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The Hall of Famers (06-28-2024)

June 28, 2024

From the Desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza

Our Hall of Famers list is composed of the 150 largest US-based stocks.

These stocks range from the mega-cap growth behemoths like Apple and Microsoft – with market caps in excess of $3T – to some of the new-age large-cap disruptors such as Arista Networks and Crowdstrike.

It has all the big names and more.

It doesn’t include ADRs or any stock not domiciled in the US. But don’t worry; we developed a separate universe for that. Click here to check it out.

The Hall of Famers is simple.

We take our list of 150 names and then apply our technical filters so the strongest stocks with the most momentum rise to the top.

Let’s dive right in and check out what these big boys are up to.

Here’s this week’s list:

*Click table to enlarge view

We filter out any laggards that are down -5% or more relative to the S&P 500 over the trailing month.

Then, we sort the...

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Commodities: Tracking a “Natural” Correction

June 28, 2024

From the Desk of Ian Culley @IanCulley

Our cotton and sugar trades are working. Coffee is raring to go.

And crude oil is pushing toward a solid first-half finish.

Beyond that, commodities are dribbling lower.

Let’s review an energy contract that broke out two months ago and has never looked back—Natty Gas!

Natural gas futures are carving out an eighteen-month base below last year’s high:

I outlined our bullish outlook in late April. Natty Gas ripped the following week, rallying more than a dollar in just six weeks.

Now, price is consolidating within a twenty-percent range (potential right shoulder):

An upside resolution above the June highs offers another opportunity to buy natural gas. I like adding to current...

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Freshly Squeezed (06-27-2024)

June 28, 2024

From the Desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza

While the market remains a mixed bag and participation is lacking, we're still seeing evidence of risk appetite.

How do we know?

The stocks that investors are betting against the most are making big moves... to the upside.

And we know just what to do in these environments.

We find the most heavily shorted stocks in our freshly squeezed universe. We wait for momentum to come into these names, and then we ride them higher with the squeeze.

We got new short data recently, so let's talk about how we're playing it.

Our scan is quite simple. It is designed to identify stocks with the most aggressive short positions. When a stock is shorted, it means incremental buyers are waiting in the wings to close out their bearish bets.

We love this, as new buyers are the one true catalyst for higher prices.

When shorts are proven wrong, they become buyers of the stock. In many cases, this happens as momentum flows into these names and fuels massive short-covering rallies.

For this reason, we pair short-interest data with short-term momentum overlays, as this...

All Star Options

[Options Premium] Look Out (Five) Below

June 28, 2024

It's a bull market. No question. But that doesn't change the fact that I'd still like to add some downside diversification to my portfolio in the weakest names the stock market has to offer, just in case.

Today's short trade candidate appears to be hanging on the precipice of a potentially swift and brutal fall. This is as good an opportunity as I can see to help protect my portfolio in the event we see a market pullback.

Michael Martin: A Tribal Inner Game

June 28, 2024

Born with an entrepreneurial spirit and temperament, Michael grew up in a working-class community full of blue-collar, salt-of-the-earth people who worked honest days for an honest wage. And it rubbed off on him. How could it not? 

In order not to be a financial burden on his family, he knew he needed to get out there and hustle. He shoveled snow, mowed lawns, caddied, and worked as a server and waiter. He worked 15 hours a week while in college so that he could earn a degree from Columbia University.

While his peers were coasting through school with trust fund cash bankrolling their adventures, the only free time Michael had was spent in the library, reading books, writing papers, and repeating.

His blue-collar work ethic paid off to this point. But making the transition into the “white-collar” world of finance wasn’t easy.

Trump Warrants Pushing All-time Highs

June 28, 2024

The price of Biden's namesake memecoin Jeo Boden is down 45% overnight since the debates.

Not surprising to see this token pushing all-time lows.

Meanwhile, in Tradfi, the price of the Trump Media Warrants are pushing new all-time highs.

Notice how much stronger the Warrants have been compared to the common stock:

Hot Corner Insider

Director Friedman Reports a $10 Million RH Buy

June 28, 2024

The most significant insider buy on today's list comes via a Form 4 filing by the CEO of Restoration Hardware $RH Gary Friedman.

Friedman reported a purchase of roughly $10 million.

Control Empresarial de Capitales S.A. has once again appeared on our radar. This time, they've purchased $6,521,107 worth of PBF Energy Inc $PBF, continuing to build a position in the company.

Here’s The Hot Corner, with data through June 27, 2024:

 

Last but not least, Gregory M. Shepard bought 40,872 shares of Atlas Energy Solutions Inc $AESI.

After reaching all-time highs in May 2021, RH fell off a cliff, losing around 70% since its peak.

Fast forward to today, and the stock is consolidating at the lower bounds of a well-defined range.

 

If we're above 210, the bias is sideways. However, a violation of this area will give sellers full control.

...
All Star Charts Crypto

📅 Buying the Dip

June 28, 2024

I keep coming back to the fact that we've just experienced a reset in the context of a bull market.

The primary uptrends are still higher.

So when I see coins consolidating and retesting support in the context of bull markets, I'm viewing that as a buying opportunity.

On the other end of the spectrum, there are a number of coins that have broken down to new lows. But it wouldn't surprise me to see these catch higher in the coming weeks, putting in the classic 'not a top' pattern we've seen so much in this bull market.

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Young Aristocrats (June 2024)

June 28, 2024

From the Desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza

Dividend Aristocrats are easily some of the most desirable investments on Wall Street. These are the names that have increased dividends for at least 25 years, providing steadily increasing income to long-term-minded shareholders.

