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Buying Oil For a Rebound

March 12, 2025

This post was originally for paid members only. It has since been unlocked for informational purposes and does not constitute financial advice.

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Crude oil has been trading in lock-step with the US Dollar Index all cycle. 

And believe it or not, the dollar has been hit even harder than the stock market lately. DXY is down about 7% in two months.

I want to bet on an oversold bounce in US dollars, and I don’t think there is a better way to do it than getting long oil.

Here’s crude oil futures catching a bid at the lower bounds of a multi-year range:

 

And here’s our vehicle, the United States Oil Fund $USO:

 

Notice our volatility squeeze indicator crossing up in the bottom pane.

I think we’re in for a killer rebound...