From the Desk of Steve Strazza and Alfonso Depablos

The largest insider buy on today’s list comes via a handful of filings by Michael K. Hooks, executive chair of Malibu Boats Inc $MBUU.

Hooks reported a purchase of $535,250 on his one stock.

From the Desk of Ian Culley @IanCulley

The market is punishing investors for owning gold mining stocks.

Sure, a handful of gold miners are holding above key levels.

Buenaventura S.A.A. $BVN, Orla Mining $ORLA, and Harmony Gold $HMY belong to this elite group of outperformers.

But that’s about it.

I’m not giving these trades too much room. And I’m not piling into new long positions. Not yet! 

Here’s why…

Gold mining stocks continue to print fresh lows versus the broader market.

Check out the VanEck Gold Miners ETF $GDX relative to the S&P 500 ETF $SPY:

Since its inception in 2006, GDX has never traded at this much of a discount to the S&P 500. This is the exact opposite of what we would see if gold and other precious metals were in an uptrend.

The strongest trending assets outperform their alternatives. 

On the other hand, precious metals are exhibiting relative weakness – a clear sign of a severe downtrend.

Investors are more interested in buying NVIDIA Corp. $NVDA and Super Micro Computer $SMCI.

No one wants to own shares of companies that dig in the...

Small-caps have had a really hard time this year.

Almost every Small-cap sector is down since the highs in late December. That was 2 months ago.

The day the US Dollar Index bottomed was the exact day that Small-caps stopped going up in price.

That was also the same day that the US 10yr Yield bottomed.

I don't believe that was a coincidence.

You're welcome to.

What I see is a group of stocks struggling to make any progress. It's hard to underperform the Small-cap indexes, but somehow Financials found a way.

Here are Small-cap Financials, which are loaded up with regional bank stocks, rolling over and making new 4-month lows relative to the Small-cap 600 Index.

Good morning,

Welcome to your daily crypto clarity

WHAT’S HAPPENING

Bulls are in control of the tape, both in legacy markets and in crypto. It seems the market has brushed off a number of potentially bearish data points in the context of a seasonally weak period, and have continued to stair step higher.

KEY STORIES

Mantle token hits all-time high amid increased interest in Layer 2s - The Block

MicroStrategy’s X Account Hacked, Leads to $440K Crypto Being Stolen - ...

From the Desk of Steve Strazza and Alfonso Depablos

The largest insider buy on today’s list comes via a handful of filings by Michael K. Hooks, executive chair of Malibu Boats Inc $MBUU.

Hooks reported a purchase of $535,250 on his one stock.

Crypto markets continue to work their way higher, with Ethereum closing last week up +8% following a notable rally in weekend hours. The trend for crypto assets remains unequivocally higher, as we’ve alluded to in the past. As Nvidia beat earnings estimates, the equity market indexes have continued to rally higher, ignoring a number of bearish data points in the context of a seasonally weak period. It appears as if the bulls have full control of this tape.

A lot of people are making a ton of money right now in Crypto Markets.

Bitcoin hit new 52-week highs this week.

Ethereum made a new 52-week high TODAY.

And my CryptoPunk is up over 170% in just 4 months.

To be clear, this internet picture I own is up over $100,000 in just a few months.

This is the weekly post that aggregates all the charts we put together throughout the week and organizes them all into one, easy to flip through deck.

Are you paying attention?

This market is not like the one we were in back in November.

Have you adapted to this environment?

Or are you still doing the same things you were doing 3 months ago?

Take a look at High Beta vs Low Volatility going out for the week at the lowest levels since mid-January:

From the Desk of Ian Culley @IanCulley

Commodities are making moves.

Cotton is forming a bull flag following last week’s breakout. Coffee futures are coiling below a critical polarity zone. Cattle and hogs are running wild. Even Dr.Copper is perking up, posting positive returns over the trailing five days.

And don’t forget about cocoa futures as they continue to print fresh all-time highs. 

With all this action heating up, let’s turn our attention to one of 2021’s most explosive markets…

Lumber.

Remember all the lumber memes on Twitter?

Dudes were posting their W’s sitting atop stacks of 2x4s and plywood. I’ll never forget it. 

As a trader, I prefer to avoid lumber futures. It’s a thin market. But I can’t ignore the yearlong base forming on the daily chart:

...

This is the video recording of the February 2024 Mid-month Conference Call.

From the Desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza

Our Hall of Famers list is composed of the 150 largest US-based stocks.

These stocks range from the mega-cap growth behemoths like Apple and Microsoft – with market caps in excess of $2T – to some of the new-age large-cap disruptors such as Moderna, Square, and Snap.

It has all the big names and more.

