From the Desk of Kimmy Sokoloff

We have data coming out at 8:30 a.m. ET that could potentially move this market.

Not much is striking me today.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average is the world's most important stock market index.

While many think the "pros" use the S&P500 because they may be benchmarked to it, those "pros" are not your problem.

DON'T FIGHT PAPA DOW, is how I learned it.

If you get the Dow 30 right, you'll get the S&P500 right.

And if you're going to do a sum of the parts analysis, would you rather try to get the direction of 30 stocks right? Or 500?

With the S&P500 already hitting new 52-week highs, do you think the Dow is next?

They look the same don't they?

From the Desk of Kimmy Sokoloff

I said this morning that if we break the 440 level on $SPY we can see 438.

We hit 437, then we bounced.

We'll see what tomorrow brings.

The next new position in our Paid-to-Play portfolio is:

The largest insider buy on today’s list comes in a Form 4 filing by Bihua Chen on behalf of Helix Holdings LLC.

Helix revealed an additional purchase of $40 million in MoonLake Immunotherapeutics $MLTX.

From the Desk of Kimmy Sokoloff

$SPY is consolidating up at the 440 level. Should we break it, we can see 438.

The market is digesting the minutes from the June Fed meeting that were released yesterday, and the odds of a rate hike at the July 25-26 meeting have increased.

This is the video recording of the July 5, 2023, Hot Corner Insider Weekly Strategy Session.

This is the video recording of our July 5th Monthly Charts Live Strategy Session

From the Desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza

Welcome to The 2 to 100 Club.

As many of you know, something we've been working on internally is using various bottom-up tools and scans to complement our top-down approach.

It's really been working for us!

One way we're doing this is by identifying the strongest growth stocks as they climb the market-cap ladder from small- to mid- to large- and, ultimately, to mega-cap status (over $200B).

Once they graduate from small-cap to mid-cap status (over $2B), they come on our radar. Likewise, when they surpass the roughly $30B mark, they roll off our list.

But the scan doesn't just end there.

We only want to look at the strongest growth industries in the market, as that is typically where these potential 50-baggers come from.

Some of the best performers in recent decades – stocks like Priceline, Amazon, Netflix, Salesforce, and myriad others – would have been on this list at some point during their...

Me and Steve Strazza are currently aboard an airplane to Singapore for the beginning of our 21-day trip throughout Southeast Asia.

We're headed there to meet traders, chartists, and locals to learn how others approach risk.

And one thing that is on my mind is: "Where are we going to stay?"

This feels right as today's trade of the day often answers this question for many travelers.

From the Desk of Ian Culley @IanCulley

First stop, Singapore!

Steve Strazza and Sean McLaughlin are headed east on a whirlwind tour of Asia.

I must admit, I’m a bit jealous. And I’m not the jealous type!

They’ll visit seven cities over the course of the next month, meeting traders and financial professionals from the tip of the Malay Peninsula all the way to Japan.

I can’t physically travel with them, but I can live vicariously through their stories and videos, and, of course, my charts…

Check out the US dollar/Singapore dollar pair:

It’s not a bad time for Strazza and Sean to be in Singapore with greenbacks in their pockets.

Sure, it’s well off its September 2022 highs.

But it’s challenging the upper bounds of an eight-month range and looks poised to resolve higher.

If and when the USD/SGD breaks above 1.3575, I’m long with an initial target of 1.3875.  

I doubt the USD/SGD will...

From the Desk of Ian Culley

Healthy retest or failed breakout?

These are the scenarios rolling through my mind as I watch the Gold Miners ETF $GDX.

It’s easy to lean toward further weakness based on recent selling pressure and the five-year real yield breaking out to fresh decade highs. 

But who likes easy? I certainly don’t. I doubt gold bugs do, either.  

Luckily, I always defer to price action across multiple time frames for insight. As Brian Shannon always says, “It’s price that pays.”

And in the case of GDX, the charts aren’t as bearish as you might think…

From the Desk of Kimmy Sokoloff

It was a slow day today, as you might expect on a Wednesday after a Tuesday holiday in July, and I believe the rest of the week will be this way.

Looks and feels like most traders have taken the week off.

From the Desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza and Alfonso Depablos @AlfCharts

The new highs list continues to grow as more and more stocks resolve higher from their consolidations.

The word “rotation” is being thrown around a lot these days as value and cyclical groups have risen to the top of the leaderboard over short timeframes.

While the action can be categorized as rotation, I think a better description for what’s taking place is a broadening of the current rally.

Every single sector was higher in the month of June. So it’s not that money is coming out of the leaders as much as it is going into the laggards at an increasing rate.

At the end of the day it’s just semantics. What this expansion in participation means for investors is more bullish chart patterns and more long opportunities.

Let’s talk about some new ones from our Hot Corner universe.

This is the video recording of the July 5, 2023, Hot Corner Insider Weekly Strategy Session.

From the Desk of Ian Culley

Healthy retest or failed breakout?

These are the scenarios rolling through my mind as I watch the Gold Miners ETF $GDX.

It’s easy to lean toward further weakness based on recent selling pressure and the five-year real yield breaking out to fresh decade highs. 

But who likes easy? I certainly don’t. I doubt gold bugs do, either.  

Luckily, I always defer to price action across multiple time frames for insight. As Brian Shannon always says, “It’s price that pays.”

And in the case of GDX, the charts aren’t as bearish as you might think…

Check out the monthly chart of GDX:

GDX closed the month of June above a critical shelf of former highs at approximately 30 despite slipping below that key level earlier in the month.

I find the monthly close constructive for the bullish case. The prospect of a healthy pullback remains viable as long as it holds above that key level.

On the other hand, the notion of a constructive retest loses validity if price undercuts those former highs.

Nevertheless, a look at last week’s candle entertains the possibility of a near-term...

The next new position in our Paid-to-Play portfolio is:

From the Desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza and Alfonso Depablos @AlfCharts

The new highs list continues to grow as more and more stocks resolve higher from their consolidations.

The word “rotation” is being thrown around a lot these days as value and cyclical groups have risen to the top of the leaderboard over short timeframes.

While the action can be categorized as rotation, I think a better description for what’s taking place is a broadening of the current rally.

Every single sector was higher in the month of June. So it’s not that money is coming out of the leaders as much as it is going into the laggards at an increasing rate.

At the end of the day it’s just semantics. What this expansion in participation means for investors is more bullish chart patterns and more long opportunities.

Let’s talk about some new ones from our Hot Corner universe.

Today’s Hot List is a short one.

Director Richard F. LaRoche filed a Form 4 revealing a purchase of 2,100 shares of National HealthCare Corporation $NHC.

From the Desk of Kimmy Sokoloff

The indices are lower this morning.

We have the release of the minutes from the most recent Fed meeting at 2:00 p.m. ET.