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Hot Corner Insider

Director Stallings Buys 7,676 TCBI Shares

January 29, 2025

Today’s standout insider transaction comes from Robert W. Stallings, director of Texas Capital Bancshares $TCBI.

Stallings just made a bold move, scooping up 7,676 TCBI shares for a total of $146,705.

Here’s The Hot Corner, with data from January 28, 2025:

 

Meanwhile, institutions are making waves too.

Victory Capital Management just increased its stake in Genpact Limited $G, filing a 13G that reveals a bump from 4.72% to 5.19%.

The Daily Number

The Daily Number 💯 Wednesday, January 29, 2025

January 28, 2025

Today's number is... 22

My Fear or Strength Model was in a bearish mode for the last 22 trading days. However, as of Monday, the model has switched to bullish mode.

Here’s the chart:

 

(right-click and open image in new tab to zoom in)

Let's break down what the chart shows:

  • The black line in the top panel is the S&P 500 index price.
  • The green shading highlights the model is in bullish mode.
  • The red shading highlights the model is in bearish mode.
  • The black line in the middle panel is the 10-day average of the NYSE+NASDAQ net new high advance-decline line - The model's “strength” component. The gray shading represents the AD line is rising.
  • The black line in the bottom panel is the Volatility index, which is the model's “fear” component. The gray shading represents the VIX reading above 28.5.

The Takeaway: For the past 22 days...

ETF Power Rankings Archives

🔎 Growth Still Green Following DeepSeek

January 28, 2025
📊 Daily ETF Overview 

Growth sold off yesterday on headlines following the release of the new Chinese artificial system, DeepSeek.

But in spite of this weakness, many key growth names still closed the day positive and at new highs.

Large Cap Growth $IWF is still solidly green; nothing has changed here.

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The Strazza Letter

Europe is Back!

January 28, 2025

Europe has come a really long way in just a short while

The Euro STOXX 50, an index of the largest blue-chip companies in the Eurozone, is up about 10% in less than a month. 

I remember a time not long ago when I was worrying about the potential tops that had formed in Europe.

They never completed. Instead, we hooked higher like we’ve seen so many times before.

This is what the STOXX 50 $FEZ chart looked like coming into the year (in USD).

 

What a nasty distribution pattern, right?

But here's what it looks like today.

 

Buyers showed up and defended this key support zone again in December. 

For now this top is nothing like the top from the prior cycle. It's likely just another continuation pattern. It completes on a breakout above 54.

So what is next for Europe?

Considering the messy, rangebound action for...

Options Paid to Play

[Options P2P] Daily Digest 1/28/25

January 28, 2025

In today’s Daily Digest, we’ll review the following:

  1. New position in SMH.
  2. No adjustments are needed today.
  3. Exited IGV at Profit Target.
  4. Current status of open campaigns.
  5. Volatility Snapshot.

Let’s dig in!

Hot Corner Insider

CFO Hutchinson Reports a $750,000 ALLY Purchase

January 28, 2025

Today’s standout insider transaction comes from Russ Hutchinson, chief financial officer of Ally Financial Inc $ALLY.

Hutchinson made a significant purchase of 19,100 ALLY shares, totaling $753,473.

Here’s The Hot Corner, with data from January 27, 2025:

 

CFOs are often the secret sauce of insider trading.

They have unparalleled insight into the company’s financial health and future prospects—they know the numbers better than anyone else.

When a CFO puts their own money on the line, it can signal strong confidence in the stock.

The Daily Number

The Daily Number 💯 Tuesday, January 28, 2025

January 28, 2025

Today's number is... 351

On Monday, the S&P 500 closed down by 1.46%. However, if you look deeper, you will actually see that 351 (69%) S&P 500 stocks advanced while only 152 declined for the day.

Here's the data:

 

(right-click and open image in new tab to zoom in)

Let's break down what the table shows:

The first row represents the advancing stocks of the S&P 500, while the second row shows the declining stocks. Each column corresponds to a trading day, starting with the current day on the left and moving to the right through the past ten days.

The Takeaway: The breadth of the S&P 500 has improved over the past two weeks. In 9 of the last 11 trading days, more stocks have advanced than declined. Even on days when the index showed weakness, breadth continued to improve. 

But let's take a closer look at yesterday's scenario: When the S&P 500 index drops by over 1% and more than half of the stocks (over 50%) advance.

I found that this scenario hasn't happened too often. In fact, this has only happened twice in...

Alfonso’s Daily Note

Live From NYC: Exclusive Insights & Strategies

January 27, 2025

Just landed in NYC for our Portfolio Accelerator event, and I couldn’t be more excited!

Every few months, the whole All Star Charts crew gets together with program members and some of our closest friends in the industry for an exclusive gathering of the brightest minds in finance.

It’s the perfect opportunity to connect with incredible people and dive deep into what’s working in the markets right now.

Last year was amazing, but I already know this one’s going to take it to another level.

It’s my third time in the city, and I feel so fortunate to be part of something like this.

Being around some of the sharpest traders, portfolio managers, and technicians isn’t just inspiring—it’s a massive chance to learn and grow.

Everyone’s here—JC, Sean, Sam, Patrick. These are my people. And every time we come...

All Star Charts Premium

The Minor Leaguers (01-27-2025)

January 27, 2025

From the Desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza

Welcome to The Minor Leaguers.

We've had some great trades come out of this small-cap-focused column since we launched it back in 2020 and started rotating it with our flagship bottom-up scan, Under the Hood.

For the first year or so, we focused only on Russell 2000 stocks with a market cap between $1 and $2B.

That was fun, but we wanted to branch out a bit and allow some new stocks to find their way onto our list.

We expanded our universe to include some mid-caps.

Nowadays, to make the cut for our Minor Leaguers list, a company must have a market cap between $1 and $4B.

