This is the weekly post that aggregates all the charts we put together throughout the week and organizes them all into one, easy to flip through deck.

Sector rotation continues to be a major driving factor in this market.

We talked about it earlier this week in our LIVE Strategy Session. 

While some sectors and industry groups have been taking a breather, after these historic runs, other stocks have been catching a bid - things like Medical Equipment, Airlines and now Energy stocks.

The one constant, however, is the rotation OUT of Consumer Staples.

This defensive sector consistently outperforms when stocks are under pressure, and when it's a less than ideal environment to be putting risk on in equities.

This is the opposite of that.

Look at the new all-time lows for Consumer Staples relative to the S&P500:

And while Consumer Staples tend to underperform in healthy environments, it's the Consumer Discretionary stocks that outperform the broader markets during the good...

The commodity bears are going into hibernation.

Today was the best day in years for commodities relative to stocks and bonds. 

Inflation expectations are hitting a fresh 30-month high, with crude oil's price breaking out to 10-week highs.

We think this is the beginning of a much longer period of commodity outperformance.

A few weeks ago, we told you a big move in the energy markets was coming. We think this recent price action has marked the beginning of that move.

In addition, we outlined why we're buying copper futures last week, and so far, that trade has been a home run.

What's next?

We think aluminum futures are up next....

The market of stocks has been a chop fest for the past month, prompting me to keep a close eye on market internals.

While trends in the major indexes remain unaffected, short-term weakness has been steadily creeping in beneath the surface.

The average 52-week drawdown of S&P 500 stocks has reached -18.2%. This means the average stock is experiencing its sharpest decline in over a year.

This kind of internal weakness begs the question of whether this is just a standard corrective wave within an ongoing bull market? Or are we witnessing the start of something more consequential, and even deeper drawdowns are ahead?

While there’s no need for alarm just yet, it’s crucial to stay mindful of how market participation is shifting.

We were super bullish on banks in the back half of last year.

They were the ultimate Trump trade ahead of the election.

The SPDR Bank Index $KBE rallied 45% from its summer lows to its Q4 highs.

We wrote about the strong correlation between banks and Trump’s odds to win the election last year. That was the signal for almost all of 2024. If you called the election right, you nailed the bank trade.

And we did just that.

But today’s action in the banks looks a lot different than it did just a few months ago.

We no longer have election odds to trade on, and the market seems to have priced in all the potential deregulation gains… and then some.

SPDR Bank Index is down almost 17% from its December highs.

...

This chart, hands down, is one of my all time favorites. It tells the entire story.

Bond yields hit their first long term cycle bottom in the 1940s. Then we had the stagflation of the ’70s, followed by the blow off top in 1982. From there, a nearly 40 year downtrend in yields that ended in 2020.

After that, yields have been grinding higher.

Now, if there’s ever going to be a year where bond yields take a breather, it’s probably this one. 

But here’s the thing. In an environment where inflation refuses to back off, any dips in yields are likely to be short lived.

And let me make this crystal clear… just like I’ve been saying for the last five years: Long bond yields are going to have a hard time breaking lower.
 

And as always, be sure to download this week’s Bond Report

 Allstarcharts Team

Find the Winners in Retail’s Report Card. Jeff Macke’s free retail stock report is your key to...

As stocks continue to slide, there are certain sectors and individual names that are beginning to reveal their strength.

It is times like these that offer better than average potential rewards to risk if we mind our risks carefully.

Today's trade is in a stock that looks to be emerging from a two-year consolidation that has come at the end of a massive 10-year base!

In today’s Daily Digest, we’ll review the following:

1. No new positions today.
2. Defensive adjustment to XOP position.
3. No exits since the last report.
4. Current status of open campaigns.
5. Volatility Snapshot.

Let’s dig in!

From the desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza

Our Hall of Famers list is composed of the 150 largest US-based stocks.

These stocks range from the mega-cap growth behemoths like Apple and Microsoft – with market caps in excess of $2T – to some of the new-age large-cap disruptors such as Moderna, Square, and Snap.

It has all the big names and more.

It doesn’t include ADRs or any stock not domiciled in the US. But don’t worry; we developed a separate universe for that. Click here to check it out.

The Hall of Famers is simple.

We take our list of 150 names and then apply our technical filters so the strongest stocks with the most momentum rise to the top.

Let’s dive right in and check out what these big boys are up to.

Here’s this week’s list:

*Click table to enlarge view

We filter out any laggards that are down -5% or more relative to the S&P 500 over the trailing month.

Then, we...

Today's number is... 0.64%

The First Five Days indicator for 2025 showed a positive return of 0.64%. 

Here’s the table:

Here’s a bonus table highlighting all the positive years:

The Takeaway: Since 1950, this indicator has been positive 48 times. When it is positive, it has an average yearly gain of 15.6%, which is above the average yearly return of the S&P 500. Of the 48 years with a positive First Five Days, 83% have concluded the year on a positive note.

Not bad if you ask me.

But next on the list from Stock Trader's Almanac is the January Barometer (January Percentage Change), which is considered the most important of the January Trifecta (Santa Claus Rally, First Five Days & January Barometer) and I can confirm that if the January Barometer is positive, it returns on average a massive 18.1% yearly gain. Of...

Last week we discussed how Retail $XRT is transitioning from red to green and this bullish development is still intact.
 

With the Retail ETF $XRT retesting this level of support, it would be a logical place for buyers to step back in.

The next few weeks are the most critical time of year for investors in retail and consumer stocks, as companies report their results from the 2024 holiday season and set expectations for 2025.

Find out which retail stocks are best positioned right now in this free report from long-time retail analyst Jeff Macke. 

Get the report here. 

There's no notable changes across our thematic universe, except for emerging/China technology, which has transitioned to red.

This is pictured below.
 

The China Technology ETF $CQQQ has broken below a key level of support.

We want to see this theme transition back to green and for this support to get reclaimed before getting overly bullish.

Take a look at Large Cap Technology $XLK—it’s made a bold move, flipping from red to green as it chews through that overhead supply at former resistance.
 

The tape’s telling us the breakout might take its sweet time, but when it happens, expect tech to light up in full-on green mode.

To become better investors and traders, it’s natural for our minds to gravitate toward the mechanics of investing. We reach for the best research, systems, chart patterns, risk management strategies, and indicators—the list is endless.

And rightly so. These elements form the backbone of trading. I provide research every day with the intention of offering a valuable filter to help people focus on the most critical aspects of trading and ignore the noise.

But as essential as these tools and strategies are, there’s something even more fundamental—a foundation beneath the foundation.

Well-being.

This might not come as a revelation, given the growing cultural recognition of self-care, but consider this post a gentle reminder to pause and check in with yourself.

Are you attending to the things in your life that truly require your attention

• Are you getting enough sleep?
• Are your dietary habits supporting your energy and focus?
• Are you moving your body regularly, even if just a little each day?
• Are you nurturing meaningful relationships or spending time in way that recharge you?

Here’s why this is so...

From the Desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza

We love our bottoms-up scans here at All Star Charts. We tend to get really creative when making new universes as we want to be sure they will deliver us the best opportunities the market has to offer.

However, when it comes to this one, it couldn't be any simpler!

With the goal of finding more bullish setups, we have decided to expand one of our favorite scans and broaden our regular coverage of the largest US stocks.

Welcome to The Junior Hall of Famers.

This scan is composed of the next 150 largest stocks by market cap, those that come after the top 150 and are thus covered by the Hall of Famers universe. Many of these names will someday graduate and join our original Hall Of Famers list. The idea here is to catch these big trends as early on as possible.

There is no need to overcomplicate things. Market cap is a quality filter at the end of the day. It only grows if price is rising. That's good enough for us.

The bottom line is it is a bull market. We...

While the uptrends in the major indexes are holding up well, it's been a tale of mixed signals beneath the surface.

Some sectors and groups are showing strength, while others continue to lag behind.

Banks, for that matter, are an important piece of the puzzle. They are the backbone of the financial sector. They are some of the most important businesses for the US and global economy. 

How bank stocks perform gives us a good read on where the broader market is headed.

The SPDR S&P Banks ETF $KBE took a shot at breaking out of this monster base following November’s election. This marks the second attempt at reclaiming its pre-GFC highs in the past few years.

But here we are today...

Thanks to everyone who joined us for today's Hot Corner Insider Weekly Strategy Session.

Here's the recording and the chartbook from the second Breakout Multiplier Mastermind class, where we break down our tactical options strategy based on momentum.

Here's the replay and chartbook from the January 9 Weekly Strategy Session.

Be sure to join us on Thursdays at 11 am ET and maximize your return potential.

Just a quick programming note. The US Markets are closed today for a national day of mourning, after the passing former US President Jimmy Carter.

We'll be back to our regularly scheduled program tomorrow and every weekday after that. Make sure to save this link as a favorite to join us 8:30-10AM ET daily on The Best Morning Show in Finance.

The S&P500 is less than 3% away from making new all-time highs, but investors are losing their minds. 

You notice how everyone is now a "breadth expert"? One by one, they're all out there mansplaining breadth deterioration to anyone who will listen.

The odd thing about these johnny-come-lately breadth "experts", is that none of them include sector rotation into their weak attempts at describing the current market breadth. 

...

Today's standout insider transaction comes from John W. Dietrich, Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer of FedEx Corporation $FDX.

Dietrich revealed a purchase of 1,000 FDX shares, equivalent to $273,980.

CFOs’ insider purchases are especially meaningful for investors because of their deep financial knowledge. Their expressions of confidence in the underlying business are particularly notable for this reason alone.

And FDX has been carving out a multi-year base:

If and when it breaks above 320, the bias will switch higher.

Here’s The Hot Corner, with data from January 8, 2025:

In another Form 4 filing, former Executive Chairman James W. Ayers acquired 2,000 shares of FB Financial Corporation $FBK.