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[Options P2P] Daily Digest 10/30/24

October 30, 2024

In today’s Daily Digest, we’ll review the following:

  1. No new trades today.
  2. Adjustment to GLD position.
  3. No exits since the last report.
  4. Current status of open campaigns.
  5. Volatility Snapshot.

Let’s dig in!

2 to 100 Club,
All Star Charts Premium

2 to 100 Club (10-30-2024)

October 30, 2024

From the Desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza

Welcome to The 2 to 100 Club.

In this scan, we look to identify the strongest growth stocks as they climb the market-cap ladder from small- to mid- to large- and, ultimately, to mega cap status (over $200B).

Once they graduate from small-cap to mid-cap status (over $2B), they come on our radar. Likewise, when they surpass the roughly $30B mark, they roll off our list.

But the scan doesn't just end there.

We only want to look at the strongest growth industries in the market, as that is typically where these potential 50-baggers come from.

Some of the best performers in recent decades – stocks like Priceline, Amazon, Netflix, Salesforce, and myriad others – would have been on this list at some point during their journey to becoming the market behemoths they are today.

When you look at the stocks in our table, you'll notice we're only focused on Technology and Growth industry groups such as Software, Semiconductors, Online...

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Going Back to Ancient Times

October 30, 2024

The market keeps rewarding investors for buying some of Wall Street's most hated stocks. 

We're getting buy signals from biotechnology and crypto stocks, which tends to happen in healthy market environments.

With this in mind, we're going back to the well and buying a biotech stock with nearly 1/3 of the float sold short and a double-digit days-to-cover ratio. 

The stock we're buying is named after what was once an important ancient trade center in modern-day Turkey.

Let's talk about how we're playing this short squeeze:

 

Hot Corner Insider

Singapore's GIC Ups Its EDU Stake to 7.5%

October 30, 2024

GIC Private Ltd's recent 13G filing reveals a significant increase in its stake in New Oriental Education & Technology Group $EDU, from 5.03% to 7.47%.

Singapore's sovereign wealth fund focuses on a long-term, diversified investment strategy across sectors like technology, financials, real estate, and healthcare.

Here’s The Hot Corner, with data from October 29, 2024:

 

Yesterday, director William Fisher of Winnebago Industries $WGO revealed a purchase of $109,620.

Today, the WGO president and CEO reported an acquisition of 2,500 shares.

With the stock falling steadily all year, these small purchases feel more like “vote of confidence” buys than anything. 

...
All Star Charts Crypto

📊 Ocean Wisdom

October 30, 2024

I have the pleasure of staying at a place right next to ocean. It really is lovely.
 
I've talked a lot with the guys on the team and they all say the same thing.
 
As a trader, it's so valuable to spend time looking at the ocean. It gives you a tangible appreciation for something larger than yourself.
 
The waves of the ocean have massaged the shore long before we got here and will continue to do so long after we've gone. As such, we all understand that we can't stop the force of the ocean.
 
Markets are the exact same.
 
Some traders get fixated on the idea that there are secret players manipulating the order flow. But that's like trying to blame a group of swimmers for controlling the tides. The market, like the ocean, is a force of nature driven by millions of participants – from retail traders to institutions, each adding their drop to the vast expanse of liquidity. No single entity can truly control these waters.

But even if they could, they're certainly not out to get you.

This morning, I decided to take a plunge into the water. My mind had been stuck in charts – an analytical myopia that can sometimes...

All Star Charts Crypto

📊 Is It Finally Time To YOLO Crypto?

October 30, 2024

Bitcoin is up +17% this month.

The action down the cap scale is looking awfully reminiscent of an altcoin season.

These things are pumping.

So I'm sure you're asking the question.

Is it finally time to once again begin YOLOing these cryptos?

Alfonso’s Daily Note

Getting Exposure to Crypto Miners

October 29, 2024

Bitcoin is flirting with a historic breakout, sitting just a few bucks shy of fresh all-time highs.

Everywhere I look, I’m seeing the perfect setup for a new leg higher from crypto.

Risk appetite is heating up across the board, and the strongest tokens are leaving the station. 

We have a wide-variety of vehicles to choose from to play this bullish thesis.

Whether you look at Bitcoin, Dogecoin, or the crypto miners, they are all offering asymmetrical risk vs reward opportunities.

And if we're talking about catch-up trades, Marathon Digital Holdings $MARA is the one to watch.

 

Just look how clean this chart is.

...
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ASC Mastermind

ASC Mastermind Lab: Intermarket Analysis With Todd Sohn

October 29, 2024

Below is the 7th ASC Mastermind Lab Course. These are special videos that will be made available throughout the duration of the 12-week course featuring conversations with professionals from across Wall Street discussing topics in their expertise. 

In our last Mastermind Lab, I spoke with Jason Perz about the relationship between bonds, commodities, and currencies. This time, I wanted to bring the conversation back to the stock market. Enter Todd Sohn, ETF & Technical Strategist at Strategas Securities.

Todd and I discussed the ETF market at length, how it's evolved in recent years, and its future. We also discussed a variety of different intermarket analysis techniques that incorporate ETFs.

I hope you enjoy my conversation with Todd Sohn.

 

All Star Options

[Options] I'm Going Full Kenny

October 29, 2024

Shoutout to my boy Kenny Glick. He's the man. And I feel like I'm channeling him a bit today. I recently saw him talking about how he's getting into a trade in a name that has failed on him so many times in the past. Yet, when there's a favorable setup, he has to step up and take another swing -- even though he's seen this movie before.

I'm going to do something similar today in a crypto miner. I've been beaten time and time again with these things. But one of these times it's got to work! Why not today?

