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[Options] When to Press, When to Manage

June 12, 2019

There are a number of great services for options traders out there that offer smart ideas for premium selling, or Iron Condor trading, or earnings trades -- I'm friends with many of the best practitioners. They are fantastic at what they do and I'm happy to name names. Just ask.

Subscribers to All Star Options come to us for option trade ideas which take advantage of directional edges the All Star Charts research team uncovers through exhaustive technical analysis. We are not beholden to any particular type of strategy, options spread, or timeframe. We simply examine each opportunity on a case-by-case basis and make an informed decision on what we feel is a good way to play a particular situation. We might not always end up picking the "best" way to leverage into a opportunity, but we think over time and over many iterations, our good decisions compound favorably.

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[Premium] Details For June 2019 Conference Call

June 11, 2019

These are the registration details for the monthly conference call for Premium Members of All Star Charts. In this call we will discuss the global market environment and how to profit from it. As always, this will include Stocks, Interest Rates, Commodities and Currencies. The video of the call will be archived in the members section to re-watch any time and the PDF of the charts will be made available as well.

This month’s Conference Call will be held on Monday June 19th at 7PM ET. Here are the details for the call:

Momentum Problems Remain

June 7, 2019

We've been writing about the lack of trend in India and Equities around the globe for months and despite the breakout to new highs in the Nifty 50 and several Large-Cap stocks, we remain cautious about calling this a "confirmed uptrend" and getting overly aggressive on the long side.

In this post, we'll explain why this remains a two-way tape.

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Canada Update

June 5, 2019

From the desk of Tom Bruni @BruniCharting

On May 1st, we wrote an update called "Canada or Cantada" going through the major sectors/indexes to provide a view on how we wanted to approach Canadian Equities.

As we can see, there are more uptrends than downtrends from a structural perspective. Tactically however, most of these are not at levels where we want to be initiating new positions or have a lot of conviction. After strong moves since December, they need some consolidation to digest those gains and set up for a sustained move higher.

Another thing to note is that the more defensive areas of the market like REITs and Staples have the clearest structural uptrends of the group. They make up a smaller portion of the market, but I think it's still an interesting signal about market participants' risk appetite and outlook for Interest Rates.

Additionally Energy and Materials account for roughly 30% of the index and remain a headwind, so without rotation into those names I think it'll be tough for the TSX Composite to break out to the upside.

[Options Premium] Hug That Line

June 3, 2019

The drama queens have been in full force this weekend coming into the opening of trading this Monday morning. Here was my observation after rolling out of bed:

Geez, I shoulda checked $ES_F before I checked my twitter stream this morning.

FinTwit: THE MARKET IS CRASHING. ARMAGEDDON!!!

Futures: Down 6. Barely a rounding error.

Back to bed.

— Sean McLaughlin, NLD 📈 (@chicagosean) June 3, 2019

I rarely seek to be contrarian simply for the sake of being contrarian, but the mini hysteria I'm sensing amongst market participants feels a little hollow. Is everyone too leveraged? You're not trading based off headlines are you? ...are you??

If so, knock it off. Scared money don't make money.

With the S&P 500 re-acquainting itself with it's 200-day moving average, here's how we're going to play it...

[Charts of The Week] Finding Alpha In Flat Markets

May 31, 2019

From the desk of Tom Bruni @BruniCharting

Wall Street is a game of relative performance and we each are tasked with our own mandates/constraints in managing our portfolios.

The good news is that even when the market is a hot mess on an absolute basis, there are still plenty of ways to find performance within the context of those constraints.

If you need to have most of your capital allocated most of the time, then your focus is on either avoiding/shorting areas of relative weakness and owning areas of relative strength.

If you have the flexibility to raise cash and go to the beach or have short exposure on your books, that works too.

The Perfectionism Crutch

May 28, 2019

From the desk of Tom Bruni @BruniCharting

Two weeks ago I was scheduled to film two segments for Real Vision and the experience brought up a good topic that I've been meaning to write about using my personal experience; Perfectionism.

The night before I was supposed to film the segments I didn't get much sleep, hadn't exercised in a few days, and just wasn't feeling 100%. Needless to say, these were not the conditions I'd prefer for important filming.*

Regardless, I'd agreed to do it and I needed to show up and do the work.

Now that I've had time to reflect, let's see what perfectionism, failure, and fear of "shipping" have got to do with that experience.

India Outperformance Reaccelerates

May 28, 2019

India's recent rally has reaccelerated its trend of outperformance relative to the rest of the Emerging Market space.

In this post, I want to outline two charts we use to track this trend and another that helps explain why it's happening.

Cash Works If You Let It

May 23, 2019

From the desk of Tom Bruni @BruniCharting

One of the hardest things to do in life and in markets is admitting you don't know. But when you're only in the market to make money, and not to be right, saying I don't know can often be the best answer.

That's why I put out a post titled "Relatively...Confused" just two days ago because when I go through my chartbooks I see extended themes that are not offering great reward/risk opportunities right now.

The Trends We Indirectly Follow

May 22, 2019

From the desk of Tom Bruni @BruniCharting

There are trends people tend to pick up on indirectly, usually by looking at individual stock charts or ETFs on an absolute basis, seeing the relative strength/weakness, and connecting the dots.

See something in one chart; it may not be all that special. See it in a lot of charts from the same area of the market...you're usually onto something.

That's the indirect way, but if we look at a trend directly, we can get a better feel for the exact strength of that underlying trend/theme.

In this post, I want to highlight a few trends that I know people are aware of, but may not realize their severity.

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Relatively...Confused

May 22, 2019

From the desk of Tom Bruni @BruniCharting

We've been writing about the lack of trend in the Major Indices and highlighting some relative strength in places like Software and Insurance, but overall signals remain mixed.

This morning I set out to write another post about areas showing relative strength, hoping to find a clean theme that the most actionable stock setups fit within.

What I found can be boiled down to the length of two tweets.

"Going through the S&P 1500 I see a number of actionable names on the long side, but they don't all fit a theme. They're all from different areas of the market. Where there are themes I see a lot of extended names and unattractive entries."

and

"I can see that the path of least resistance is higher in a lot of names, but that doesn't mean that current levels offer an attractive entry."

Great themes, but no great way of executing them.

or