From the Desk of Kimmy Sokoloff

This morning, $SPY is above its 50-day moving average at 389.61. I'll be watching this level closely.

If we can hold it, there's potential to 396.

I was back on The Compound & Friends show this week.

But this time I brought ASC Director of Research Steve Strazza with me.

This show is always a lot of fun and this time was no different.

We don't take ourselves too seriously and like to enjoy ourselves. So this is the perfect show for us to come on.

We discussed the Bull Market in stocks that continues to broaden out to new sectors and countries, the potential breakout in Gold prices to new all-time highs, how the US Dollar falling apart is impacting asset classes, and some of our favorite stocks to profit from the current environment.

We also discussed our Bitcoin trade, Chinese Internet and the ASC Hall of Famers.

Big shoutout to Josh and Michael for the invite.

I love being a guest on one of my favorite shows to watch! I know Steve Strazza feels the same way.

Enjoy!

If you're not making money in this environment, it's not because it's a "bear market".

Don't be one of those investors left holding the bag in the few remaining stocks that are not working, while almost everything else is.

On an equally-weighted basis, every single sector is up since the bear market ended last June.

Here's the performance of each of the Sectors since the new lows list on the NYSE peaked in Q2. Notice how Consumer Discretionary is the best performer. How can consumer discretionary stocks doing so well possibly be a bad thing?

It's the weekly commodity edition of What the FICC?

The major commodity indexes look ready to roll despite sustained strength from precious metals.

Check it out!

From the desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza and Alfonso Depablos @AlfCharts

Our International Hall of Famers list is composed of the 100 largest US-listed international stocks, or ADRs.

We’ve also sprinkled in some of the largest ADRs from countries that did not make the market cap cut. 

These stocks range from some well-known mega-cap multinationals such as Toyota Motor and Royal Dutch Shell to some large-cap global disruptors such as Sea Ltd and Shopify.

It’s got all the big names and more--but only those that are based outside the US. You can find all the largest US stocks on our original Hall of Famers list.

The beauty of these scans is really in their simplicity.

We take the largest names each week and then apply technical filters in a way that the strongest stocks with the most momentum rise to the top.

Based on the market environment, we can also flip the scan on its head and filter for weakness.

Let’s dive in and take a look at some of the most important stocks from around the world.

Here’s this week’s list:

...

From the Desk of Ian Culley @IanCulley

The Bloomberg commodity index $BCOM is breaking down, approaching fresh 52-week lows.

Somehow Gold and Copper didn’t get the memo. They must be too busy printing new highs.

But when we review other major commodity indexes (including our own equal-weight index of 33 individual contracts), they look poised to roll over.

Check out the triple pane chart of the Bloomberg, CRB, and our equal-weight commodity indexes:

It’s interesting to note the differences between these indexes. The weighting structures vary, as do their support levels. But the CRB index and our equal-weight commodity index challenge their 2022 lows while the BCOM has undercut its respective lows. 

Will the other indexes follow BCOM lower, completing major tops? Or will the Bloomberg index reverse higher, holding above former support?

I don’t know. No one does. But that’s not the key takeaway from this chart. Instead, this chart tells me I...

From the Desk of Kimmy Sokoloff

That was a nice push in the market today.

$SPY finally closed its gap to 387.89.

The latest Young Aristocrats report is out, highlighting companies with steady and increasing dividends that are also displaying strong relative strength -- a powerful combination. These are some of my favorite stocks to get long when the conditions warrant.

Today's trade is in a sporting goods retailer that just broke out and looks like it's ready to start sprinting.

From the Desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza

Welcome to our annual edition of Young Aristocrats.

Dividend Aristocrats are easily some of the most desirable investments on Wall Street.

These are the names that have increased dividends for at least 25 years, providing steadily increasing income to long-term-minded shareholders.

As you can imagine, the companies making up this prestigious list are some of the most recognizable brands in the world.

Coca-Cola, Walmart, and Johnson & Johnson are just a few of the household names making the cut.

Here at All Star Charts, we like to stay ahead of the curve. That's why we're turning our attention to the future aristocrats.

In an effort to seek out the next generation of the cream-of-the-crop dividend plays, we're curating a list of stocks that have raised their payouts every year for five to nine years.

