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[Options] June Positions Review

June 1, 2020

As June gets under way, it’s time to review positions with June options that remain open (haven’t already hit profit targets or been stopped out).

Most trades I put on for All Star Options tend to have a minimum duration of 30 days (short premium plays) and often as long as 6-8 months (for long premium plays). As options approach expiration, greeks like theta and gamma start to become my enemy and whipsaw my P/L. Therefore, as options and spreads get into the expiration month, my best practice is to put each position on notice — it’s time to take action.

"It's Practical"

June 1, 2020

Over the past few days, we've had traders and investors from all over the world go through our new Charting School. In case you missed it, I partnered up with a group of Emmy-award winning producers to put together what I think is the best course on Technical Analysis ever created!

I can say that with a straight face because these 6 hours of content are filled with lessons that I've had to learn the hard way over the past 2 decades, plus all of the knowledge I've picked up from the best Technical Analysts in the world, either in real life over the years or on my podcast that now has over 100 interviews.

We've had a lot of feedback so far from people taking the course. The one common denominator between all of them is, "It's Practical".

I'm not trying to give you a "body of knowledge" and let you find your way. This is not a starting point to give you the basics of charting. These 7 Lessons are a non-stop...

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Week In Review (05-29-2020)

May 31, 2020

From the desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza

For the week ended Friday, May 29, 2020:

Every weekend we publish performance tables for a variety of different asset classes and categories along with commentary on each.

This was a special week as Friday marked the end of May which means fresh monthly candlestick data. Analyzing these long-term monthly charts every several weeks is a great exercise as it forces us to take a step back and identify the structural trends that are in place.

As such, this week’s theme is the continued outperformance over both the short and long-term from those areas sporting the strongest primary uptrends.

Tech $XLK is by far the best performing sector over the trailing year. It is also the 2nd best over the past month and quarter, behind Communications $XLC and Health Care $XLV, respectively. Not surprisingly, these same sectors are also the next best performers over the trailing year.

Click table to enlarge view....

May Monthly Charts: What We Learned

May 31, 2020

Friday was a great day in my life. Not only did we get new Weekly Charts, as we normally do on Fridays, but we also got a fresh batch of Monthly Charts to analyze as well. These are all great developments for a team like ours, so driven by data. It's like a little mini-Christmas of data, for us to dive in to.

"Whenever in doubt, Zoom out", is how I learned it. The beauty of Monthly Charts is that it makes it impossible to ignore the primary trends. And that's what this is all about.

I like taking notes when I'm doing my chart reviews, Monthly's or otherwise. Here are a few things that stood out:

First of all, the Nasdaq Composite went out at new all-time highs, US 10yr Treasury Bond Futures went out at new all-time highs, and Gold & Silver went out at new multi-year highs.

My question here is, Who's NOT making money in this environment?

Also on the new all-time monthly closing high list:

Five Bull Market Barometers Update (05-29-2020)

May 31, 2020

Earlier this month we outlined the "Five Bull Market Barometers" we're watching to identify the beginning of a new bull market in stocks.

In this post, we'll update those charts without going into as much detail as to why they're important. So if you haven't read our initial post linked above, we'd encourage you to check it out.

With that said, let's jump in and see how these charts have developed since.

Silver's Highest Weekly Close Since September 2013!

May 29, 2020

Friday afternoons are my favorite part of the week, but not just because the weekend is starting. Instead, it's because we get fresh weekly candles to analyze the long-term trends of the securities and assets in our universe.

And this week, we've got a big development in Silver. Prices went out at their highest weekly closing price since September 2013.

Let's take a look at what it means and how we're trading it.

Genomics Are The Tech in Biotech

May 29, 2020

From the desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza

We write a lot about focusing on the secular leaders in each sector and industry. Whether it's online retail, medical devices, or more niche areas like data-centers or mobile payments, they tend to share a common thread of innovation and technology.

