In today’s Daily Digest, we’ll review the following:

1. New position in XLP.
2. No adjustments are needed today.
3. No exits since the last report.
4. Current status of open campaigns.
5. Volatility Snapshot.

Let’s dig in!

The US Dollar Index $DXY has been on a tear since the turn of the month, bouncing hard off support. 

Typically, a strong dollar would suggest a defensive tone for risk assets. But not this time.

Despite the dollar's impressive run, equities are holding their ground and showing serious resilience. Just last week, the S&P 500 closed at all-time highs.

And when you dig into the chart, DXY is still stuck in the middle of a range

...

Below is the 6th ASC Mastermind Lab Course. These are special videos that will be made available throughout the duration of the 12-week course featuring conversations with professionals from across Wall Street discussing topics in their expertise. 

I wasn't ready to move on from intermarket analysis just yet. It's too important. So I called up Jason Perz, the newest All Star Charts analyst, and someone who is an expert in the relationship between bonds, commodities, and currencies. 

Jason and I discussed these relationships at length, how these markets have reacted to major historical events, and how a move in one market could impact another.

Enjoy my conversation with Jason.

Long bonds are sending a message loud and clear these days, and I’m all ears.

When the Fed started cutting rates last month, long-term bonds reversed course lower. They are making fresh 3-month lows this week.

This might seem surprising, but it's not as uncommon as you'd think.

We saw a similar situation in November 2018, when the Fed raised rates, but the bond market didn't buy it, with the TLT rallying for two years.

Now, the Fed is cutting rates, and long bonds are calling their bluff again. This time, by reversing trend lower.

You can see what I mean in the following chart:

If bond prices continue to decline, it likely signals an expectation of rising inflation or stronger economic growth. 

Personally, I’m betting on inflation increasing.

If this is the case, the Fed rate...

We had a delta-neutral options position on the books that we stopped out of this week. Thankfully, it was not a big loss. It felt like the right idea, but the wrong instrument.

So today's trade is a similar trade in a stock from the same sector. We're going to take advantage of a possible continued consolidation and get out before their next earnings event.

In today’s Daily Digest, we’ll review the following:

1. New position in XHB.
2. No adjustments are needed today.
3. Closed XLE position.
4. Current status of open campaigns.
5. Volatility Snapshot.

Let’s dig in!

FB Financial Corporation $FBK is center stage today, as former director and top individual shareholder James Ayers doubled down on his commitment with a hefty $267,170 purchase, according to a new Form 4 filing.

This move brings Ayers' direct ownership to a whopping 10.9 million shares, or about 23% of outstanding shares, signaling his long-term belief in the company.

Here’s The Hot Corner, with data from October 22, 2024:

Ayers, who stepped down as executive chairman of the Nashville, Tennessee-based bank in December 2020, believes the stock price will rise.

And we agree with him at this point in time, as the FBK chart supports this view.

I'm bullish crypto.

I'm anticipating a bullish run in this space in the coming months and quarters. And this is the chart that's been an element of this bullish thesis.

We're probably entering into the final contraction before we break out of this seven-month downward channel.

In simple language, the below chart is how these price patterns usually resolve.

From the Desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza

Welcome to The 2 to 100 Club.

In this scan, we look to identify the strongest growth stocks as they climb the market-cap ladder from small- to mid- to large- and, ultimately, to mega cap status (over $200B).

Once they graduate from small-cap to mid-cap status (over $2B), they come on our radar. Likewise, when they surpass the roughly $30B mark, they roll off our list.

But the scan doesn't just end there.

We only want to look at the strongest growth industries in the market, as that is typically where these potential 50-baggers come from.

Some of the best performers in recent decades – stocks like Priceline, Amazon, Netflix, Salesforce, and myriad others – would have been on this list at some point during their journey to becoming the market behemoths they are today.

When you look at the stocks in our table, you'll notice we're only focused on Technology and Growth industry groups such as Software, Semiconductors, Online...

The precious metals complex is ripping higher like never before.

Gold continues to stair-step higher, achieving new all-time highs, and now silver is joining the party.

A major catch-up trade is currently underway as silver breaks out of a multi-year base to its highest level in over a decade.

The chart below shows the correlation between these two metals over the past 15 years.

As you can see, gold has already laid out a clear path for silver’s next move.

Considering silver's higher beta, I see plenty of room for further upside from here.

Buying the miners has worked out well this quarter, and the weight of the evidence suggests momentum will carry on for longer.

Breakout Multiplier members just scored a 100% return on two silver miner trades this week! If you’re interested to become a member, click here to...

From the Desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza

When investing in the stock market, we always want to approach it as "a market of stocks."

Regardless of the environment, there are always stocks showing leadership and trending higher.

We may have to look harder to identify them depending on current market conditions. But there are always stocks that are going up.

The same can be said for weak stocks. Regardless of the environment, there are always stocks that are going down, too. 

We already have multiple scans focusing on stocks making all-time highs, such as Hall of Famers, Minor Leaguers, and the 2 to 100 Club.

We filter these universes for stocks that are exhibiting the best momentum and relative strength characteristics. 

In today’s Daily Digest, we’ll review the following:

1. New position in XLB.
2. No adjustments are needed today.
3. No exits since the last report.
4. Current status of open campaigns.
5. Volatility Snapshot.

Let’s dig in!

HMI Capital Management just made a bold move, raising its stake in nCino Inc $NCNO and making the Wilmington, North Carolina-based fintech outfit its No. 2 holding.

According to today’s 13D filing, the investment firm now holds 7,873,778 shares of NCNO, boosting its ownership from 6.40% to 6.80%.

HMI Capital primarily targets growth sectors like technology, focusing on companies with scalable, long-term growth potential.

Among its top holdings are Roblox $RBLX, Coupang $CPNG, GitLab $GTLB, and Toast $TOST.

With these disruptive players in its portfolio, HMI is betting big on innovation and staying at the forefront of the tech revolution.

Here’s The Hot Corner, with data from October 21, 2024:

Digital gold has churned sideways at its prior cycle high, while gold and risk assets have enjoyed a sweet leg higher over the last half-year.

It would be strange for this bull market cycle to end without Bitcoin enjoying a blue-sky breakout.

So, if it's a bull market, shouldn't Bitcoin and friends be participating?

Yes. We're betting that crypto is about to reach escape velocity and have an epic catch up.

Let's talk about it:

From the Desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza and Alfonso Depablos @AlfCharts

Welcome to the Hot Corner Insider Weekly Report!

As you know, we spend a lot of time tracking insider activity to come up with this universe.

But that’s only half the battle!

Once we identify the names insiders are targeting, we overlay our expert technical analysis to see if the market agrees with their actions.

While we track some of the most powerful and well-informed market participants… we aren’t just going to follow them blindly into their trades.

We want to see that the insider activity is confirmed by the trend before we get involved. 

When we can check both boxes, we identify asymmetric risk/reward setups and then jump in and ride these trends higher alongside the smart money.

You can...