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Audio: Benzinga Morning Radio Show 7-21-16

July 21, 2016

Every 2 weeks I sit down with the good folks at Benzinga to chat about the markets on their morning radio show. Today we discussed the recent breakouts in important sectors like Technology and Industrials. The fact that we're seeing expansion in breadth across other countries, particularly in Emerging Markets and Latin America, suggests there is real risk appetite out there for stocks. There are many favorable risk vs reward opportunities out there today and we went over several of them this morning.

Here is the full interview:

The Evolution of a Macro Stock Market Thesis

July 18, 2016

The market is a never ending puzzle that we are constantly trying to solve. It's not like a jigsaw puzzle where once you put the pieces together your job is done forever. In the case of liquid markets, the pieces of that puzzle are always changing and therefore the conclusions are appropriately evolving. I thought today would be as good of a time as ever to go over the evolution of my macro thesis about stocks over the past 15 months.

[Chart Of The Week] The Most Bullish Chart In The World

July 18, 2016

Since late March and early April, most of the major stock market indexes around the world, U.S. included, consolidated in a sideways range. The dilemma/argument among my friends and I was in which direction would these consolidation resolve? As it turns, out, it has been to the upside. We're not just seeing the S&P500 and Dow Jones Industrial Average breaking out to new highs, we're seeing similar behavior around the world.

Today we're looking at what I think is the most bullish chart on earth.

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[Premium] A Look At How Money Is Flowing Around The World

July 15, 2016

Throughout the week I did a ton of intermarket work comparing many markets with each other. This is a great exercise and really helps me get some perspective on the flow of money around the world. Remember, it doesn't just disappear. When money leaves one asset, let's say Japanese Yen or U.S. Treasury Bonds, it goes elsewhere. In this case, we're seeing that money flow towards banks as well as Japanese and European stocks.

There are two ways to use this information. First, simply take the money flow data as confirmation of other things we're seeing around the world, particularly those that we discussed in this week's conference call. Second, through execution purposes benefiting from narrowing or widening of these spreads. I personally use them in both ways.

Here are some of the more interesting developments that I found:

[Premium] Monthly Conference Call Video Recording July 2016

July 14, 2016

[hide_from accesslevel="premium"]Here is the video recording of the July 2016 Monthly Conference Call for Members Only

In the call we discuss:

  • What Is The Risk vs Reward Being Long U.S. Stocks?
  • Are Global Stocks Confirming?
  • Europe and Japan Have stabilized
  • Industrials and Tech are not tops!
  • Which Metals Do We Want To Buy? And How High Can They Go?
  • What to do with Cotton and Wheat?
  • How Does The Base Metal Complex Fit into this theme?
  • Which Tech Stocks Do We Buy?

[Chart Of The Week] Is The Next Sector Rotation Into Financials?

July 13, 2016

One of the biggest reasons why we've been hesitant to be bullish of stocks, particularly as an asset class, since early April is because of the severe underperformance from bank stocks. Not only do we need participation out of Financials during bull markets, but we need them to lead. Unfortunately, they've been doing the exact opposite, and dragging stock market indexes around the world lower.

Has something changed?

These are the details from yesterday's Mystery Chart

Why We Like Growth Over Value Moving Forward

July 11, 2016

Since the Summer of of last year, the relationship between growth stocks and value stocks has been ironing out what traditionally might be considered a major topping pattern. This would suggest that value stocks should outperform growth moving forward. Last month, however, this ratio confirmed what looks to me like a failed breakdown and bullish momentum divergence. In my experience, this is an ideal recipe for a squeeze higher in the spread.

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[Premium] Members-Only Conference Call Wednesday July 13 at 7PM ET

July 7, 2016

Every month I host a conference call for All Star Charts Members where we discuss ongoing themes throughout the global marketplace as well as changes in trends where new positions would be most appropriate. This includes U.S. Stocks & Sectors, International Stock Indexes, Commodities, Currencies and Interest Rate Markets. We have been pounding the table on heavy cash positions for the past few months, so we're ready to start allocating that capital this week.

This month's Conference Call will be held on Wednesday July 13, 2016 at 7PM ET. Here are the Registration Details:

 

[Chart Of The Week] Stocks Are in a Downtrend

July 5, 2016

If you're one of those people who blindly looks at the S&P500 and thinks stocks are in an uptrend, you can stop reading now and carry on with your rainbows and butterflies. In the real world, the one we live in, stocks have been falling hard for well over a year. Put down your large-cap weighted U.S. indexes for a hot second, and take a look at what's going on.

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[Premium] We Are Upgrading Our Research Platform This Week

June 30, 2016

This week we are doing a full upgrade to our research platform. This is something that we have been working on all year, and finally, with the help of the incredible people at Optuma, we are happy to announce that it is officially happening. I could not be more excited to have everything on one platform with one provider and, most importantly, have the technology to be able to share it seamlessly with all of our Members!