Biotech fits this theme and has become an emerging leader, making new all-time highs for the first time in almost five years. It's been one of the top-performing subsectors off the lows and one of the first to reclaim its year-to-date highs.

In this post, we're going to drill into the space and highlight one of its strongest areas... Genomics.

Is This Real Rotation Into Laggards?

May 28, 2020

This is a special weekend. The close on Friday marks the end of the day, week and month. That means we have a fresh batch of weekly AND monthly charts waiting for us. This process provides a lot of information because, by stepping back, it forces us to identify the direction of the primary trend.

In the meantime, a few shorter-term charts caught my attention. Both have been horrendous laggards in this market: Regional Banks and Industrials. My question here is whether or not we're seeing a changing of the guard?

Here are Regional Banks relative to the S&P500 putting in what appears like a fairly clean double bottom. Momentum putting in a bullish divergence is a nice touch:

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[Chart Of The Week] KWEB's Bearish To Bullish Reversal Continues

May 28, 2020

From the desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza

Sentiment has not been good for Chinese Equities with a handful of recent sanctions adding to the general uncertainty around China-US relations. For the most part, we're seeing this reflected in price as the Shanghai Composite and iShares China Large-Cap ETF (FXI) are trading at multi-month lows relative to the S&P 500.

Interestingly enough, the area being hit hardest with negative headlines is one of the few bright spots in China's market right now... Technology and Internet stocks.

In this post, we take a look at the improving relative strength from this group and offer trade ideas in some of its leading stocks.

Here is the ratio chart of the Kraneweb Chinese Internet ETF (KWEB) vs the S&P 500 (SPY) which we've been writing about since November.

Click on chart to enlarge view.

Price resolved...

Introducing: Charting School, Technical Analysis by JC Parets, CMT

May 28, 2020

Big news!

Charting School is officially here! This is everything I've learned over the past 2 decades from both my own experiences and from the best Technicians in the business!

I've prepared 7 Technical Analysis lessons that I believe will help you for the rest of your career, whether you're an individual trader, Financial Advisor, Portfolio Manager, or you work for a family office, trust or any other institution. If you're just getting started as a trader or you're a 30-yr market veteran, I'm confident you'll find ...

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[Options Premium] Buying the Dip in Strong Names

May 27, 2020

In the latest All Star Charts Monthly Conference Call, JC laid out a number of bullish trades. In the week or so since that call, a number of the stocks mentioned have since pulled back. Does that mean the trades are dead?

Not necessarily.

Nothing goes up in a straight line. And if you're a believer that our current pullback is just a result of sector rotation and a reload for a later resumption higher, then you've got to be a lover (as I am) of opportunities to enter the strongest stocks as they pause and/or pull back a bit.

With that in mind, we're putting a trade on in a Pharma stock that has the wind in it's sails.

 

 

 

 

 

"Big Bases" Create Long-Term Opportunities

May 27, 2020

The market remains a hot mess where we're preferring market-neutral trades, however, some absolute trades are appropriate when the reward/risk is skewed heavily in our favor.

We outlined some favorable longs and shorts earlier today.

Another way of skewing the reward/risk in our favor is by looking for "big bases."

The way we learned it is the bigger the base, the higher in space and this is certainly a big base. And the reason we like looking for base breakouts in this environment is two-fold.

First off, big bases take time to form because they are caused by steady institutional accumulation. Mom and pop investors aren’t the ones creating this type of pattern, so we know that there’s underlying demand that will support prices if they do move lower.

Because prices have memory and the base has taken a significant period of time to build, there’s likely been more trading at each price level...

All Star Options

[Options Premium] Marvelous

May 26, 2020

Don't fight the tape. The markets are moving higher, whether we agree with it or not.

That said, we want to be long the strongest stocks. This is trendfollowing 101.

Last week, Steve Strazza put up a bunch of ideas in semiconductors which have been leading the way. Many are now breaking out so we're going to put on an options trade to take a jump into this trend.