Great weekend of Charts and Football for me!

How about you?

More Charts than Football? Or the other way around?

I definitely got a healthy dose of both.

And this one for me definitely stands out.

The way I learned it from Ralph Acampora many years ago was, "DON'T FIGHT PAPA DOW"

So here's the Papa Dow he was referring to. I included the key levels we've been focused on since the 2018 correction. They've really helped and I think they continue to.

But for today, let's focus on the fact that prices are both below overhead supply and above support from the summer lows.

From any sort of intermediate-term...

I know this might be breaking news to some of you, but there are often great opportunities to be had in international stocks. And the All Star Charts International Hall of Famers report regularly serves up the best setups out there.

Today's trade comes directly from the most recent report, so let's board the airplane and head abroad!

The next new trade in our Paid-to-Play portfolio is:

Here's something you don't see every day.

Silver showing a bullish divergence?

How could this not be the chart of the day?

Gold is making new multi-year lows this week, but Silver is pushing higher.

In fact, despite the recent pressure in Gold prices, Silver is going out at the highest weekly close since early August:

If there's one group that continues to stand out it's the Healthcare Providers.

We've been pounding the table again and again for one simple reason. The charts of the healthcare providers don't look like most of the other stocks.

These names are going from the lower left to the upper right. They're consolidating sideways, instead of lower.

This is what we call, "Relative Strength":

You know how I know we've been in a bear market?

Because investors got hammered. And not just in 2022, but over the past year and half.

But specifically, look at the average household over the past 2 quarters. They're seeing record losses:

Over the weekend, we've seen risk-off action persist following hotter-than-expected inflation data.

Following the Ethereum merge, most coins have sold off rather aggressively. Bitcoin now lies on a key level of support at its year-to-date lows, while a large number of altcoins have already made new lows.

For us to flip to a more bearish approach, we'd need to see Bitcoin confirm this internal weakness, which would manifest through a downward break of the 18,000 support band.

The largest insider transaction on today’s list is a Form 4 filing by two members of the Starbucks $SBUX board of directors, chair Mellody Hobson and member Richard Allison.

They reported purchases of SBUX worth a combined $5.9 million.

This is the weekly post that aggregates all the charts we put together throughout the week and organizes them all into one, easy to flip through deck.

This is the weekly post that aggregates all the charts we put together throughout the week and organizes them all into one, easy to flip through deck.

From the Desk of Ian Culley @IanCulley

The big news in commodities this week is gold breaking down to its lowest level since early 2020.

I recently outlined what a downside resolution for the shiny yellow rock could mean for inflation and the entire commodity space.

Spoiler alert: a fresh leg lower from gold doesn’t bode well for raw materials or the prospects of sustained inflation.

Nevertheless, inflation hasn’t gone anywhere, at least not yet. 

As long as that’s the case, we expect commodities to see further upside, albeit not in unison. The broad rally witnessed at the end of 2020 into 2021 is unlikely to be repeated in the near future.

Regardless, stellar buying opportunities will present themselves.

We aren't going to let the bifurcated nature of commodity markets stop us from catching the next explosive rally.

In other words, the supply and demand dynamics for copper don't affect our decision to trade soybeans or wheat.

Instead, let's trade what is in front of us – even as...

From the desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza

Our International Hall of Famers list is composed of the 100 largest US-listed international stocks, or ADRs. We’ve also sprinkled in some of the largest ADRs from countries that did not make the market cap cut. 

These stocks range from some well-known mega-cap multinationals such as Toyota Motor and Royal Dutch Shell to some large-cap global disruptors such as Sea Ltd and Shopify.

It’s got all the big names and more--but only those that are based outside the US. You can find all the largest US stocks on our original Hall of Famers list.

The beauty of these scans is really in their simplicity.

We take the largest names each week and then apply technical filters in a way that the strongest stocks with the most momentum rise to the top.

Based on the market environment, we can also flip the scan on its head and filter for weakness.

Let’s dive in and take a look at some of the most important stocks from around the world.

Here’s this week’s list:

...

From the desk of Willie Delwiche.

This week’s upside surprise in inflation is raising the stakes for next week’s FOMC meeting. While the 10-year T-Note yield is still just below its June peak, yields at the shorter-end of the curve are breaking out to the upside. Leading the way is the 1-year Treasury yield, which crossed above 4.0% this week for the first time in 15 years. Even more pronounced is the pace of its ascent. One year ago, the yield on 1-year Treasuries was just 7 basis points (0.07%). That makes for the largest year-over-year change in yields since the early 1980’s. Investors are unaccustomed to yields moving this high and this fast and that is disrupting both financial markets and the economy. Continued upward momentum in yields could leave the macro situation vulnerable to further deterioration and increase downside risks to equities. Stocks do the best in periods of sustained strength and low volatility, neither of which is present at the moment. 

Every week, the team publishes the Follow The Flow report which surfaces unusual options activity. This is a report I reference often, not because I want to do the same trades that surface in the scan, but when I can find a technical setup that I like that is supported by the options flow, this can often lead to a bit of alpha with my own options strategy.

However, in today's case, I think I may jump aboard with the unusual options buyers and play along with them in a small-cap oil tanker.

We were traveling this week and didn't hold our regular Crypto Friday Strategy Session on September 16, 2022. But we did prepare the usual chartbook.

The next new trade in our Paid-to-Play portfolio is:

The largest insider buy on today’s list comes from Sarepta Therapeutics $SRPT Director Michael Andrew Chambers.

Chambers reported the acquisition of roughly 57,100 shares, equivalent to $5.9 million.

These are the registration details for our live mid-month conference call for Premium Members of All Star Charts.

Our next Live Call will be held on Tuesday September 20th at 6PM ET. As always, if you cannot make the call live, the video and slides will be archived and published here along with every other live call since 2015.

Here are the details for Tuesday night:

From the Desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza

Although volatility has returned to equity markets this week, we continue to see pockets of strength in a variety of areas and individual stocks from our Inside Scoop universe.

While many of the strongest names continue to struggle in terms of breaking out and sustaining new highs, just as many are showing impressive resilience despite the broad market weakness.

Here we’ll outline a trade setup in a small-cap stock that’s coiling near fresh highs.

In lieu of this week’s Strategy Session, we’ll also run through some of the names from our Inside Scoop universe that stand out.

From the Desk of Ian Culley @Ianculley

Interest rates have resumed their ascent following a brief summer pause. And, in recent weeks, their climb has accelerated.

Aside from lower bond prices, what do higher rates mean for other assets, such as stocks and commodities?

It might seem like a simple question. But its relevance is undeniable given the current market conditions.

We’ve been vocal about the cyclical areas of the market that benefit most from a rising rate environment – think commodities, energy, materials, and banks. We’ve put out plenty of trade ideas in those areas.

But not all risk assets enjoy a tailwind when yields rise.

Higher rates mean downside pressure for long-duration assets in general, not just bonds. This also includes growth stocks!

Check out the chart of the US Treasury Bond ETF $TLT overlaid with the growth-versus-value ratio...