There Are No Called Strikes On Wall Street

June 24, 2016

There is a lot that we can learn from Warren Buffett, who many consider to be one of the greatest investors of all time. To me, the most important lesson of all of them, and there are many, is that there are no called strikes on wall street. In other words, in liquid markets, you are not penalized for "missing" a trade. This is a lesson that took me many years to finally understand and is something that has helped me tremendously.

Audio: Benzinga Morning Radio Show 6-23-16

June 23, 2016

Every 2 weeks I sit down with the good folks at Benzinga to chat about the markets on their morning radio show. Today we went over specific trades that have zero correlation with the S&P500 and Nasdaq100, which are both stuck in a short-term sideways range. The S&P500 has done nothing for 2 months and the Nasdaq100 has done nothing for 3 months. These consolidations come within the context of longer-term bear markets so we would rather look elsewhere for money making opportunities.  We discuss precious metals, Crude Oil, Natural Gas, Japanese Yen and some individual stock ideas.

Here is the full interview:

Free Webinar: Bitcoin is up 60% Since Our Buy Signal. Now What?

June 13, 2016

On April 5th 2016, I finally got on board and initiated coverage of Bitcoin. For years, readers had been pressing me to analyze the price behavior of Bitcoin, but I never felt it was a big enough/liquid enough market. After a healthy consolidation since the 4th quarter last year, I said, "If we break out from this base, we could see a monster rally towards $700".

That was enough for me and I put out an announcement in early April that we were initiating coverage of Bitcoin priced in U.S. Dollars from both short-term and longer-term perspectives. Sure enough, just a couple of weeks after we initiated coverage, prices broke out as we had hoped and it has been a screaming buy ever since. Members of All Star Charts have been receiving weekly updates since then and have benefited tremendously over a very short period of time. This weekend, Bitcoin hit our tactical upside target netting a 58% return in less than 2 months. But this doesn't mean that the trade is over. To the contrary, I think there are still plenty of opportunities in this space.

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[Premium] More Pain Ahead For These Dow Laggards?

June 9, 2016

From the desk of Tom Bruni @brunicharting

***

Both American Express and Goldman Sachs have been serious under-performers off both the August 2015 and January 2016 lows when the broader market put in major bottoms. While there have been other laggards in the Dow like Nike, Apple, and Disney, both Goldman Sachs and American Express are currently offering short setups where the risk is well-defined and the risk/reward is elevated.

Mystery Chart Revealed: Euppy Breaks Down To New Lows

June 9, 2016

Last week I shared with you guys what I thought was an interesting breakout. Like I try and do every now and then, I deleted the labels and the y-axis so you guys wouldn't have any biases towards the charts, knowing what it was. Everyone pretty much agreed that it was a screaming buy. Today we're bringing back the legend and y-axis so you can see exactly what is it. We are also flipping it upside down, the way it was originally intended to be, so you can execute according to your specific time horizon and risk tolerance.

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[Premium] Members-Only Conference Call Wednesday June 15 at 7PM ET

June 7, 2016

Every month I host a conference call for All Star Charts Members where we discuss ongoing themes throughout the global marketplace as well as changes in trends where new positions would be most appropriate. This includes U.S. Stocks & Sectors, International Stock Indexes, Commodities, Currencies and Interest Rate Markets.

This month's Conference Call will be held on Wednesday June 15, 2016 at 7PM ET. Here are the Registration Details:

 

[Chart Of The Week] The Divergence Between U.S. Stocks and Other Developed Markets

June 7, 2016

When we talk about "the stock market", some people are referring to the S&P500 or maybe the Dow Jones Industrial Average. But these are just 2 large-cap indexes in one country in the entire world. Cliché or not, this isn't a stock market, it is a "market of stocks". These come in all different sizes and countries around the world to collectively make up a "stock market".

It's interesting to compare markets around the world to each other to get an idea of where the relative strength lies and where the weakness might be. Today we're taking a look at the S&P500 in the U.S. vs the Nikkei in Japan and the EuroStoxx50 in Europe.

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[Premium] Forget The Fed. Look At Belgium

June 6, 2016

We all have the freedom and ability to focus on any part of the financial markets that we want. Some people get paid to gossip about the federal reserve and others get paid to make money in the market. We all have different objectives. If you're reading this, it's probably because you do not get paid to make noise, but instead, you get paid to make money in the market. This means you don't care what stock or ETF makes you money as long as it's making you money right? We don't avoid certain topics here because it's not sexy enough for our sponsors. I don't even have any sponsors.

So today we are taking a look at Belgium. Why? Because why not?