Today's standout insider transaction comes from Ally Financial $ALLY CEO Michael G. Rhodes, who just made a bold move, buying 25,634 shares worth roughly $1 million.
When a CEO puts their own money on the line, it's always worth paying attention.
Here’s The Hot Corner, with data from January 29, 2025:
Last but not least, John C. Malone is back at it, adding to his stake in The Liberty Braves Group $BATRA with a fresh $935,450 buy.
Small-caps are currently experiencing their third-longest period without reaching all-time highs. So far, it has lasted 808 trading days, and they are still in a 6.7% drawdown.
Here’s the chart:
(right-click and open image in new tab to zoom in)
Let's break down what the chart shows:
The dark blue line in the top is the S&P 500 index price.
The gray line in the top panel is the all-time high level.
The red line in the middle shows the all-time high drawdown in small caps.
The light blue line in the bottom shows the consecutive trading days since we last saw an all-time high in small caps.
The Takeaway: Is 2025 the year we see all-time highs in small caps? Maybe.
But right now, Small-caps are currently trading below their previous cycle highs from 2021 and have been for the past 808 trading days.
Small-cap stocks are often under-owned and underappreciated, leading to low overall expectations for...
Technology isn't even in the top 10 ETFs, and it's Equal Weight Technology $RSPT over Large Cap Technology $XLK.
Sectors like industrials, utilities, and financials are well into the green further solidifying the broad participation on a sector level.
And despite the headlines about DeepSeek impacting semiconductors, look at the action in sectors like Communications $XLC. Tremendously optimistic behavior.
We're in New York City for the Portfolio Accelerator this week, which has been tremendous.
This morning, we led a discussion about metals, bonds, economic data, and much more. Paul Ciena, the chief technical strategist at Bank of America, overlayed momentum with the unemployment rate (such a junky thing to do haha).
The technical analysis and conversations have been off the charts here.
We recorded an extra special episode of Gold Rush for you all LIVE from New York City.
Yesterday was unreal. We visited the NYSE with Jay Woods and got a full tour of the place.
Walking the trading floor during market hours was an incredible experience—watching the action and how things work, staying until the closing bell, and taking in that iconic moment firsthand. I’ll never forget it.
Afterward, we hung out and had some drinks right there on the floor. I feel like I just lived through the classic NYSE traders routine.
Then it was right back to work. We woke up this morning and hit it hard.
We just ended the first day of presentations, and everyone absolutely crushed it.
JC kicked things off with a state of the markets talking about sector rotation and why it is the lifeblood of a bull market.
We discussed a ton of ideas and finally made some trades.
Jason did a deep dive on Gold and Precious Metals.
I'm at the All Star Charts Portfolio Accelerator event in New York City.
One topic I discussed this morning with everyone is a volatility-triggered setup I'm seeing in the iShares Bitcoin ETF $IBIT. We have a short history to work with, but this bears attention.
In this scan, we look to identify the strongest growth stocks as they climb the market-cap ladder from small- to mid- to large- and, ultimately, to mega cap status (over $200B).
Once they graduate from small-cap to mid-cap status (over $2B), they come on our radar. Likewise, when they surpass the roughly $30B mark, they roll off our list.
But the scan doesn't just end there.
We only want to look at the strongest growth industries in the market, as that is typically where these potential 50-baggers come from.
Some of the best performers in recent decades – stocks like Priceline, Amazon, Netflix, Salesforce, and myriad others – would have been on this list at some point during their journey to becoming the market behemoths they are today.
When you look at the stocks in our table, you'll notice we're only focused on Technology and Growth industry groups such as Software, Semiconductors, Online...
My Fear or Strength Model was in a bearish mode for the last 22 trading days. However, as of Monday, the model has switched to bullish mode.
Here’s the chart:
(right-click and open image in new tab to zoom in)
Let's break down what the chart shows:
The black line in the top panel is the S&P 500 index price.
The green shading highlights the model is in bullish mode.
The red shading highlights the model is in bearish mode.
The black line in the middle panel is the 10-day average of the NYSE+NASDAQ net new high advance-decline line - The model's “strength” component. The gray shading represents the AD line is rising.
The black line in the bottom panel is the Volatility index, which is the model's “fear” component. The gray shading represents the VIX reading above 28.5.
On Monday, the S&P 500 closed down by 1.46%. However, if you look deeper, you will actually see that 351 (69%) S&P 500 stocks advanced while only 152 declined for the day.
Here's the data:
(right-click and open image in new tab to zoom in)
Let's break down what the table shows:
The first row represents the advancing stocks of the S&P 500, while the second row shows the declining stocks. Each column corresponds to a trading day, starting with the current day on the left and moving to the right through the past ten days.
The Takeaway: The breadth of the S&P 500 has improved over the past two weeks. In 9 of the last 11 trading days, more stocks have advanced than declined. Even on days when the index showed weakness, breadth continued to improve.
But let's take a closer look at yesterday's scenario: When the S&P 500 index drops by over 1% and more than half of the stocks (over 50%) advance.
I found that this scenario hasn't happened too often. In fact, this has only happened twice in...
Every few months, the whole All Star Charts crew gets together with program members and some of our closest friends in the industry for an exclusive gathering of the brightest minds in finance.
It’s the perfect opportunity to connect with incredible people and dive deep into what’s working in the markets right now.
Last year was amazing, but I already know this one’s going to take it to another level.
It’s my third time in the city, and I feel so fortunate to be part of something like this.
Being around some of the sharpest traders, portfolio managers, and technicians isn’t just inspiring—it’s a massive chance to learn and grow.
Everyone’s here—JC, Sean, Sam, Patrick. These are my people. And every time we come...