Please forgive my tirade at the beginning of this episode about my short $MTB trade. I had to defend my honor... 

But after that, me and Strazza get into the setup in MARA Holdings $MARA and how we arrived at what might seem to a lot of you (me too) a pretty high risk, but potentially huge reward trade:

 

 

For reference again, here's a one-year chart of $MARA:

 

Here's the Play:

I like entering a $MARA June 15/32 Risk Reversal for a small net credit. This means I'll be naked short the June 15 puts and long an equal amount of the June 32 calls. All in, I should earn a small net credit for putting the...

Breakout Multiplier

Securing Profits in $SOUN and $RIOT

October 29, 2024

The Breakout Multiplier strategy is all about persistence and risk management.

Sometimes, the trades we put on take a few tries to materialize, with some losses along the way. But when you hit that one winning trade, it makes up for everything—often covering those earlier losses and more. That's the key to this approach.

Our recent persistence with $SOUN has paid off in a big way.

We put some calls on a few months back and they went to zero.

We liked the setup even more at this point, so we simply put the trade on again, this time, buying ourselves even more time.

After surging 18% yesterday, our 1/17/25 $7 calls are at a double.

 

It is time to secure some profits. We want to close half the calls and let the rest ride risk-free....

Amazon, Apple & Bitcoin

October 29, 2024

Bitcoin is moving this week and is already working on a breakout to new all-time highs.

Amazon reports earnings this Thursday, and is also attempting to break out above its prior cycle's peak to go on to new all-time highs.

Apple already broke out above its 2021 top, and has already been making new all-time highs for months. 

Apple's breakout and extension to new highs, in my opinion, is setting the stage for Amazon and Bitcoin to do the same.

 

Amazon and Apple both report their earnings this...

Hot Corner Insider

Liberty 77 Reports Its Fifth LGF Purchase This Month

October 29, 2024

Liberty 77 Fund is back on the hunt, snatching up another $3.1 million in Lions Gate Entertainment Corp $LGF shares, according to its latest Form 4 filing.

This is the fifth purchase Liberty 77 has made this month, totaling $14,627,477.

When the big guns step in like this, you know there’s more than just a casual interest.

Here’s The Hot Corner, with data from October 28, 2024:

 

The president and CEO of CoStar Group Inc $CSGP reported an acquisition of 14,731 shares, equivalent to $1,099,966.

It's always a good sign when the CEO buys in. After all, if anyone understands the company's potential, it's the person running it.

There was also insider activity in Atlas Energy Solutions Inc $AESI, Logitech International S.A. $LOGI, and Winnebago Industries $WGO.

Alfonso’s Daily Note

Crypto’s Next Bull Run

October 28, 2024

Bitcoin is on the verge of resolving higher from a massive consolidation phase.

This isn’t just a short-term consolidation; it’s one of those bases that typically marks the beginning or onset of a fresh bull market. 

These are the periods where we see altcoins multiplying, meme coins surging, and laser eyes all over the internet.

We’ve witnessed this before, and I believe we’re on the cusp of experiencing it again.

It’s also worth noting that these bullish instances have clustered around the holiday season in the past. We’re there now.

It’s all set up so perfectly for another crypto Christmas.

Take a moment to review previous cycles, and you will see just what I mean.

Here’s a zoomed out look at Bitcoin, effectively absorbing all the overhead supply at the upper bounds of the range.

 

If...

The Strazza Letter

Why I’m Overweight DOGE

October 28, 2024

I think it’s really important to own the junkiest stuff right now.

Risk appetite is improving across the board.

We’re seeing a growing list of speculative assets break out from consolidations.

I took a quick break from the Morning Show today to buy this textbook reversal in Dogecoin.

All things Elon are working. I think Tesla is a good buy here, too. 

As it turns out, $44B was an absolute steal for Twitter. He bought himself the best seat in the White House and will be laughing all the way to the bank for the next four years.

I also put another risk reversal on Coinbase and bought some short-dated calls in a beat-up Bitcoin miner this morning.

While I was doing this, Mike Antonelli was on the show telling JC how he’s seeing the same thing.

He used a chart of Discretionary vs Staples to make his point about healthy...

Breakout Multiplier

LOVing this Base in Lovesac

October 28, 2024

Speculative tech is on fire, and as we enter the best three-month period for equities, we’re all-in on this theme. 

Following a similar path as recent winners like Peloton and Robinhood, Lovesac Co $LOVE is shaping up nicely as it breaks out of a big base.

As you can see, the stock is on the verge of completing a classic bearish-to-bullish reversal pattern.

Momentum is building, and with volatility crushed at historic lows, the setup looks primed for a pop. 

We want to get long and bet on this being the start of a new uptrend.

 

Add a juicy 28% short interest and daunting 14x days-to-cover to the mix, and we like this one even more. 

This has all the makings for a massive potential short squeeze.

There was...

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All Star Charts Gold Rush

Gold is Dominating Every Currency

October 28, 2024

Despite bond yields and dollars screaming higher and reaching overbought conditions, stocks and precious metals rallied during what is historically the worst time of the year. 

During a bad seasonal period, junior gold and silver mining stocks had their best week since 2020, and silver printed fresh multi-year highs.

The bulls' ability to maintain control during a historically weak period speaks to the strength and resilience of this market.

Let's talk about the demand we're seeing for precious metals around the world and a few of our favorite trade ideas right now:

 

All Star Options

[Options Premium] This Sweet Tooth Has a Cavity

October 28, 2024

I'm continuing my recent theme of portfolio diversification today with another short position, this time in a stock that should be performing well heading into Halloween and holiday season -- but isn't.

In fact, the chart looks like its got a lot of room to fall if their upcoming earnings report disappoints.