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Charting School: Fibonacci Analysis on Abbott Labs

June 23, 2020

I get asked a lot about Fibonacci and why I use it so often. If by now I haven't made that perfectly obvious, the reason we use it is because it works! Fibonacci levels help us set price targets and, most importantly, manage risk. The market tends to respect these levels, so it would be foolish for us to ignore them.

In our NEW Charting School, I explain exactly how I calculate these levels and walk you through a bunch of real life examples where they helped us over the years. You can watch Lesson 1 here for Free, and then decide if you'd like to continue with the rest of the course.

Today I want to walk you through the process of analyzing shares of Abbott Labs. But first, why Abbott Labs? Why am I interested in this name?

[Options Premium] Getting Long the Whole Space

June 22, 2020

Steve Strazza posted a great piece on a bunch of stocks in the Biotech space that are setting up for some nice runs. And he outlined 6-12 month price targets for all of them, should the move materialize. There are some robust gains to be had here:

As long as price is above its 2015 highs near 134, we don’t want to bet against this breakout. Sure, we’d like to see momentum register an overbought reading and finally confirm these new highs, but price is always the final arbiter of truth… and right now, it’s pointing higher.

From an options trader's perspective, unfortunately there isn't a ton of options volume and open interest in many of these names. This is a bummer.

But have no fear, there's still a smart, risk-defined way to play the space.

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Last Week In Review (06-19-2020)

June 22, 2020

From the desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza

For the week ended Friday, June 19, 2020:

Every week we publish performance tables for a variety of different asset classes and categories along with commentary on each.

Despite some volatility in the second half, risk assets continued their steady march higher last week. The broadening participation from Equities was again evident as every major US and Global Index was higher with the exception of Dow Utilities $DJU.

We've written extensively about the strongest areas and those first to reclaim their highs. In this post, we'll highlight a handful of Equity ETFs/Indexes which are at or just beneath fresh highs. Whether these areas work through their overhead supply or get rejected at these key levels will provide important information into the strength and durability of the current rally.

Let's dive right in and take a look at our Sector SPDR ETF table.

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We're Buying Biotechs

June 19, 2020

From the desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza

A few week's ago we profiled the strength in Biotech and highlighted the Genomics space as one of the top-performing industry groups. We said we were looking for some consolidation in these areas in the coming weeks and that if and when prices resolved higher these would be areas we'd look to for long opportunities.

It appears the weight of the evidence has spoken with Biotechs pressing back towards fresh highs after consolidating in a tight flag for over a month.

In this post, we'll highlight our top-down approach to look into the Biotech space and offer some trade ideas. Then we'll drill further down into Genomics, provide an update on what we're seeing there, and share some setups in holdings of the ARK Genomic Revolution ETF $ARKG.

Here's the iShares Nasdaq Biotech ETF $IBB.

The Importance Of Industrials

June 19, 2020

From the desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza

We talk a lot about the importance of secular leaders. More often than not these groups have a relationship to Technology, regardless of whether they are classified as a Technology stock or not. Tech is everywhere today.

The last time a sector was so pervasive would have to be Industrials way back in the mid-1900's. One could argue Financials had their time in the sun too, but that was short-lived and we all remember how it ended.

Industrials may not be as important as they once were, but they are still important.

Video: Happy Hour w/ Traders Kim Sokoloff & Joe Fahmy

June 18, 2020

I'm fortunate to have a lot of smart friends who are experts on the stock market. In some cases they're traders, or portfolio managers, analysts, financial advisors and best-selling authors. I get to have incredibly insightful conversations with my friends and colleagues every single day. But I understand that most people don't.

So today I'd like to share a video of a conversation I had yesterday with New York City Trader Kim Sokoloff, and about half way through my buddy Joe Fahmy also joined the chat. We discussed process, we talked about a few trade ideas we liked and just had an overall good time catching up.

These are the conversations I'm having regularly. I hope this gives you some insight as to how much I get to learn from my friends:

All Star Charts Premium

Retiring The Bull Market Checklist

June 18, 2020

From the desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza

In mid-April, we posted a list of 20 key chart levels we were monitoring in some of the most important assets around the world. We've used this as a risk-gauge to measure the internal strength or weakness of the market in the time since.

The list started at 60% bullish, never fell below 50%, and has been stuck at 90% with the same two bearish hold-outs for the past month now. The list has grown consistently more bullish since we began tracking it as more charts continued to break above our levels.

Since the end of May, 18 of the 20 items have been in bullish territory and many have run a good amount from our risk-levels. With the strongest stocks and indexes making new all-time highs and confirming this bullish outlook, prices have spoken and it's time we retire our bull market checklist.

[Options] Riding The Wave

June 17, 2020

Coming out of the most recent All Star Charts Monthly Conference call, one of the themes that JC stressed was the continued stream of bullish setups in the strongest sectors, and most notably Internet Retail. Makes sense, right? Outside of grocery shopping, not many people are heading to the local mall for any unnecessary "retail therapy."

Additionally, exercise-crazed Americans who've suffered their favorite gyms and yoga studios being shuttered for several months now are exploring options to get their exercise fix at home. Sounds like a perfect setup for an internet company that sells exercise equipment!

Here's JC on the opportunity setting up in Peloton $PTON:

Charting School: The Triangle

June 17, 2020

When it comes to "Continuation Patterns", Triangles are one of the more common ones you'll see. In this video we're discussing, more specifically, the Symmetrical Triangle, and how markets tend to consolidate between two converging trendlines. This series of higher lows and lower highs ultimately reaches its apex, which forces a resolution.

Throughout this course, we discuss all kinds of patterns, both continuation and reversals. In Triangle Land, we often see Symmetrical Triangles, Ascending Triangles, Descending Triangles and Wedges that appear like Triangles and have similar implications.

These are all covered in Lesson 5 of the NEW Allstarcharts Charting School:

Introducing: "Under The Hood", Trade Ideas from Robinhood

June 17, 2020

We're adding a new feature to the Premium Membership of Allstarcharts. We're calling it 'Under the Hood'.

Traditionally, we've approached the market using a top/down approach. In other words, we start by looking at stocks globally, the intermarket relationships between them all, and only then do we come to the U.S. and analyze the Indexes, then the sectors and ultimately we drill down to individual stocks. But all of those opportunities in stocks come within the framework of all the other analysis we've done to guide us into those particular names.

With few exceptions, this is our approach. And it's worked well because this process helps us identify the direction of primary trends, and we err in that direction. This keeps the probabilities of success on our side, and not just the favorable risk vs reward that we always harp on.

The IBD 50 has been a great universe of stocks, but it has an earnings and sales growth component to it, so that limits the list. And quite frankly, I couldn't give a damn how much money a company makes or loses. That isn't my problem.

Which brings us to today....

[Trade Of The Week] $PTON

June 16, 2020

Last night was our Live Video Conference Call that I host for Premium Members every month. We went over the entire global macro landscape and then drilled down to individual stocks that I think are the best vehicles to profit in the current environment.

One of the areas we continue to like, and continues to pay well, is Internet Retail. The relative strength and positive momentum coming out of these stocks has been off the charts for months.

A nice clean setup in the space is Peloton. I like how prices have been consolidating below their 161.8% extension and ready for their next leg higher: