What will it take for gold to make new all-time highs?
A weaker US dollar and falling real yields are likely candidates for leading catalysts.
We can also add a significant unwind in commercial positioning to the list.
Meanwhile, it’s a range-bound mess.
Let’s stick to the basics. Uptrends – at the core – come down to more buyers than sellers. And risk-on/risk-off intermarket ratios provide excellent tools for tracking whether bulls or bears dominate a particular market.
After the recent bout of selling pressure, one precious metal risk ratio is approaching a potential inflection point…
Check out the Silver Miners ETF $SIL versus the iShares Silver ETF $SLV:
The SIL/SLV ratio speaks to the risk appetite in the same vein as the Gold Miners ETF $GDX versus the Gold ETF $GLD.
SIL/SLV simply sits further out on the risk curve than GDX/GLD.
(A rising line indicates a risk-on environment, while a falling line implies de-risking behavior.)
The last time this ratio traded at these levels in early 2016, gold put in the low of its current decade-long base. And...
The largest insider buy on today's list comes in a Form 4 filing by Ben Tisch, senior vice president of corporate development and strategy at Loews Corporation $L.
Tisch reported a purchase of 330,000 shares, equivalent to $18,781,400.
Our mission at The Buzz is simple: to identify and profit from the most-talked-about stocks on social media.
Every week, we compile a list of stocks trending tickers that are experiencing a large increase in the investor interest. We use social media data from our partners at Likefolio.
In each weekly report, we outline 1-3 actionable trades. We also take a closer look at a few other charts from our list. Some weeks will have more actionable setups than others, as we don’t want to force trades.
With any bottoms-up scan, many of these stocks are at the mercy of the broader market. We will always consider the current market environment when identifying our long/short ideas.
None of these setups are guaranteed to work. Profitable trading requires you to take small losses and let your winners run. If price closes below our risk levels, we want to take the small loss and move on, to preserve capital for future opportunities.
As always, feel free to reach out to me at Patrick@thechartreport.com...
From the desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza and Alfonso Depablos @AlfCharts
Our Hall of Famers list is composed of the 150 largest US-based stocks.
These stocks range from the mega-cap growth behemoths like Apple and Microsoft – with market caps in excess of $2T – to some of the new-age large-cap disruptors such as Moderna, Square, and Snap.
It has all the big names and more.
It doesn’t include ADRs or any stock not domiciled in the US. But don’t worry; we developed a separate universe for that which you can check out here.
The Hall of Famers is simple.
We take our list of 150 names and then apply our technical filters so the strongest stocks with the most momentum rise to the top.
Let’s dive right in and check out what these big boys are up to.
Here’s this week’s list:
Click table to enlarge view
We filter out any laggards that are down -5% or more relative to the S&P 500 over...
Our Equal-Weight 33 Commodity Index is printing fresh two-year lows. Crude oil is hanging around the lower bounds of a multi-month consolidation. And Dr. Copper is loitering below former support.
This isn’t bull market behavior.
But just as the stock market is a market of stocks, the commodity market is a market of, well, a diverse set of commodities.
So, while I don’t want to buy many high-profile procyclical contracts – and certainly not the commodity indexes – I do like the more obscure areas showing strength…
Areas such as uranium!
I outlined my case for uranium stocks at the start of the year. It was pretty simple: If gold and copper are printing fresh highs, peripheral areas likely enjoy a bid. That includes uranium.
Perhaps copper hasn’t had the best first half, but gold and other precious metals...
It feels like whatever items have been holding the broader markets back are falling by the wayside one by one, clearing the path to the next leg higher in this bull market.
And with volatility (as measured by $VIX) making new yearly lows, it's getting more affordable to make a bullish play with simple long call option trades.
US interest rates have churned within a tight range for months.
Remember: Sideways is a trend.
While intermarket evidence suggests a breakdown in yields, they simply refuse to roll over.
It makes perfect sense when we zoom out…
Rates are in a well-defined structural uptrend!
Check out the US 30-year Treasury yield overlaid with live cattle futures:
They look almost identical as both exhibit the classic base-on-base formation – one upside resolution followed by another.
To be clear, I’m not proposing a grand thesis regarding a strong positive correlation between long-duration rates and live cattle futures, or what the next directional move in live cattle and rates mean for AI stocks (though I haven’t dismissed the idea).
Instead, I’m simply observing the trend that began in early 2020.
I chose to place live cattle futures on the chart for effect – a...