It doesn’t include ADRs or any stock not domiciled in the US. But don’t worry; we developed a separate universe for that. Click here to check it out.

The Hall of Famers is simple.

We take our list of 150 names and then apply our technical filters so the strongest stocks with the most momentum rise to the top.

Let’s dive right in and check out what these big boys are up to.

Here’s this week’s list:

*Click table to enlarge view

We filter out any laggards that are down -5% or more relative to the S&P 500 over the trailing month.

Then, we sort the...

You know the old saying that Bull Markets are more fun than Bear Markets?

It's true.

And not because you can't make money in a bear market. You can. In fact, you usually make money much faster in bear markets. That's just how the market behaves.

But the truth is that bull markets are definitely more fun.

I can tell you from first hand experience over the years. The parties in bull markets are more fun and they are more frequent, than in bear markets.

Last night was definitely a bull market party. Josh Brown turned 46 and I turned 42.

Strazza even flew up to New York for the festivities.

With bullish setups continuing to climb this week, I like the cushion this gives me to continue putting on some bearish bets to help smooth out any possible portfolio volatility that may be on the horizon.

Today's bearish "hedge" is a short bet in a technology name that is most definitely not keeping up with its peers.

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In today's Daily Digest, we'll review:

1. No new positions today.
2. Rolled XBI position into April for credit.
3. Closed ARKK at profit target.
4. Current status of open campaigns.

Let's dig in!

From the Desk of Steve Strazza and Alfonso Depablos

The largest insider buy on today’s list comes via a handful of filings by Maplebear Inc $CART director Ravi Gupta. 

Gupta reported a total purchase of $57 million in CART.

From the Desk of Ian Culley @IanCulley

Commodities are making moves.

Cotton is forming a bull flag following last week’s breakout. Coffee futures are coiling below a critical polarity zone. Cattle and hogs are running wild. Even Dr.Copper is perking up, posting positive returns over the trailing five days.

And don’t forget about cocoa futures as they continue to print fresh all-time highs. 

With all this action heating up, let’s turn our attention to one of 2021’s most explosive markets…

Lumber.

Remember all the lumber memes on Twitter?

Dudes were posting their W’s sitting atop stacks of 2x4s and plywood. I’ll never forget it. 

As a trader, I prefer to avoid lumber futures. It’s a thin market. But I can’t ignore the yearlong base forming on the daily chart:

Buyers are running into resistance at a shelf of former highs. A decisive close above 588.0 (Dec. closing high) flashes a buy signal.

Last year’s high stands as a logical initial target at approximately 650.0. 

If lumber is in your wheelhouse, have a go. I won’t be taking this trade. It’s not for me.

Instead, I’m more...

Many swing traders and investors are currently sitting on a First Class problem. But it’s a problem, nonetheless.

These traders are sitting in positions with huge open profits.

I can use NVDA as an example. But there are many, many big winning trends still acting well.

Those of us who like to style ourselves as Trend Followers will soon be faced with a difficult decision – how and when to determine when a trend has ended.

It’s easy in hindsight to look at a chart and spot the moment a trend was invalidated and an optimal exit price is clear. But in real-time, it’s not so easy. In fact, it’s impossible. Because contrary to popular belief, no trader can reliably and consistently predict the future.

But the stakes...

Good morning,

Welcome to your daily crypto clarity

WHAT’S HAPPENING

it was a quiet day yesterday, with Bitcoin and Ethereum were flat today, while many smaller altcoins posted losses. This came after the ETFs saw their first set of outflows in a few weeks. Meanwhile, technology stocks marched higher off the back of Nvidia's positive earnings. 

KEY STORIES

Crypto Exchange Kraken Files to Dismiss SEC Lawsuit Against It - CoinDesk

Worldcoin, Nvidia Hit Record Highs as AI Hype Fuels Crypto and Stock Market Rally - ...

From the Desk of Ian Culley @IanCulley

Fed Chair Jerome Powell continues to rule the markets with an iron fist, mercilessly punishing any who doubt his supreme will. 

Or maybe I should stop daydreaming at my desk. 

Either way, this little fantasy is a helluva lot more entertaining than the monotonous uptrend in US Treasury yields. 

But I’ve found boredom – when not taken seriously – can lead to neglect.

That’s where process steps in to save the day. 

It’s hard for the market to catch us off guard if we’re constantly reviewing the charts.

And these next two bond charts demand our full attention…

First, the High Yield Bond ETF $HYG relative to the US Treasury Bond ETF $IEI: 

It’s an oldie but a goodie. I look at this chart every single day. 

It’s that important – not just to the bond market, but the entire marketplace, including stocks and...