What I always like to say is that Technical Analysis doesn't give us all the answers, but it certainly goes a long way in helping us ask the right questions. That's what this is all about.
For those new to the exercise, we take a chart of interest and remove the x/y-axes and any other labels that would help identify it. The chart can be any security in any asset class on any timeframe on an absolute or relative basis. Maybe it's a custom index or inverted, who knows!
We do all this to put aside the biases we have associated with this specific security/the market and come to a conclusion based solely on price.
You can guess what it is if you must, but the real value comes from sharing what you would do right now.Buy,Sell, or Do Nothing?
Over the weekend I was running our "Weekend Momentum Report" for Institutional Clients and the message was very similar to last week, so I thought it was worth sharing.
Are you guys noticing how the new 52-week high list keeps getting longer, and not shorter?
I can't emphasize enough how the lies about weak market breadth have been just that: Lies, or myths, or whatever words you need to use that won't offend people. I stopped caring about that sort of thing a long time ago and just tell it like it is (someone has to). I'm just not seeing the weak breadth scenario playing out like they keep telling me. It's actually been quite the opposite. We've been seeing expansion in participation for months. So this is really nothing new.
The Value Line Index has been a helpful barometer of US Stock Market strength in the past, and today is no different.
As November draws to a close, it's time to review positions with December options that remain open (haven't already hit profit targets or been stopped out).
Most trades I put on for All Star Options tend to have a minimum duration of 30 days (short premium plays) and often as long as 6-8 months (for long premium plays). As options approach expiration, greeks like theta and gamma start to become my enemy and whipsaw my P/L. Therefore, as options and spreads get into the expiration month, my best practice is to put each position on notice -- it's time to take action.
People don't like it when I tell them the Dow is going to 30,000. They tend to get even more worked up when I tell them it's going to 40,000 after that.
I'm old enough to remember a time when stocks going up was a good thing. In my opinion, there is still a massive amount of underexposure in the equities market.
So when I get asked, "Well JC, what's going to take stocks to those levels?". I think it's pretty clear that it's Technology:
In this Episode of the Money Game Podcast, Pearlman goes off on what a Gamer Lamar Jackson has been. Growing up in Baltimore, Phil a big Ravens fan so we take this opportunity to talk about something really important: Going for it. We look a few weeks back when the head coach believed in Lamar's enthusiasm to just go for it on 4th down and it most certainly paid off! You live once and have the option to either go out there and get it, or always think back wondering what if? Whatever it is that's your thing - just go for it!
Since late August when interest rates around the globe began their counter-trend rally we've begun to see some outperformance from international equities...leading to headlines like this.
So, is the trend in international underperformance finally over?