And it doesn't have to be a Russell component — it can be any US-listed equity. With participation expanding around the globe, we want all those ADRs in our universe.

The same price and liquidity filters are applied. Then, as always, we sort by proximity to new...

All Star Options

[Options Premium] Banking on This Being a Temporary Dip

January 27, 2025

News over the weekend seems to have spooked investors this morning, particularly in the tech sector. And the effects are spilling out all across the market.

Are investors being a little overly dramatic here? 

The bet we're making is YES.

Today's trade is not in a tech stock, just a boring old bank that has been trending higher for over a year now.

The Strazza Letter

Let's Talk About this FOMC Decision

January 27, 2025

I keep hearing that today’s FOMC announcement and press conference will be a snoozefest.

I couldn’t disagree more.

I think a major development is riding on the market's expectation for future rate cuts.

In recent weeks, the expectations for the next rate cut have moved forward.

During this time, Trump has put pressure on the Fed, and the latest CPI report showed inflation cooling.

But, the reason doesn’t matter as much as the fact that the bond market is buying the story.

The US 10-yr has fallen from about 4.8% to 4.55% in the last two weeks.

More importantly, it’s taking the US Dollar with it.

 

DXY is the most critical chart in the world right now and it is moving with the bond market and investors’ expectations for interest rates.

If Powell gives any indication that they are moving lower sooner today, it could be the catalyst needed to fail this breakout and send DXY back into its old range.

If the dollar rolls over here or even falls back into a sideways trend, the impact could be massive for risk assets.

And I don’t just mean US equities. I think international stocks stand to win more than...

Options Paid to Play

[Options P2P] Daily Digest 1/27/25

January 27, 2025

In today’s Daily Digest, we’ll review the following:

  1. New position in XLC.
  2. No adjustments are needed today.
  3. No exits since the last report.
  4. Current status of open campaigns.
  5. Volatility Snapshot.

Let’s dig in!

All Star Charts Premium

Turn the TV off

January 27, 2025

This morning is just a friendly reminder to turn off the TV.

There's nothing on there to help you. It's not their job to help you make better and more informed investing decisions.

In fact, it's quite the opposite. Their only job is to convince you that you need to come back and keep watching.

That's it. That's literally their only job.

Some people are too weak to overcome their tricks, and instead fall for the old trap of, "I need to watch so I can stay informed".

 implications, however, are NOT that you'll be more informed. In fact, you're actually going to be a lot more misinformed.

Again, their job is NOT to inform you, or even to help you. That's never been their job, not matter how much they pretend that it is.

So don't fall for the trap of traditional media. If they've proven anything over the years, it's that they cannot be trusted.

Turn it off. And put on some music instead.

I'll let you know when I'm on tv, and you can turn it on for a few minutes. Or better yet, I'll just send you the video replay.

But everything you need to know you'll see right here first. 

Now, with that in mind,...

Hot Corner Insider

Control Empresarial Buys 100,000 PBF Shares

January 27, 2025

First up, Control Empresarial de Capitales S.A., the Mexican investment firm known for its deep pockets and strategic plays, just scooped up 100,000 shares of PBF Energy Inc $PBF.

That’s a $2.9 million bet on the refiner, and it raises eyebrows as energy stocks continue their promising climb into the first weeks of 2025.

Here’s The Hot Corner, with data from January 24, 2025:

 

Meanwhile, John C. Malone has added to his stake in The Liberty Braves Group $BATRA.

Malone grabbed 33,600 shares, reinforcing his commitment to the company behind the Atlanta Braves franchise. 

The Daily Number

The Daily Number 💯 Monday, January 27, 2025

January 27, 2025

Today's number is... 22

My Developed Markets Advance-Decline line, which consists of 22 developed markets, just closed at an all-time high.

Here’s the chart:

 

(right-click and open image in new tab to zoom in)

Let's break down what it shows:

The black line represents the Developed Markets Advance-Decline line, which includes the following countries' ETFs: Canada, USA, Austria, Belgium, Denmark, Finland, France, Germany, Ireland, Israel, Italy, Netherlands, Norway, Spain, Sweden, Switzerland, UK, Australia, Hong Kong, Japan, New Zealand, and Singapore.

The Takeaway: I like using this AD Line as it is a valuable indicator for assessing overall market strength. It measures the number of developed markets participating or not, providing us with insights into the health of the market move. So, when more markets are advancing than declining, the AD Line rises; in contrast, it falls when there are more declining markets than advancing ones.

Currently, this AD line is at its highest level ever, which means that the strong...

ETF Power Rankings Archives

🔎 This Country Returned 65% Over the Last Year

January 26, 2025
📊 Daily ETF Overview 

We want to bring your attention to Argentina.

By our rankings, ARGT has ranked the best global ETF every single week for the last three months.

That's an incredibly impressive record.

 

The message here is simple; there are strong areas of outperformance outside the United States.

The team is in New York this week to get together with our intimate Portfolio Accelerator group. If you want to join to get access to these exclusive events and have access to our analyst team, you can apply here. Spaces are limited!

ETF Power Rankings Archives

🔎 Broker Dealers Are Up +45% Since 2024.

January 26, 2025
📊 Daily ETF Overview 

Notice all the same industry groups constantly green:

  • Broker Dealers & Exchanges
  • Cloud
  • Internet
  • Cyber Security
  • Software
  • Regional Banks

This is what a persistently green trend on our power rankings looks like.

Let the winners ride.

 

Broker Dealers & Exchanges $IAI is up +45% since 2024!

These are precisely the opportunities we'll be discussing at our exclusive Portfolio Accelerator event in New York next week. Not only are members granted access to these fantastic events throughout the year, but they're also given access to our internal analyst meetings.

You can click here to apply; spaces are limited!