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Under the Hood (03-18-2024)

March 18, 2024

From the Desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza.

Welcome back to Under the Hood, where we'll cover all the action for the two weeks ended March 15, 2024. This report is published bi-weekly, in rotation with The Minor Leaguers.

What we do here is analyze the most popular stocks during the week and find opportunities to either join in and ride these momentum names higher, or fade the crowd and bet against them.

We use a variety of sources to generate the list of most popular names.

There are so many new data sources available that all we need to do is organize and curate them in a way that shows us exactly what we want: a list of stocks that are seeing an unusual increase in investor interest.

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Pay Attention to Silver

March 18, 2024

From the Desk of Ian Culley @IanCulley

Investors are finally waking up to gold.

Friends and family are blowing up my phone (and this time, it’s not just about baby pics). They’ve noticed gold’s rally to new highs – and they want to know whether to buy physical gold or an ETF — bars or coins. 

But silver has yet to enter the conversation…

[Options] Reliance

March 18, 2024

On today's Flow Show, me and Steve Strazza put our heads together to follow the wave into the Steel sector.

Sector trends are showing us where capital is flowing and that led us to a trade idea in steel manufacturing company Reliance Inc $RS.

Here's the chart highlighting a high consolidation that often portends to rapid near term price acceleration:

Re: Your Bond Market Crash

March 18, 2024

Over the weekend I found myself having to remind someone that the U.S. Bond Market is crashing.

I know many of us have just grown accustomed to the bond market crashing all year, every year.

But this isn't just something to dismiss, like many investors have apparently found themselves doing.

This is the biggest bond market crash in our lifetimes.

This Will Cause So Much Pain

March 17, 2024

Are you prepared for a market environment where Commodities are ripping higher and stocks continue to struggle?

Don't worry, most people are not.

In fact, so few people are prepared for this line to go up, and so much pain will be felt by so many (investors or otherwise), that this is exactly the outcome I'm betting on.

Higher Rates = Opposite of Lower Rates

March 16, 2024

Have you heard that stocks are going up in anticipation of lower interest rates?

Me too.

That's hilarious isn't it?

What about all those journalists?

Are they feeding you the same garbage?

Yup!

How about the Biden?

This guy is still the President of the United States. And he's telling you that rates are going down.

Have any of these people even bothered to look?

Or are they just lying to you?

Neither is an acceptable answer.

The U.S. 10-year Yield just went out yesterday at the highest weekly close since November.

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International Hall of Famers (03-15-2024)

March 15, 2024

From the desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza

Our International Hall of Famers list is composed of the 100 largest US-listed international stocks, or ADRs.

We've also sprinkled in some of the largest ADRs from countries that did not make the market cap cut. 

These stocks range from some well-known mega-cap multinationals such as Toyota Motor and Royal Dutch Shell to some large-cap global disruptors such as Sea Ltd and Shopify.

It's got all the big names and more–but only those that are based outside the US. You can find all the largest US stocks on our original Hall of Famers list.

The beauty of these scans is really in their simplicity.

We take the largest names each week and then apply technical filters in a way that the strongest stocks with the most momentum rise to the top.

Based on the market environment, we can also flip the scan on its head and filter for weakness.

Let's dive in and take a look at some of the most important stocks from around the world.

Here's this week's list:

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Copper and Gold and Palladium, Oh My!

March 15, 2024

From the Desk of Ian Culley @IanCulley

Metals are working.

Gold is printing new all-time highs. Copper is trading above four bucks. And Palladium

Well, Palladium has stopped going down.

Considering Palladium’s Commitment of Traders (COT) profile, its tendency to trend with technology stocks, and where it stopped falling…

It’s time to buy!

Check out the long-term Palladium chart stretching back to the late 70s:

US Consumer Hurting Badly

March 15, 2024

In today's edition of "This is NOT 2023", here is the U.S. Large-cap Consumer Discretionary Sector breaking down to new 52-week lows relative to the rest of the market.

You can see yesterday's edition here: Energy Stocks Lead US Markets

This isn't 2023. It's a completely different market.

Take a look at this chart below.

New 52-week lows.

Growth vs. Value at a Crossroads

March 14, 2024

From the Desk of Alfonso Depablos @Alfcharts

One of the major themes we’re monitoring closely right now is the Growth vs Value relationship.

While Growth has dominated for the past couple of quarters, the technical setup suggests it may be time for value to take the lead.

The chart below shows the ratio testing a critical area of former resistance from above.