Whenever you hear them say the word "Tariffs", you call your broker, or open your brokerage account, and you buy more stocks, particularly the Chinese ones.
And who is "they" exactly?
You know who "they" is. Mostly the noisemakers. People who produce tv shows about "trading", or write "news" articles about financial markets. Permabears looking for their next excuse to make poor decisions...
You know, they!
"They" are the ones we want to fade.
"We" are the ones who we want to make money.
And so every time they tell you the stock market is going to fall because of something they call "Tariffs", we just buy more stocks betting that stocks will rise in price (because or despite these so called, "Tariffs").
So far this is working. China doubled the returns of the Nasdaq100 in January, with the $FXI returning 4.7% last month. Meanwhile, the Chinese Internet ETF $KWEB rallied almost 7% for January.
As a reminder, we are in the midst of a bullish momentum thrust regime for Chinese stocks, so this shouldn't be surprising.
The big takeaway here is the continued green among a select few industry groups.
Cloud, Broker Dealers, Cyber Security, Software etc. These have all been strong industries over the years, so it's no surprise to see these all inhabiting the green region of this table.
A group among the green candidates which is surprising is the iShares U.S. Telecommunications ETF $IYZ. This ETF is still down 50% from its launch in 2000 and still trading at the same levels as it was 22 years ago.
Yet, it's shown impressive strength in recent times. If it can break above its pivot highs near 28, it would point to a continuation of this relative strength.
Our International Hall of Famers list is composed of the 100 largest US-listed international stocks, or ADRs.
We've also sprinkled in some of the largest ADRs from countries that did not make the market cap cut.
These stocks range from some well-known mega-cap multinationals such as Toyota Motor and Royal Dutch Shell to some large-cap global disruptors such as Sea Ltd and Shopify.
It's got all the big names and more–but only those that are based outside the US. You can find all the largest US stocks on our original Hall of Famers list.
The beauty of these scans is really in their simplicity.
We take the largest names each week and then apply technical filters in a way that the strongest stocks with the most momentum rise to the top.
Based on the market environment, we can also flip the scan on its head and filter for weakness.
Let's dive in and take a look at some of the most important stocks from around the world.
The percentage of S&P 500 stocks reaching 12-month highs is now at its highest level since November of last year.
Here’s the chart:
(right-click and open image in new tab to zoom in)
Let's break down what the chart shows:
The blue line in the top panel is the S&P 500 index price.
The black line in the bottom panelshows the percentage of S&P 500 stocks making 12-month highs.
The Takeaway: Breadth continues to improve, although the S&P 500 is currently down 0.49% week-to-date, when you look under the hood, you can see that 12-month highs are expanding and have reached their highest level in over two months.
This is called participation… which is a necessary condition for any bull market, and the current bulls have consistently demonstrated their resilience and strength.
The stock market can only decline with an expansion in the new lows list, and the percentage of S&P 500 stocks hitting new lows across all time...
Welcome to TheJunior International Hall of Famers.
With the goal of finding more bullish setups, we have decided to expand one of our favorite scans and broaden our regular coverage of the largest US-listed international stocks, or ADRs.
This scan is composed of the next 100 largest stocks by market cap, those that come after the top 100 and are thus covered by the International Hall of Famers universe.
Many of these names will someday graduate and join our original International Hall Of Famers list. The idea here is to catch these big trends as early on as possible.
Let’s dive right in and check out what these future big boys are up to.
This is our Junior International Hall of Famers list:
Click table to enlarge view
And here’s how we arrived at it…
We removed laggards which are down 5% or more relative to the ACWI Ex. U.S. Index $ACWX over the trailing...
MSFT got hit. AAPL pulled some gains forward ahead of their report. META is an absolute monster. And the setup in TSLA looks as good as anything after a muted reaction.
This is all great. I own most of these names still, and I’m content with them. I’ve taken profits in some - like META & NVDA, and I’ve added to others - like TSLA & GOOGL, recently. I think they all keep drifting higher. But, they don’t excite me.
US mega tech is no longer a conviction long for me.