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Hot Corner Insider

Estee Lauder Director Fribourg Reports a $5 Million Buy

November 21, 2024

Paul J. Friborg director at Estee Lauder Companies $EL continues to build a position in his own company’s stock.

This time, Friborg revealed a $5 million purchase, following a $10 million purchase earlier this week.

Here’s The Hot Corner, with data from November 20, 2024:

 

In another Form 4, Merchants Bank $MBIN director Patrick D. O'brien revealed a purchase of MBIN stock with a total value of $2,000,000.

The CEO of Enphase Energy $ENPH revealed the acquisition of 5,000 shares, equivalent to $308,727.

Solar stocks have fallen off a cliff since they peaked in 2021. But we’re now seeing multiple executives stepping in to buy shares in their own companies.

We’ve seen filings from top decision-makers at SolarEdge Technologies $SEDG, Sunnova Energy...

Alfonso’s Daily Note

Textbook Retest in Healthcare

November 20, 2024

The big theme this week is textbook retests. We’re seeing this kind of price action across the board right now.

One that stands out is the large cap healthcare index. 

The healthcare sector is finding its footing after experiencing significant downside pressure in recent weeks.

 

Price is currently testing a critical level of former resistance marked by a shelf of prior cycle highs.

With so much price memory here, this area represents a logical level for XLV to catch a bid.

And so far it is. The bulls are digging in and flipping this old resistance zone into support.  

The line in the sand is $140. As long as XLV holds above this level, I’ll give the bulls the benefit of the doubt. This area offers a great place for a defined risk entry for a potential bounce.

I’m also watching how the smallest and most volatile stocks,...

Hot Corner Insider

A Bullish Pattern Resolution

November 20, 2024

Thanks to everyone who joined us for today's Hot Corner Insider Weekly Strategy Session.

Here are the top three takeaways from the call:

  • Small-caps hold the line

The S&P Small Cap 600 Index $IJR pulled back to test former resistance, which is now acting as support.

Buyers stepped in to defend this critical level, leaving the post-election gap partially filled:

 

As long as prices hold above the prior cycle highs, this is a bullish pattern resolution.

  • Big-cap tech losing leadership?

The summer sell-off looks like the initiation of a new downtrend for the XLK/SPY ratio.

This is happening exactly where the ratio peaked during the dot-com bubble.

 

The current market playbook has shifted: smaller, more speculative stocks are stepping up as the new leaders while the...

The Daily Number

The Daily Number 💯 Thursday, November 21, 2024

November 20, 2024

Today's number is... 17

The BofA US High Yield Option-Adjusted Spread is at a 17-year low, a level not seen since before the GFC market crash.

Here’s the chart:

 

(right-click and open image in new tab to zoom in)

Let's break down what it shows:

  • The blue line shows the price of the S&P 500 index.
  • The black line represents the BofA US High Yield Option Adjusted Spread.

The Takeaway: A rise in high-yield spreads indicates increasing volatility and stress, reflecting a Risk-Off market behavior. Conversely, a decline in high-yield spreads suggests that investors are confident and actively seeking risk, indicating a Risk-On market behavior.

Currently, We are at 17-year lows in this spread. If the bond market isn't experiencing stress, then why should we be concerned? After all, the bond market is one of the largest in the world. If there were real stress in the market, it would likely be reflected in credit.

At this moment, credit spreads are sending a clear message: Relax...

All Star Options

[Options Premium] If This Level Sticks, IWM Rips.

November 20, 2024

We've got Nvidia earnings after the bell this afternoon. The feeling I shared to my analysts today -- and they all agreed -- is that if Nvidia disappoints, the likely result will be a small speedbump for the overall stock market. But if investors cheer the Nvidia earnings results, then gas is going to get poured on this bull market.

The Russell 2000 Small Cap ETF $IWM does not have direct exposure to $NVDA, so our risks feel limited on the downside. However, in a resumption of the bull market, small caps have a good chance of ripping to and through new highs.

That's the bet we're making today.

2 to 100 Club,
All Star Charts Premium

2 to 100 Club (11-20-2024)

November 20, 2024

From the Desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza

Welcome to The 2 to 100 Club.

In this scan, we look to identify the strongest growth stocks as they climb the market-cap ladder from small- to mid- to large- and, ultimately, to mega cap status (over $200B).

Once they graduate from small-cap to mid-cap status (over $2B), they come on our radar. Likewise, when they surpass the roughly $30B mark, they roll off our list.

But the scan doesn't just end there.

We only want to look at the strongest growth industries in the market, as that is typically where these potential 50-baggers come from.

