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[Weekly Gold Rush] Has This Ratio Bottomed?

November 25, 2024

*BREAKING NEWS* $BTC printing fresh all-time highs priced in every fiat currency is NOT bearish for gold.

We recently recorded a video with our in-house crypto analyst, Louis Sykes, to discuss the connections between bitcoin and gold

The relationship isn't perfect, but it would be irresponsible of us as investors to ignore the correlation between 2 of the most significant hard-money assets in the world.

Last month, we discussed the correlation between digital and physical gold becoming positive again. 

Before we knew it, $BTC had resolved its base and followed gold to new all-time highs.

This suggests to us the bull market is still young:

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Bitcoin vs. Gold: Their Love Hate Relationship

November 25, 2024

Bitcoin and Gold, they’ve got some things in common, but let’s not kid ourselves. 

The differences are just as striking as the similarities. Sometimes they move together, other times they couldn’t be further apart. It’s a love-hate relationship, and it’s fascinating to watch.

 

In this video, we dive into these correlations, when Bitcoin, Gold, and even Bonds align, and when they decide to part ways. 

Why does this happen, and what does it mean for traders?

Joining me is Louis Sykes, our in house crypto killer. Louis has been crushing it in the crypto markets for years, and today he’s breaking down the connections between Bitcoin and Gold. But it’s more than just charts and correlations…

We’re getting into the big picture and where Bitcoin might be headed next.

I’ve wanted to do this ever since I met Louis at our Portfolio Accelerator event in Cali. The guy’s an out of the box thinker, and this conversation didn’t disappoint.

Hit play and...

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[Weekly Gold Rush] The Golden Gambit

November 18, 2024

Gold futures have been down in 6 out of the last 8 sessions since the winner of the U.S. Presidential Election was announced.

The US Dollar Index $DXY has been adding fuel to the selling pressure as it has screamed higher toward the upper bound of a multi-year range.

However, the dollar is entering one of its weakest seasonal periods of the year and should start serving as a tailwind for our shiny rocks.

And if the dollar is about to roll over, our equal-weight basket of precious metal stocks will likely resolve its multi-decade base and make new all-time highs:

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[Weekly Gold Rush] Gold Bugs Take Cover

November 11, 2024

We recently discussed gold achieving its second target since it put the finishing touches on a massive base earlier this year.

It wasn't clear how the price would react to our target, but sure enough, the sellers showed up right on cue.

But the weight of the evidence continues to suggest this bull market has legs and it's better to spend our time looking for buying opportunities, not selling opportunities.

Let's talk about the recent price action and what it means for our portfolios:

 

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[Bonus Gold Rush] Is This A Bubble?

November 6, 2024

We all know it has been a bull market, but how sustainable is it?

In today's Gold Rush video, we addressed the elephant in the room. Is this a bubble?

Additionally, we revisited some of the greatest bubbles of all-time and tied it back to the current environment.

One of our favorite historic bubble examples is silver in the late 1970s:

 

The Hunt brothers controlled around 1/2 of the world's supply of silver and sparked a 900% rally over the course of 2-years. Over the next few years, silver retraced the entire preceding move as it collapsed by 90%.

Finally, we discussed a few strategies for riding a bubble higher and profiting from all the madness.

Here's the video:

 

As always, let us know what you think.

All Star Charts Team

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[Weekly Gold Rush] Another Price Target Achieved

November 4, 2024

It was only 8-months ago when gold futures put the finishing touches on a massive basing pattern. 

Since then, we've seen the yellow rock rally over 30% to new all-time highs and achieve two of our price targets. 

In addition, the bellwethers of the industry like Wheaton Precious Metals have moved into blue-sky territory and the junior miners have posted bullish momentum thrusts.

And we're betting on participation continuing to expand for precious metals stocks and futures contracts like palladium.

Let's talk about it:

 

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Gold is Dominating Every Currency

October 28, 2024

Despite bond yields and dollars screaming higher and reaching overbought conditions, stocks and precious metals rallied during what is historically the worst time of the year. 

During a bad seasonal period, junior gold and silver mining stocks had their best week since 2020, and silver printed fresh multi-year highs.

The bulls' ability to maintain control during a historically weak period speaks to the strength and resilience of this market.

Let's talk about the demand we're seeing for precious metals around the world and a few of our favorite trade ideas right now:

 

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It's Time For Digital Gold To Shine

October 21, 2024

Digital gold has churned sideways at its prior cycle high, while gold and risk assets have enjoyed a sweet leg higher over the last half-year.

It would be strange for this bull market cycle to end without Bitcoin enjoying a blue-sky breakout.

So, if it's a bull market, shouldn't Bitcoin and friends be participating?

Yes. We're betting that crypto is about to reach escape velocity and have an epic catch up.

Let's talk about it:

 

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We're Buying Junior Silver Miners

October 7, 2024

A couple of weeks ago, we talked about Silver futures attempting to emerge from a multi-year accumulation pattern and potentially retesting the former all-time high.

Last week,  Silver made a new multi-decade high in absolute terms and broke a multi-year downtrend line relative to Gold. 

And if the 47th element is about to blast off, we should look closer at the Junior Silver Miners.

But first, check out this chart of the Silver/Gold ratio:

 

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There's Little Buzz About Gold. But There Should Be.

October 2, 2024

Despite the recent volatility, gold continues its steady ascent, unaffected by the broader market noise. 

As seasonals have shifted and new leadership has come and gone this year, gold remains resilient, moving through market regimes with ease.

Whether stocks rally or risk-off sentiment prevails, gold thrives. The yellow metal has been red-hot all year.

In these times, the saying goes, "there is no fever like gold fever." 

But, is there any evidence of this kind of euphoria among investors yet?

While the COT report suggests sentiment may be overstretched, let’s talk about what we’re seeing on the ground.

There’s little buzz about gold in the financial media. No bold predictions of $10K gold on magazine covers, no headlines touting it as the ultimate safe haven in an impending crisis—signals that often show up at market tops. We’re just not seeing it.

For context, in 2011, fears of currency depreciation were rampant. The covers of TIME magazine and Smart Money allow us to remember this moment. They came right at the top.

  

...

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Speculators Haven't Owned This Much Gold Since 2020

September 30, 2024

Large Speculators haven't owned this much Gold since 2020. We have the data.

In precious metal bull markets, it's perfectly normal for Commercial Hedgers to offset their physical positions by shorting the underlying futures contracts.

We also tend to see the Speculators build massive net-long positions.

Check out the extreme Commercial Hedger net-short position in Gold and Silver futures:

 

This is as extreme as it gets. So, with the positioning so stretched, who is left to buy?

Let's talk about it: