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Silver Celebrates at New Decade-Highs

May 20, 2024

From the Desk of Ian Culley @IanCulley

Silver futures are rising to the occasion.

The silver-to-gold ratio went from posting fresh six-month highs last Monday to hitting sixteen-month highs by Friday’s close.

Silver is ripping on absolute and relative terms, and this can mean only one thing: 

Risk-on!

Check out Silver driving home an explosive resolution following a successful pullback:

 

The pullback is another name for a retest – a common feature following a significant breakout. (Some use the term “throwback” to distinguish the action following an upside resolution from a “pullback” that displaces a downside resolution. But they’re all pullbacks to me.)

Interestingly, top-flight international soccer uses the same term for a particular goal-scoring tactic—a player takes the ball to the touchline and then passes to a teammate at the top of the box, who waits to direct the ball into the back of the net. 

Premier League Champions Manchester City and Runners-up Arsenal successfully applied the pullback in a match last week. (One can only hope Liverpool’s incoming manager, Arne Slot, is taking...

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[Options Premium] America!

May 20, 2024

Specifically, the Bank of...

My analysts are bullish on Bank of America $BAC and for good reason:

Bank of America is on the verge of breaking out of a bearish-to-bullish reversal pattern.

As you can see in the lower pane, BAC recently resolved higher from a similar basing formation versus the broader market.

We like it long only if it is above 38.50 with a 2-4 months target of 50.

Options premiums are cheap, so lets keep it simple.

 

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Director Mohn Reports a $12 Million RIG Purchase

May 20, 2024

From the Desk of Steve Strazza and Alfonso Depablos

The most significant insider buy on today's list comes via a Form 4 filing by Transocean Ltd $RIG director Frederik Wilhelm Mohn.

Mohn reported a purchase of RIG shares with a total value of $12,020,000.

Permabears Hate Nashville

May 20, 2024

I just got back from a weekend in Nashville with my wife.

We had such a great time.

I had never been to Nashville before. It was just one of those places I hadn't gotten to yet.

But I picked up on the vibes right away, even at the airport before the flight and during the flight itself, which was Thursday night at 10PM.

Everyone was on the same page - "We're here to party and have a good time".

Most New Highs In Years

May 19, 2024

You want to talk about broadening participation in this bull market?

Here you go.

This week we saw more countries around the world hitting new 52-week highs than we've seen in years.

This isn't just a Tech thing. This isn't even just a U.S. thing.

This is a stocks thing, as stocks all over the world continue to march higher.

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Director Mohn Reports a $12 Million RIG Purchase

May 19, 2024

From the Desk of Steve Strazza and Alfonso Depablos

The most significant insider buy on today’s list comes via a Form 4 filing by Transocean Ltd $RIG director Frederik Wilhelm Mohn.

Mohn reported a purchase of RIG shares with a total value of $12,020,000.

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The Hall of Famers (05-17-2024)

May 17, 2024

From the Desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza

Our Hall of Famers list is composed of the 150 largest US-based stocks.

These stocks range from the mega-cap growth behemoths like Apple and Microsoft – with market caps in excess of $2T – to some of the new-age large-cap disruptors such as Uber and Crowdstrike.

It has all the big names and more.

It doesn’t include ADRs or any stock not domiciled in the US. But don’t worry; we developed a separate universe for that. Click here to check it out.

The Hall of Famers is simple.

We take our list of 150 names and then apply our technical filters so the strongest stocks with the most momentum rise to the top.

Let’s dive right in and check out what these big boys are up to.

Here’s this week’s list:

*Click table to enlarge view

We filter out any laggards that are down -5% or more relative to the S&P 500 over the trailing month.

Then, we sort the remaining names by...

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Copper Hits New All-Time High

May 17, 2024

From the Desk of Ian Culley @IanCulley

Gold did its part earlier in the spring, paving the way for the rest of the metals space.

Now, silver is posting fresh decade highs, uranium names are triggering buy signals, and Dr. Copper is slicing through overhead supply. 

Plus, increasing copper demand has caught the smart money offside.

Check out copper futures with the Commitment of Traders profile in the lower pane:

Fading commercial (smart money) positioning tends to produce pain. 

But even the strongest hands can find themselves on the wrong side of a trade. It happened to commercial hedgers back in 2020, and it’s happening again today.