Some of the best performers in recent decades – stocks like Priceline, Amazon, Netflix, Salesforce, and myriad others – would have been on this list at some point during their journey to becoming the market behemoths they are today.

When you look at the stocks in our table, you'll notice we're only focused on Technology and Growth industry groups such as Software, Semiconductors, Online...

Options Paid to Play

[Options P2P] Daily Digest 11/20/24

November 20, 2024

In today’s Daily Digest, we’ll review the following:

  1. New position in IBB.
  2. No adjustments are needed today.
  3. Exited XME position for a profit.
  4. Current status of open campaigns.
  5. Volatility Snapshot.

Let’s dig in!

Hot Corner Insider

Solar Stocks Are Lighting Up the Hot Corner

November 20, 2024

Solar stocks are lighting up our Hot Corner universe again.

This time, Form 4 purchases are stealing the spotlight:

  • Sunnova Energy International $NOVA director Mohamed Akbar just dropped $389,728 on his own stock.
  • Array Technologies’ $ARRY CEO stepped up too, buying 14,430 shares.

When these executives start putting their skin in the game, and it comes in clusters, it's worth taking notice.

Even though solar stocks have been among the most hated in the entire market, they might be close to a turning point…

Here’s ARRY consolidating at a shelf of former lows:

 

There isn’t a more logical place for ARRY to dig in and rebound, than at the current support level. 

Here’s The Hot Corner, with data from...

All Star Charts Crypto

📊 Learning to Fail Upwards

November 20, 2024

In crypto, we love posting about our wins.

The 100x gains. The perfect entries. The "called it" moments.

But today, I want to talk about losing money. Because in the midst of this bull market - where we've caught some incredible moves like our 200% gain in OM - I just took an L on a Bitcoin mining trade.

And honestly? I couldn't be happier about it.

 

Alfonso’s Daily Note

BTC Is Back on Top

November 19, 2024

One effective way to identify relative strength is by charting one asset class against another.

This approach helps us position ourselves strategically for the current market environment—and right now, it's all about crypto.

Bitcoin is breaking out of a multi-year base relative to the Dow Jones Industrial Average.

 

The ratio is piercing through the upper bounds of its base, suggesting that BTC is ready to reassert its former leadership.

If this breakout...

All Star Charts Premium,
ASC Mastermind

ASC Mastermind Week 8: How To Really Make Money With Dividends

Below is the 8th ASC Mastermind  Course. In this video, I got a helpful assist from All Star Charts Director of Research Steve Strazza. 

There's something psychologically magical about dividends. For decades, investors have flocked to all sorts of investment strategies that seek to maximize dividend gains...perhaps because they simply like getting paid to invest. 

But these strategies that focus on dividend-paying stocks...they miss the point entirely. The best way to make money with dividends is not to own the stocks that simply pay the highest yield...it's to own the stocks that pay a dividend while also going up in value.

This is how we avoid common dividend traps like Verizon, AT&T, Phillip Morris, and other companies that have a nice yield but are otherwise garbage investments. 

At All Star Charts, we came up with a new to find the best dividend-paying stocks. We call it The Young Aristocrats. And in this Mastermind course, you'll learn how it works. 

Enjoy.

 

All Star Options

[Options] Bring on the Kitty

November 19, 2024

In today's Flow Show, Steve Strazza said: "Bull Markets give us options."

And he's right.

There is an embarrassment of opportunities right now. And he came to the show with a list of ideas that we reviewed. 

You can watch the full episode here:

 

 

There were two trades I wanted to put on that were discussed during the show.

Today, I'm choosing to enter the Gamestop $GME idea.

So here's the $GME chart:

 

Now, forget everything you ever learned in technical analysis school. And you can certainly throw your fundamental texts in the garbage. None of that will help you with this stock. It doesn't follow the rules or even logic and certainly not common sense.

This is and will likely forever be a story stock. A meme stock. Nothing else.

And right now, $GME is showing signs of waking up again. With options premium in out-of-the-money calls insane, it sets up a nice opportunity for us to leverage that premium to our advantage.

Here's the Play:

I like buying a $GME January 30/40 Bull Call Spread for approximately $1.35 net debit. This means I'll be long the Jan 30 calls and short...

Options Paid to Play

[Options P2P] Daily Digest 11/19/24

November 19, 2024

In today’s Daily Digest, we’ll review the following:

  1. New position in USO.
  2. No adjustments are needed today.
  3. No exits since the last report.
  4. Current status of open campaigns.
  5. Volatility Snapshot.

Let’s dig in!