From the Desk of Kimmy Sokoloff

New highs for $QQQ once again...

There hasn't been any cooling off for the indices just yet.

We'll see what this week brings.

[12/4: updated stop to 107]

We've been talking a lot lately about the number of stocks setting up to play "catch-up" to this bull market that is only just now starting to get the attention it deserves, in spite of it being nearly 8 months old now, by our measures.

Today's trade is in another one of these setups that continue to work for us ($CAT and $IWM are great, recent examples).

From the Desk of Ian Culley @IanCulley

Gold can’t do all the heavy lifting.

I believe a generational rally for gold has already begun. But my structural outlook hinges on the former 2011 peak.

Gold must hold above that former high, marking the end of the previous secular bull run. 

It’s held this level so far. 

But if gold has any chance of printing new all-time highs as it has versus most major global currencies, it needs a little help from its friends…

I’m talking about the rest of the precious metals space – silver, platinum, and palladium.

Silver is hanging tough as it attempts to reclaim last month’s pivot lows. But this is a lonely bullish data point – one I imagine gold bugs wish they could attribute to palladium.

Check out the Aberdeen Physical Palladium ETF $PALL:

Instead of challenging former support from below, PALL is breaking down to fresh four-year lows. The breakdown in palladium fails to reflect the broad demand for metals I associate with the next secular uptrend in gold.

In short, this is not bull market behavior.

To be clear, I’m not interested in shorting PALL. It...

The next new position in our Paid-to-Play portfolio is:

We had a resting GTC order filled at our profit target in the Paid-to-Play portfolio today:

The most significant transaction on today's list comes in a Form 4 from Diversified Healthcare Trust director Adam Portnoy.

Portnoy revealed a purchase of $14.7 million in DHC.

From the Desk of Kimmy Sokoloff

It's going to be a busy week, with CPI tomorrow and the Fed on Wednesday.

We must be on our toes and trade tactically.

Week starting June 12, 2023 | Edition No. 15 

Our mission at The Buzz is simple: to identify and profit from the most-talked-about stocks on social media. 

Every week, we compile a list of stocks trending tickers that are experiencing a large increase in the investor interest. We use social media data from our partners at Likefolio. 

In each weekly report, we outline 1-3 actionable trades. We also take a closer look at a few other charts from our list. Some weeks will have more actionable setups than others, as we don’t want to force trades. 

With any bottoms-up scan, many of these stocks are at the mercy of the broader market. We will always consider the current market environment when identifying our long/short ideas. 

None of these setups are guaranteed to work. Profitable trading requires you to take small losses and let your winners run. If price closes below our risk levels, we want to take the small loss and move on, to preserve capital for future opportunities. 

As always, feel free to reach out to me at Patrick@thechartreport....

The new 52-week highs list keeps on getting longer.

You can add the S&P500 ETF $SPY to that list now.

Here's what that looks like:

From the Desk of Ian Culley @IanCulley

Commodities are caught in correction mode.

Copper has undercut former support. Crude oil is trading below its former cycle peak. And grain markets can’t catch a bid.

It’s not the most bullish behavior. But remember, price doesn’t travel in a straight line. 

On the bright side, most commodity contracts have stopped going down.

And the future will only become brighter for commodity and stock market bulls if buyers continue to bid up this next stock…

Check out Steel Dynamics $STLD, a $17B steel producer:

STLD has been on our radar for quite some time as it has respected key extension levels while grinding higher.

Notice the 98 level acted as resistance in early 2022. More recently, this level became support. This is the...

From the Desk of Kimmy Sokoloff

It wasn't  the strongest Friday, but $SPY did take out the August high.

Next week will be a big one for data. I still think we can see SPY 422.92 sooner versus later.

From the Desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza and Alfonso Depablos @AlfCharts

Our International Hall of Famers list is composed of the 100 largest US-listed international stocks, or ADRs.

We’ve also sprinkled in some of the largest ADRs from countries that did not make the market cap cut. 

These stocks range from some well-known mega-cap multinationals such as Toyota Motor and Royal Dutch Shell to some large-cap global disruptors such as Sea Ltd and Shopify.

It’s got all the big names and more--but only those that are based outside the US. You can find all the largest US stocks on our orignal Hall of Famers list.

The beauty of these scans is really in their simplicity.

We take the largest names each week and then apply technical filters in a way that the strongest stocks with the most momentum rise to the top.

Based on the market environment, we can also flip the scan on its head and filter for weakness.

Let’s dive in and take a look at some of the most important stocks from around the world.

Here’s this week’s list:

...

From the Desk of Ian Culley @IanCulley

International credit spreads are contracting.

Investors are running from imminent global collapse by reaching for emerging market bonds over risk-free US Treasuries. 

Wait, perhaps I heard it wrong. 

It could have been a US economic collapse. 

Or was it the Chinese yuan replacing the US dollar as the world’s reserve currency?

Honestly, I don't pay much attention to the doom and gloom. (But I do find it amusing.)  

I’m not the only one ignoring the bad vibes.

The markets are also disregarding the fear mongers…

Check out the Emerging Bond ETF (EMB) versus the US Treasuries ETF (IEF) ratio overlaid with the S&P 500 ETF (SPY):

These two lines follow a similar path – a path currently driven by burgeoning risk appetite.

Investors prefer riskier EM bonds over their safer US counterparts as the EMB/IEF ratio prints fresh highs. So it isn’t surprising those risk-on attitudes are spilling over into the S&P 500 $SPY.

It’s...

I have a feeling there will be a large segment of the trader population that hates this trade. And that is precisely why I think it has a good chance of working.

It's Friday. It's late in the day. I won't waste your time with a long preamble. Let's get right to it.

We've adjusted a position in the Paid-to-Play portfolio today:

The most significant transaction on today's list comes in a Form 4 filing by Thomas W. Warsop III, president and chief executive officer of ACI Worldwide Inc $ACIW.

Warsop revealed the acquisition of 43,000 shares of ACIW, equivalent to $1 million.

From the Desk of Kimmy Sokoloff

It's Friday again, and it's options expiration again.

Trading can be harder on days like these, so it's a good idea to trade smaller.

There was an inbound question to me this week regarding adjustments I make on short strangle trades.

For reference: A Short Strangle is a delta-neutral options position that consists of selling equal amounts of out-of-the-money naked puts and calls for a net credit. If everything goes according to plan, the underlying stays in a trading range and I can realize a profit buying back the short options for cheaper than I sold them.

Of course, it doesn’t always work out that simply. Many times, we need to play defense. Defense often involves rolling short options further away from the current price action. In practice, this means buying to close the existing short option and selling a further out-of-the-money option (in the same expiration series) for a combined net debit, which reduces my total net credit in the campaign.

The reader was asking me how I choose my “take...

From the Desk of Kimmy Sokoloff

Even though the indices trended higher today, it felt like we weren't moving at all.

Tomorrow is Friday, and for the past few weeks they've been running the market higher.