Copper experienced an explosive rally, adding a dollar-fifty as surging demand forced strong hands to unwind their shorts in 2020 and 2021.

If gold is heading to 5K, copper is making its way to eight bucks – but first, it must...

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Copper Hits New All-time High

May 17, 2024

From the Desk of Ian Culley @IanCulley

Gold did its part earlier in the spring, paving the way for the rest of the metals space.

Now, silver is posting fresh decade highs, uranium names are triggering buy signals, and Dr. Copper is slicing through overhead supply. 

Plus, increasing copper demand has caught the smart money offside.

Check out copper futures with the Commitment of Traders profile in the lower pane:

 

Fading commercial (smart money) positioning tends to produce pain. 

But even the strongest hands can find themselves on the wrong side of a trade. It happened to commercial hedgers back in 2020, and it’s happening again today.

Copper experienced an explosive rally, adding a dollar-fifty as surging demand forced strong hands to unwind their shorts in 2020 and 2021.

If Gold is heading to 5K, Copper is making its way to eight bucks – but first, it must exceed our rough initial target of 5.95.  

Here’s a closer look at copper’s multi-year base breakout:

 

Dr. Copper is blowing through those former highs from 2021 and 2022 in a similar fashion to the 2020 rip-roaring rally....

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[Options Premium] "Abroad"-ening Rally

May 17, 2024

As this bull market shows signs of resuming its march higher, we're setting our sights abroad because U.S. stocks don't have a monopoly on great setups. There are some great companies overseas that trade here in the U.S. that are also setting up for great stock rallies.

Today's trade is in a biopharma name.

Director Kim Buys 25,000 TRDA Shares

May 17, 2024

From the Desk of Steve Strazza and Alfonso Depablos

The only insider buy on today's list comes via a Form 4 filing by Entrada Therapeutics Inc $TRDA director Peter S. Kim.

Kim reported the acquisition of 25,000 shares, equivalent to $364,672, in the small-cap biotech company.

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📈 Smart Money are Buying this Token

May 16, 2024

I can't help but notice the growing attention around real world assets (RWAs), more specifically the relative strength coming from this space and the backing of many prominent funds and investors.

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Crypto Power Rankings for 5/17/2024

May 16, 2024

Every week, we create a Power Rankings table that lists the market-cap rank of the top 20 cryptocurrencies. This allows us to see the winners and losers as they climb the market-cap ladder.

Sit On Your Hands!

May 16, 2024

In today’s Options Jam Session, we reviewed how the profits from one delta-neutral credit spread more than paid for the losses on another, and I demonstrated what to do with a big winner that has the potential to pay for a lot more losses while still leaving us in the green!

This is how trader math works. Lose frequently and small, win occasionally and big. That simple heuristic is the key to long-term success.

But of course, it’s not easy.

We have to battle against our strong urges to close out winning trades too soon.

In fact, in the $APH trade that I demonstrated in today’s session, you’ll see there were several opportunities for me to get scared and pull the trigger to exit BEFORE our big profits accrued. This is why having an unemotional plan in place ahead of time is so valuable.

Next to individual trading plans, these weekly review sessions are one of the most valuable things I do each week to keep myself on track with my...

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Bonds Trigger a Tactical Buy

May 16, 2024

From the Desk of Ian Culley @IanCulley

Rates are rolling over… 

And bonds are catching a bid.

After four months of steady selling pressure, US Treasuries are finally carving out a tradeable low.

Let’s take a look!

Regardless of duration, the following bond charts present an identical tactical approach.

Two key themes dominate these trade setups: entry points designated by price reclaiming the February 2024 lows and initial targets set at the December 2023 highs.

Of course, there’s always an exception…

Check out the US 30-year T-bond futures:

Like the following charts, we can measure our risk at a key pivot low from late February.

I like buying T-bond futures against 117’27. But instead of targeting the December 27th high of 125’30, I prefer to aim at a critical shelf of former lows at approximately 122’30.

If and when price manages...

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Director Kim Buys 25,000 TRDA Shares

May 16, 2024

From the Desk of Steve Strazza and Alfonso Depablos

The only insider buy on today’s list comes via a Form 4 filing by Entrada Therapeutics Inc $TRDA director Peter S. Kim.

Kim reported the acquisition of 25,000 shares, equivalent to $364,672, in the small-cap biotech company.