In the face of a weak crypto market, Bitcoin miners keep charging higher.

Iris Energy and TeraWulf are two standouts in this space, but the group at the index level is just breaking out offering a well defined entry level.

The rotation into Consumer Discretionary is happening.

And isn't this exactly what we've always seen in bull markets?

You buy the pull back in the offensive sectors during bull markets.

That's literally what the BTFD stands for.

This rotation into Consumer Discretionary has been exactly that - a BTFD moment.

Look at Tesla up 10% today and up 30% since we highlighted the trade right here 2 weeks ago.

From the Desk of Ian Culley @IanCulley

The smart money is snatching up Canadian dollars.

Last month, commercial hedgers extended their Canadian dollar exposure to their largest net-long historical position.

While positioning represents a condition – not a signal – we can only view the hedger's appetite for the loonie in one light…

Bullish!

Notice that extended commercial long positioning (the bright blue line in the lower pane) coincides with critical inflection points:

These market turns preceded extensive rallies in 2016, 2017, and 2020.

Before boarding the loonie’s next rip-roaring rally, price must provide a well-defined entry with a favorable risk-to-reward profile.

But the past two years of sideways action look more like a topping or bearish continuation pattern, not a bullish reversal:

The bullish argument for Canadian dollar futures doesn’t improve when we slap on a...

In today's Flow Show, Steve Strazza served up the opportunity that is revealing itself in the financials space.

So we looked for some vehicles to express our bullish thesis, while being mindful of upcoming earnings releases that will be kicking of earnings season in less than two weeks.

This is no time to enter trades with undefined risk. But if we can minimize the volatility, it would be best to consider those options.

We think we have just the right idea in Morgan Stanley.

Here's a one-year chart of $MS:

In today’s Daily Digest, we’ll review the following:

1. New position in GDXJ.
2. No adjustments are needed today.
3. Exits in XLV and GLD.
4. Current status of open campaigns.

Let’s dig in!

Last night was the big LIVE Event that I host at the beginning of every month.

There is no better way to start a new month, and in this case a new quarter, than going one by one and identifying the direction of primary trends for the world's most important stocks and assets.

Just for perspective, here are the S&P500 and Nasdaq100 Quarterly Candlesticks making new all-time highs, again.

As you can see, these are the types of things you tend to see in bull markets. You do NOT see them in bear markets.

The most significant insider buy on today's list comes via a 13G filing by Keith Gill, also known by his online aliases "Roaring Kitty" and "DeepFuckingValue."

Gill bought 9,001,000 shares of Chewy Inc $CHWY, which represents an initial passive ownership stake of 6.6%.

Here’s The Hot Corner, with data through July 1, 2024:

Control Empresarial de Capitales S.A revealed the purchase of $14.4 million worth in PBF Energy Inc $PBF its latest Form 4.

And the former CEO of Globalstar Inc $GSAT, James Monroe III, acquired 4,510,855 shares of his own company’s stock.

CHWY collapsed to new record lows at the end of 2023, briefly violating a multi-year shelf of  support.

However, the follow through was short-lived. Buyers reclaimed this support zone, resulting in a failed breakdown.

We think this...

This is the video recording of our July 1st Monthly Charts Live Strategy Session

From the Desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza

Welcome to The Minor Leaguers.

We've had some great trades come out of this small-cap-focused column since we launched it back in 2020 and started rotating it with our flagship bottom-up scan, Under the Hood.

For the first year or so, we focused only on Russell 2000 stocks with a market cap between $1 and $2B.

That was fun, but we wanted to branch out a bit and allow some new stocks to find their way onto our list.

We expanded our universe to include some mid-caps.

To make the cut for our Minor Leaguers list now, a company must have a market cap between $1 and $4B.

And it doesn't have to be a Russell component — it can be any US-listed equity. With participation expanding around the globe, we want all those ADRs in our universe.

The same price and liquidity filters are applied. Then, as always, we sort by proximity to new highs in order to...

From the Desk of Ian Culley @IanCulley

Investors are becoming restless.

Silver is dancing around a significant breakout level. And gold continues its sideways chop for the third straight month.

It’s certainly been a challenging time to hold precious metals trades – even for the most patient investors.

To kick off the third quarter, let’s utilize fresh monthly data to step back and review the primary trends for gold, silver, platinum, and palladium.

New issue? check

Near all-time highs? check

High Short Interest? check

Today's trade has all the ingredients for a monster breakout. This of course is no guarantee of a win, but if we're right, the payoff will be incredibly worth the risk.

Investors are becoming restless.

Silver is dancing around a significant breakout level. And Gold continues its sideways chop for the third straight month.

It’s certainly been a challenging time to hold precious metals trades – even for the most patient investors.

To kick off the third quarter,  let’s utilize fresh monthly data to step back and review the primary trends for Gold, Silver, Platinum, and Palladium.

In today’s Daily Digest, we’ll review the following:

1. New position in XHB.
2. No adjustments are needed today.
3. No exits since the last report.
4. Current status of open campaigns.

Let’s dig in!

This past February the market was running hot!

Too hot.

We saw some of the most bullish sentiment readings in years. And this sentiment came after a historic rally for equities throughout the 4th quarter last year that couldn't miss. Everything was working.

But things can't just go up forever. They need to rest eventually, and reset some of that excessive optimism.

That's exactly what happened.

Despite some of the growth indexes making new highs, a lot of the most important groups of stocks have done absolutely nothing since February.

Look at Consumer Discretionary, Financials, Industrials and Healthcare trading sideways to down this entire time:

The most notable insider buy today is detailed in Form 4 filings by the chairman and CEO along with the president of production and development of TXO Energy Partners L.P $TXO.

Combined, they reported purchasing $19.5 million worth of TXO shares.

Senvest Management LLC filed a 13G for Cognyte Software Ltd $CGNT revealing an increase in ownership from 4.85% to 5.00%.

Here’s The Hot Corner, with data through June 28, 2024:

Director Amy Y. Murray bought 1,200 shares of American Financial Group $AFG in its latest Form 4.

AFG broke out of a multi-year base in 2021 and has since been consolidating above the breakout level:

The line in the sand lies at 115.

If we're above this level, the risk is to the upside.

Stay tuned. We'll be back on Tuesday with more insider activity.

I've been maintaining a neutral short-term bias for the last five weeks, which has helped us keep away from much of the precarious action over this period. But I'm seeing mounting signs that point to a tradable low being carved, and as such, I'm changing our short-term bias from neutral to bullish.

Bitcoin is finding support at a key level alongside many altcoins. Further, this is within the context of a wider reset in a longer-term bull market.

I'm being told that the Consumer is dead and can't afford anything.

That's why "it's only the high end retail" that is doing so well....

Take Williams-Sonoma for instance. It's harder to afford the things they sell at this place:

This is the weekly post that aggregates all the charts we put together throughout the week and organizes them all into one, easy to flip through deck.