Fortunes change. We've seen it time and time again, where once-prominent companies -- even entire industries -- fade away to shadows of their former selves or worse -- fade to oblivion. To the trash heap of has-beens.
But, occasionally we see these companies then reinvent themselves and rise like a Phoenix from the ashes.
From the desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza and Ian Culley @IanCulley.
We held our May Monthly Strategy Session Monday night which Premium Members can access and rewatch here.
For these calls, we really take a step back and put things in the context of their structural trends by focusing only on Monthly charts. This is easily one of our most valuable exercises.
In this post, we’ll provide a summary of the call by highlighting three of the most important charts and topics we covered along with commentary on each.
Anybody who has been tracking the market closely has noticed that the one sector which has been displaying the most strength off late is Metals. The sector-specific stocks have generated handsome returns in a short span of time and don't seem to be slowing down as well.
So for those who missed this rally, or those who are already invested, what are the levels to track going forward? We've got you covered.
Here is a comprehensive list of the best stocks from the sector. Some of these are actionable and some are price targets to track.
For me saying, "I'm a growth investor", is just a lazy way of saying, "I can't overcome my recency bias."
How is it not?
There's a time and a place for everything right? I mean, we're even buying Gold and Gold Miners these days, a far cry from the "Stay away at all costs" mentality that we've had towards those useless rocks since last August.
Same with Growth stocks. They had been the place to be for a long time, ESPECIALLY when compared to Value sectors like Energy, Materials and Bank stocks!
The DeFi Revolution is upon us, at least according to Jim Bianco. For many years, I've looked up to Jim and the work he's been doing at Bianco Research and, in fact, he's the one who first inspired me to rip through hundreds of charts during my live presentations in order to get my points across. It took me about a decade to realize it, but it was him who I got that from.
Fast forward to 2021, and the Macro Technician who I've always admired has turned into one of the leading voices of what's taking place in DeFi, or "Decentralized Finance". Who better to talk to about what's going on than Jim himself? Ethereum, Bitcoin, Dogecoin, Yield Farming, Metamask Wallets, Coinbase....the whole thing.
We dive right into it and talk about how investors of all kinds can take advantage of this revolution into a decentralized world. Traders, Investors, Financial Advisors and even their clients....what does everyone do about...
The documentary "Jiro Dreams of Sushi" tells the story of a small Sushi counter operating near a subway platform in Japan. The movie glorifies routine -- the day-in, day-out dedication to doing the same thing over and over again. It’s these details and pursuit of perfection that make the dream. We see how Jiro’s sushi is the product of hours of labor and years of experience.
Russian novelist Fydor Dostoevsky understood this concept well, noting "Habit is the chief motive force” in his novel "The Brothers Karamazov".
Dostoevsky and Jiro understand there are no shortcuts. Instead, the embodied consistency of habit is how we grow and make progress.
But it's easy to lose sight of the long-term trend sometimes, especially if you don't zoom out enough. This is why our process of looking at monthly candlesticks is so important. It literally forces us to take a step back and focus on the structural trends at play.
And that’s exactly what we did in this week’s Currency Report. When looking through all of our monthly charts, the big picture view of the US Dollar / Swiss Franc pair really stood out. We're going to discuss it in today's post.
And Premium members, feel free to skip straight to the bottom of the page to access the report. Our feelings won't be hurt. They really are...
This All Star Charts +Plus Monthly Playbook breaks down the investment universe into a series of largely binary decisions and tactical calls. Paired with our Weight of the Evidence Dashboard, this piece is designed to help active asset allocators follow trends, pursue opportunities, and manage risk.
Today, we're going to discuss an Industrial conglomerate and well-known household name, as well as one of the largest Natural Gas companies in the world.
Not only are these stocks in some of our favorite sectors right now, but both are currently flirting with reclaiming key former highs. They also offer clearly defined risk levels to trade against, in addition to profit profiles skewed heavily in favor of the bulls.
We'd be remiss not to share these setups with you, so let’s dive right in and look at them…
We debuted a new scan recently which goes by the name- All Star Momentum.
All Star Momentum is a brand new scan that pinpoints the very best stocks in the market. This time around, we have incorporated our stock universe of Nifty 500 as the base. Among the 500 stocks that we follow, this scan will pump out names that are most likely to generate great returns.
While we go through our lists of sectors and stocks on a weekly basis, we thought of launching a product that would highlight the names that are the strongest performers in our universe and those that are primed for an explosive move.
Just like The Outperformers scan, this is a list of stocks belonging to the sectors that display relative strength in the market at any given point in time. Since sector rotation is the lifeblood of a bull market, we will be ahead of the curve before the gears keep shifting.
Key takeaway: Evidence of excessive optimism abounds. Recent articles in the Wall Street Journal provide anecdotes for the data: Conservative German savers are increasing their exposure to stocks and investors in the US are crowding into the market, focusing more on chasing returns than managing risks. Cyclical views trend and strategic positioning point to elevated risks but stocks have been buoyed by a favorable news backdrop (positive economic data surprises and upward earnings revisions) and resilient breadth. If these falter and investor appetite for risk fades, those areas of the market where speculative fever has burned the hottest could be the most vulnerable.
Sentiment Report Chart of the Week: Long Equity Camp Crowded
Household equity exposure finished last year near record levels. Preliminary data suggests it has now exceeded its previous peaks. There is a strong inverse correlation between...