As you can imagine, the companies making up this prestigious list are some of the most recognizable brands in the world. Coca-Cola, Walmart, and Johnson & Johnson are just a few of the household names making the cut.

Here at All Star Charts, we like to stay ahead of the curve. That's why we're turning our attention to the future aristocrats. In an effort to seek out the next generation of the cream-of-the-crop dividend plays, we're curating a list of stocks that have raised their payouts every year for five to nine years.

We call them the Young Aristocrats, and the idea is that these are "stocks that pay you to make money." Imagine if years of consistent dividend growth and high momentum and relative strength had a baby, leaving you with the best of the emerging dividend giants that are outperforming the averages.

By adding our technical analysis to the mix,...

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Junior Hall of Famers (06-27-2024)

June 27, 2024

From the Desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza

We love our bottoms-up scans here at All Star Charts. We tend to get really creative when making new universes as we want to be sure they will deliver us the best opportunities the market has to offer.

However, when it comes to this one, it couldn’t be any simpler!

With the goal of finding more bullish setups, we have decided to expand one of our favorite scans and broaden our regular coverage of the largest US stocks.

Welcome to The Junior Hall of Famers.

This scan is composed of the next 150 largest stocks by market cap, those that come after the top 150 and are thus covered by the Hall of Famers universe. Many of these names will someday graduate and join our original Hall Of Famers list. The idea here is to catch these big trends as early on as possible.

There is no need to overcomplicate things. Market cap is a quality filter at the end of the day. It only grows if price is rising. That’s good enough for us.

The bottom line is it is a bull market. We want as many vehicles and options to express...

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There Is More Than One Amazon

June 27, 2024

From the Desk of Steve Strazza @sstrazza

Have you heard about the breakout in America's online marketplace?

Amazon is up 5% this week as it follows other mega-cap growth stocks to new record highs. Everyone is talking about it.

But there's more to this story.

Online retail is a burgeoning industry, offering investment opportunities in a variety of companies around the world.

These growth stocks provide some of the highest beta vehicles as they are direct plays on the consumer economy.

And Amazon doesn't dominate around the globe the way they do in America. There are other regional plays that offer investors exposure to higher growth markets outside the US.

With Amazon $AMZN making a decisive resolution to fresh all-time highs today, it is an opportune time to talk about the broader online retail space.

Let's dive in!

Following the path of other Magnificent Seven names, here's Amazon.com $AMZN surging to new all-time highs:

After spending much of this year absorbing overhead supply at...

[Options] Don't Hate. Participate.

June 27, 2024

We’re taking what the market is giving us.

Recently, some of the best opportunities have been in the mega-cap space. Look at recent gains in Amazon, Google, Microsoft, and Apple.

People like to complain that “all” the gains are being concentrated in fewer and fewer names at the top of the pyramid. Why is that a bad thing? We can trade those names, can’t we? And why wouldn’t we?

In the past week, I’ve added more exposure in my portfolio to this area.

Related to the tail (big caps) that wags the dog (the market), isn’t this true of our own history of trades?

Don’t our small handful of large winners account for the lion’s share of our total gains? And don’t 80% (or more) of the rest just result in a net wash?

Kind of like the S&P 500, no?

Don’t hate. Participate.

We discuss all this and more in this week’s Jam Session:

Big Day! Why Does It Matter To You?

June 27, 2024

This is a big deal for me.

Those of you who know me well already know.

Tomorrow is the last day of June. So do you know what that means????

NEW MONTHLY CHARTS!!!!

If you're new around here, I will just tell you that there is NOTHING, and I mean absolutely NOTHING, I do that adds more value to my approach than this process of taking a step back and reviewing a list of Monthly Charts.

It's so easy to get lost in the day to day noise of the markets.... What did the Dow do today? What did the Powell say? Who reported earnings this morning? etc etc...

I have found over the years that it is so important to just stop, take a deep breath, and focus on the direction of the primary trends.

The reason is because asset prices trend. They're not random. We know this. It's just a fact.

...
Hot Corner Insider

Director Cui Reveals Another Big NUVB Purchase

June 27, 2024

The most significant insider buy on today's list comes via a Form 4 filing by Nuvation Bio Inc $NUVB director Xiangmin Cui.

Cui revealed an additional purchase of NUVB shares with a total value of $825,348.

Here’s The Hot Corner, with data through June 26, 2024:

 

Leviticus Partners LP filed a 13G for Twin Disc Incorporated $TWIN revealing an increase from 4.96% to 5.17%.

Earlier this year, NUVB resolved higher from a bearish-to-bullish reversal pattern. 

Fast-forward to today, and it is consolidating above the breakout level:

 

As long as we’re above 2.55, the bias is higher.

Stay tuned. We'll be back on Friday with more insider activity.

...

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The Short Report (06-26-2024)

June 27, 2024

From the Desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza

When investing in the stock market, we always want to approach it as "a market of stocks."

Regardless of the environment, there are always stocks showing leadership and trending higher.

We may have to look harder to identify them depending on current market conditions. But there are always stocks that are going up.

The same can be said for weak stocks. Regardless of the environment, there are always stocks that are going down, too. 

We already have multiple scans focusing on stocks making all-time highs, such as Hall of Famers, Minor Leaguers, and the 2 to 100 Club.

We filter these universes for stocks that are exhibiting the best momentum and relative strength characteristics. 

Clearly, we spend a lot of time identifying and writing about leading stocks every week, via multiple reports.

Now, we're also highlighting lagging stocks on a recurring basis.

Welcome to the Short Report.

We...