We call them the Young Aristocrats, and the idea is that these are "stocks that pay you to make money."

Imagine if years of consistent dividend growth and high momentum and relative strength had a baby, leaving you with the best of the emerging dividend...

We had a resting GTC order filled at our profit target in the Paid-to-Play portfolio today:

The next new position in our Paid-to-Play portfolio is:

From the Desk of Kimmy Sokoloff

We've got big economic data coming out at 8:30 a.m. ET, the December nonfarm payrolls report.

So, whatever I write, it might be a moot point very soon.

Where have all the insiders gone? 

It’s been a slow start to the year for insider filings. However, we do have a few good ones on our list today.

It's a new year with new leaders emerging in the market. So what better time to drop in and chat with our friends over on Fox Business about what's going on.

Charles likes my Ratio charts so we took a look at some of those.

But I think the bigger point here is that Gold doesn't have to be this 'End of the world' trade that some make it out to be.

History has proven time and time again that Gold prices can rise, even during bull markets for stocks. And to be clear, Gold prices can also fall along with stocks.

They are not mutually exclusive.

Check out the full clip and let me know what you think!

We debuted a new scan which goes by the name- All Star Momentum.

All Star Momentum is a brand new scan that guides us toward the very best stocks in the market. We have incorporated our stock universe of Nifty 500 as the base this time around. Among the 500 stocks that we follow, this scan will pump out names that are most likely to outperform the market.

From the desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza

We held our January Monthly Strategy Session Tuesday night. Premium Members can access and rewatch it here.

Non-members can get a quick recap of the call simply by reading this post each month.

By focusing on long-term, monthly charts, the idea is to take a step back and put things into the context of their structural trends. This is easily one of our most valuable exercises as it forces us to put aside the day-to-day noise and simply examine markets from a “big-picture” point of view.

With that as our backdrop, let’s dive right in and discuss three of the most important charts and/or themes from this month’s call.

It's the weekly bond market edition of What the FICC?

Today we're highlighting potential failed breakouts in European benchmark rates.

Check it out!

From the Desk of Ian Culley @Ianculley

Whether you’re looking across the curve or around the world, interest rates continue to rise.

Benchmark rates in Germany, France, Spain, and Portugal hit fresh multi-year highs last week. Interestingly, the US 10-year yield did not. And neither did the two-, 5-, or 30-year yields.

I’m not claiming US yields have put in a lower high. It’s far too early to assume that. A downside resolution below last month’s pivot lows needs to materialize before making that claim.

Nevertheless, the lack of confirmation from US interest rates is intriguing, especially as European yields turn lower this week.

Check out the triple-pane chart of Developed European 10-year yields (Germany, France, and Spain):

All three broke above their respective Oct. highs, finishing 2022 on a high note. But those breakouts were short-lived as yields are sliding lower this week. 

The lackluster moves from European yields suggest...

From the desk of Willie Delwiche.

The new year can bring the hope of a better market environment. While it can be tempting to draw conclusions about all of 2023 from how December closed and January has begun, we would counsel patience. One lesson from 2022 is that normally reliable indicators of strength can be distorted in elevated volatility environments. The evidence has not improved and caution remains warranted. The liquidity environment remains poor, last year’s pattern of lower lows and lower highs is intact and the trend in the net new high data has not improved. Across asset classes, and both in the US and around the world, uptrends are hard to find. Gold, though, is starting to shine.

Our Weight of the Evidence Dashboard fills in the details and includes a few charts that have our attention heading into 2023.

Have you ever resisted something?

Ok, that question answers itself. Of course you have. We all have.

For our purposes today, I’m more specifically focused on the periods when we resist something that deep down we know would be good for us. Or the right thing to do. Or the intelligent thing to do. Or the helpful thing to do.

When nothing but goodness can result from taking a specific action, why do we resist it? Why do we willingly sabotage ourselves like that?

Author Steven Pressfield in his bestselling book...

From the Desk of Kimmy Sokoloff

This market can't seem to get out of its own way.

Just when you think it can head uphill, we have a rug-pull.

Today it was data out in the morning that pushed the indices lower.