and precious metals over longer time frames…

Yet we’re all forced to navigate the near-term selling pressure. 

 

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[Options Premium] Buying Cheap Volatility on Ebay

June 7, 2024

It's been a minute since I've bought anything on eBay. But, by the look of the chart, I must be the outlier as it appears there is still good business there and market participants appear to agree.

Here's what my Analysts had to say about $EBAY in a recent 2 to 100 Club report:

eBay is completing a rounding bottom reversal as it reclaims the 38.2% retracement level. This level has acted as resistance multiple times in the past, making it a great place to define our risk. If this breakout sticks, the primary trend is higher, and we want to be long against the 53 level.

On a relative basis, the stock is working its way higher out of a bearish-to-bullish reversal pattern versus its peers. If the reversal pattern is completed on absolute terms, we expect the stock to outperform its peers over longer timeframes.

We want to buy EBAY above 53, with a target of 64 over the coming 2-4 months.

Here's a visual of that chart:

 

Hassan Khosrowshahi Reports a $2.8 Million RSVR Buy

June 7, 2024

From the Desk of Steve Strazza and Alfonso Depablos

The most significant insider buy on today's list comes via a Form 4 filing by the Iranian business magnate and investor Hassan Khosrowshahi.

Khosrowshahi reported a purchase of $2.8 million in Reservoir Media Inc $RSVR.

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Hassan Khosrowshahi Reports a $2.8 Million RSVR Buy

June 7, 2024

From the Desk of Steve Strazza and Alfonso Depablos

The most significant insider buy on today’s list comes via a Form 4 filing by the Iranian business magnate and investor Hassan Khosrowshahi.

Khosrowshahi reported a purchase of $2.8 million in Reservoir Media Inc $RSVR.

Let's Find The Next $100B Company

June 6, 2024

Years ago my friend Howard Lindzon calls me and says, "JC we need to find the next $100 Billion company".

And of course I respond with, "Hell yea we do!"

"But wait. How do we do that?"

He laughed and told me to get with my team of analysts and figure it out.

So we did.

We reversed engineered what it would take for a company to be able to scale to $100 Billion in market capitalization.

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2 to 100 Club (06-05-2024)

June 6, 2024

From the Desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza

Welcome to The 2 to 100 Club.

As most of you know, we use various bottom-up tools and scans to complement our top-down approach.

It's really been working for us!

One way we're doing this is by identifying the strongest growth stocks as they climb the market-cap ladder from small- to mid- to large- and, ultimately, to mega-cap status (over $200B).

Once they graduate from small-cap to mid-cap status (over $2B), they come on our radar. Likewise, when they surpass the roughly $30B mark, they roll off our list.

But the scan doesn't just end there.

We only want to look at the strongest growth industries in the market, as that is typically where these potential 50-baggers come from.

Some of the best performers in recent decades – stocks like Priceline, Amazon, Netflix, Salesforce, and myriad others – would have been on this list at some point during their journey to becoming the market...

No, I Will Not Add to This Loser

June 5, 2024

I received a well-meaning question from one of our clients today regarding an open position.

This client missed getting into the trade a couple of months ago.

Paraphrasing her question, she asked, “Since the stock is still above your stop loss level, would it make sense to buy the dip here, and/or would you add to your position here?”

Again, it's a well-meaning question – one I’m sure we all often wrestle with.

The problem, however, is that the position isn’t acting well. It’s a longer-term trade for us and still has a ways to go until options expiration, but the stock is currently trading well below the level at which we first got in.

In the chart below, you can see where we entered at the purple circle:

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[Options Premium] We're Putting This Trade ON.

June 5, 2024

Consumer Discretionary stocks are on our radar. And for today's trade, we're going abroad and finding a stock that has both a great setup and is also starting to become a fashion "story" here in the U.S.

Just about anyone I've talked to about sneakers recently has mentioned this brand. It is quickly becoming a favorite. I don't currently own a pair, but if this trade pays, then perhaps I'll go buy a pair with my profits :)

Director Fahmi Buys 2,000 Shares of NSC

June 5, 2024

From the Desk of Steve Strazza and Alfonso Depablos

The most significant insider buy on today's list comes via a Form 4 filing by Norfolk Southern Corporation $NSC director Sameh Fahmi.

Fahmi reported the acquisition of 2,000 shares of NSC, equivalent to $444,355.