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The Minor Leaguers (05-20-2024)

May 20, 2024

From the Desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza

Welcome to The Minor Leaguers.

We've had some great trades come out of this small-cap-focused column since we launched it back in 2020 and started rotating it with our flagship bottom-up scan, Under the Hood.

For the first year or so, we focused only on Russell 2000 stocks with a market cap between $1 and $2B.

That was fun, but we wanted to branch out a bit and allow some new stocks to find their way onto our list.

We expanded our universe to include some mid-caps.

To make the cut for our Minor Leaguers list now, a company must have a market cap between $1 and $4B.

Permabears Hate Nashville

May 20, 2024

I just got back from a weekend in Nashville with my wife.

We had such a great time.

I had never been to Nashville before. It was just one of those places I hadn't gotten to yet.

But I picked up on the vibes right away, even at the airport before the flight and during the flight itself, which was Thursday night at 10PM.

Everyone was on the same page - "We're here to party and have a good time".

Most New Highs In Years

May 19, 2024

You want to talk about broadening participation in this bull market?

Here you go.

This week we saw more countries around the world hitting new 52-week highs than we've seen in years.

This isn't just a Tech thing. This isn't even just a U.S. thing.

This is a stocks thing, as stocks all over the world continue to march higher.

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The Hall of Famers (05-17-2024)

May 17, 2024

From the Desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza

Our Hall of Famers list is composed of the 150 largest US-based stocks.

These stocks range from the mega-cap growth behemoths like Apple and Microsoft – with market caps in excess of $2T – to some of the new-age large-cap disruptors such as Uber and Crowdstrike.

It has all the big names and more.

It doesn’t include ADRs or any stock not domiciled in the US. But don’t worry; we developed a separate universe for that. Click here to check it out.

The Hall of Famers is simple.

We take our list of 150 names and then apply our technical filters so the strongest stocks with the most momentum rise to the top.

Let’s dive right in and check out what these big boys are up to.

Here’s this week’s list:

*Click table to enlarge view

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Copper Hits New All-Time High

May 17, 2024

From the Desk of Ian Culley @IanCulley

Gold did its part earlier in the spring, paving the way for the rest of the metals space.

Now, silver is posting fresh decade highs, uranium names are triggering buy signals, and Dr. Copper is slicing through overhead supply. 

Plus, increasing copper demand has caught the smart money offside.

Check out copper futures with the Commitment of Traders profile in the lower pane:

Fading commercial (smart money) positioning tends to produce pain. 

But even the strongest hands can find themselves on the wrong side of a trade. It happened to commercial hedgers back in 2020, and it’s happening again today.

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Bonds Trigger a Tactical Buy

May 16, 2024

From the Desk of Ian Culley @IanCulley

Rates are rolling over… 

And bonds are catching a bid.

After four months of steady selling pressure, US Treasuries are finally carving out a tradeable low.

Let’s take a look!

Regardless of duration, the following bond charts present an identical tactical approach.

Two key themes dominate these trade setups: entry points designated by price reclaiming the February 2024 lows and initial targets set at the December 2023 highs.

Of course, there’s always an exception…

Check out the US 30-year T-bond futures:

Like the following charts, we can measure our risk at a key pivot low from late February.

Corrections Happen During Bull Markets

May 16, 2024

Stock prices don't go straight up, even during bull markets.

Corrections are a normal phenomenon.

Messy market environments are perfectly normal too.

And that's exactly what we've seen.

To be clear, corrections and messy market environments for several months at a time do not change the fact that it's still a bull market.

We've been in a bull market for almost 2 years. That hasn't changed.

The bigger question is whether this bull market is now ready to resume? Or is more churning, sector rotation and further sentiment adjustment still necessary?

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The Short Report (05-15-2024)

May 16, 2024

From the Desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza

When investing in the stock market, we always want to approach it as "a market of stocks."

Regardless of the environment, there are always stocks showing leadership and trending higher.

We may have to look harder to identify them depending on current market conditions. But there are always stocks that are going up.

The same can be said for weak stocks. Regardless of the environment, there are always stocks that are going down, too. 

We already have multiple scans focusing on stocks making all-time highs, such as Hall of Famers, Minor Leaguers, and the 2 to 100 Club.

We filter these universes for stocks that are exhibiting the best momentum and relative strength characteristics. 

Clearly, we spend a lot of time identifying and writing about leading stocks every week, via multiple reports.

Now, we're also highlighting lagging stocks on a recurring basis.

Welcome to the Short Report.

Stocks Hit New All-time Highs!

May 16, 2024

S&P500 New All-time Highs

Nasdaq Composite New All-time Highs

NYSE Composite New All-time Highs

Dow Jones Industrial Average New All-time Highs

Are you noticing a trend?

And it's not just 7 stocks either.

Actually the Russell3000 Index just hit New All-time Highs as well. This index represents approximately 98% of all investable assets in the U.S. Equities market.

Here it is breaking records before your very eyes:

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Investors Sideline a Defiant Dollar

May 14, 2024

From the Desk of Ian Culley @IanCulley

May showers and meme stocks are rolling through.

Roaring Kitty is back, leaning into his detractors with his trademark flair. 

AMC and GameStop $GME are ripping. Gold mining stocks are picking up the pace. And the US dollar…

Surprisingly, it’s still holding above former support.

The 105 - 104.75 area marks the spot for the US Dollar Index $DXY: 

A decisive close below that key polarity zone places the dollar back in the box, giving stock market bulls free rein.

Yet investors don’t seem to care about the greenback.