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[Premium] Trade Of The Week

June 22, 2022

The market correction has extended over the past few weeks and the negative sentiment build-up is definitely not something that will fade away quickly. As more and more sectors move below their support zones, buy ideas are hard to come by. Today we're sharing a short idea from the financial services sector.

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The Minor Leaguers (06-21-2022)

June 21, 2022

From the desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza

Welcome to our latest Minor Leaguers report.

We’ve had some great trades come out of this small-cap-focused column since we launched it back in 2020 and started rotating it with our flagship bottom-up scan, Under the Hood.

For the first year or so, we focused only on Russell 2000 stocks with a market cap between $1 and $2B.

That was fun, but we wanted to branch out a bit and allow some new stocks to find their way onto our list.

We expanded our universe to include some mid-caps.

To make the cut for our Minor Leaguers list, a company must have a market cap between $1 and $4B.

Biotech Stocks See Bullish Options Flow

June 21, 2022

The largest insider transaction on today’s list comes in a Form 4 filing from Allied Physicians of California.

The firm reported a purchase of roughly $9.2 million in Apollo Medical Holdings $AMEH. It now owns about 11 million shares for a total ownership interest of 19%.

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[Premium] Mid-Month Conference Call Video Recording June 2022

June 20, 2022

This is the video recording of the June 2022 Mid-month Conference Call.

We discussed:

  • The S&P500 and Dow Jones Composite stuck below overhead supply
  • Major US Indexes are below their AVWAPs from the COVID lows
  • 30 consecutive weeks of more stocks making new lows than new highs
  • Seasonality could become a tailwind in July
  • Sentiment is as bad for stocks as I've ever seen
  • Relative strength out of Chinese Internet and other "culprits"
  • Bitcoin near important support
  • The US Dollar controls all of this. All eyes on DXY
  • Breadth Deterioration in Commodities
  • Long opportunities in Financials
  • Defensive Sectors are vulnerable
  • Gold is still below overhead supply
  • Copper/Gold ratio breaking down pointing to lower rates
  • Japanese Yen hits new multi-decade lows
  • Buy the dip in bonds? I think so

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Follow the Flow (06-20-2022)

June 20, 2022

From the desk of Steve Strazza @sstrazza

This is one of our favorite bottom-up scans: Follow the Flow. In this note, we simply create a universe of stocks that experienced the most unusual options activity — either bullish or bearish, but not both.

We utilize options experts, both internally and through our partnership with The TradeXchange. Then, we dig through the level 2 details and do all the work upfront for our clients.

Our goal is to isolate only those options market splashes that represent levered and high-conviction, directional bets.

We also weed out hedging activity and ensure there are no offsetting trades that either neutralize or cap the risk on these unusual options trades.

Checking In On The Worst Stocks

June 20, 2022

How's the Bear Market treating you?

We're going on over 16 months of this so far, and counting....

Remember, stocks peaked in February of 2021, meaning that was the best things were for stocks during this cycle. And it's been a slow deterioration ever since.

The first stocks to peak are what we refer to as the "Culprits". Every bear market has that group that you can point to as the leaders to the downside.

We came into 2022 with a close eye on those Culprits (see here) and we've continued to monitor their declines.

If you haven't been following along, those groups include Chinese Internet, Biotechnology, the IPO stocks, and of course Cathie Wood's ARKK Funds, who have become the poster child for this latest bubble.

But a funny thing happened 6 weeks ago - they all stopped going down.

And the leader to the upside has been Chinese Internet (yes you read that right, I had to run the numbers multiple times to believe it myself).

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The Hall of Famers (06-17-2022)

June 17, 2022

From the desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza

Our Hall of Famers list is composed of the 150 largest US-based stocks.

These stocks range from the mega-cap growth behemoths like Apple and Microsoft – with market caps in excess of $2T – to some of the new-age large-cap disruptors such as Moderna, Square, and Snap.

It has all the big names and more.

It doesn’t include ADRs or any stock not domiciled in the US. But don’t worry; we developed a separate universe for that which you can check out here.

The Hall of Famers is simple.

We take our list of 150 names and then apply our technical filters so the strongest stocks with the most momentum rise to the top.

Let’s dive right in and check out what these big boys are up to.

Here’s this week’s list:

Fintech CEOs Report Inside Purchases

June 17, 2022

William Griffith, director of Procore Technologies $PCOR, reported an additional purchase of roughly $7 million, as he continues to build his position in the stock.

Under Iconiq Strategic Partners II, he now owns about 44 million shares for a total ownership interest of 33%.

Below Overhead Supply

June 16, 2022

We give them fancy names like Bear Markets or Downtrends.

But all it really means is that the price of an asset is below overhead supply.

As investors, it's important to know that there are sellers at higher prices waiting to sell to you if/when given the opportunity.

While there are an infinite number of examples in the current market environment, the S&P500 offers a clean look at exactly this: