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(Commodities Weekly) Thankful For Higher Prices

November 29, 2024

My cousin wasn't asking me about crypto during this year's Thanksgiving feast. 

Instead, he wanted to know which commodity to buy after the historic cocoa trade.

Without hesitation, I told him, "coffee."

And I really believe that!

Let's talk about why.

Our Soft Commodity Index is testing a critical level of interest:

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Junior International Hall of Famers (11-28-2024)

November 28, 2024

From the Desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza

Welcome to The Junior International Hall of Famers.

With the goal of finding more bullish setups, we have decided to expand one of our favorite scans and broaden our regular coverage of the largest US-listed international stocks, or ADRs.

This scan is composed of the next 100 largest stocks by market cap, those that come after the top 100 and are thus covered by the International Hall of Famers universe.

Many of these names will someday graduate and join our original International Hall Of Famers list. The idea here is to catch these big trends as early on as possible.

Let’s dive right in and check out what these future big boys are up to.

This is our Junior International Hall of Famers list:

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(Commodities Weekly) Energy Is Coming Out of Hibernation

November 22, 2024

Last week, we identified a bullish momentum divergence in the commodities versus stocks ratio at a shelf of former lows.

The evidence suggests we're on the verge of a new era of commodity outperformance.

If we're right, it's time to prepare a list of our favorite setups to seize this opportunity.

We've already covered promising setups in uranium and solar.

Now, let's focus on oil and gas, and here's why:

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(Commodities Weekly) Have You Seen This Divergence?

November 15, 2024

In technical analysis kindergarten, you'll learn there are 3 asset classes: stocks, bonds, AND commodities.

Without all 3, you're missing a piece of the puzzle and are putting yourself at a disadvantage.

Since commodities peaked in absolute and relative terms in 2022, they have dramatically underperformed stocks.

It's gotten to the extent where there's not any momentum to the downside remaining.

Commodities have carved out a massive bullish momentum divergence relative to stocks since the start of 2024:

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[Freshly Squeezed] Bears In Retreat

November 13, 2024

Investors are reaching for the riskiest stocks in the market.

How do we know?

A long list of stock market indexes and individual issues just had their best day since the pandemic lows almost 5 years ago.

Meme coins are mooning while we're asleep at night.

More and more stocks are completing primary trend reversals.

The most risk-on groups are leading the charge.

With this in mind, it's time for another Freshly Squeezed report.

Here's our approach:

We find the most heavily shorted stocks in the market. Then, we monitor these names for signs of upward momentum. Once that momentum kicks in, we ride them higher as the bears get squeezed.

We got fresh short data on Monday, so let's dive in and talk about it.

Our scan is quite simple. It is designed to identify stocks with the most aggressive short positions.

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Catching Ultraviolet Rays

November 8, 2024

We recently discussed the extreme demand for uranium stocks as the AI boom progresses.

But what about the other alternative energy equities?

Solar stocks have been amongst the most hated in the entire market, right up there with pot stocks and China.

The Invesco Solar ETF $TAN looks ready to explode higher:

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Bears Hate Coconuts

November 4, 2024

Despite being defensive, consumer stocks can make huge moves. 

Stocks like Monster Beverage, Celsius, and Sprouts Farmers Market are some of the best-performing names in recent history.

Today, we're outlining a consumer stock that rallied 300% in 6-months off its 2022 low. 

Since then, the stock has carved out a textbook accumulation pattern, which the market resolved last week following an earnings report.

With the short sellers caught offside, we're betting this breakout will spark a short squeeze and a fresh uptrend.

Let's get into the details:

 

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This Home Is Built on Solid Ground

November 1, 2024

November marks the beginning of the best three-month period of the year for stocks and a brand-new NBA season. Moreover, the sportsbooks have priced in my local OKC Thunder as the Western Conference champions.

It's a fantastic time to be alive.

Now is also a great time to take a step back and assess the underlying trends.

Earlier this year, we outlined our Fab 5 Charts for a 2024 equity bull market. 

One of the five key groups we selected was homebuilders, which have been on an absolute tear:

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Junior International Hall of Famers (10-31-2024)

October 31, 2024

From the Desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza

Welcome to The Junior International Hall of Famers.

With the goal of finding more bullish setups, we have decided to expand one of our favorite scans and broaden our regular coverage of the largest US-listed international stocks, or ADRs.

This scan is composed of the next 100 largest stocks by market cap, those that come after the top 100 and are thus covered by the International Hall of Famers universe.

Many of these names will someday graduate and join our original International Hall Of Famers list. The idea here is to catch these big trends as early on as possible.

Let’s dive right in and check out what these future big boys are up to.

This is our Junior International Hall of Famers list:

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Going Back to Ancient Times

October 30, 2024

The market keeps rewarding investors for buying some of Wall Street's most hated stocks. 

We're getting buy signals from biotechnology and crypto stocks, which tends to happen in healthy market environments.

With this in mind, we're going back to the well and buying a biotech stock with nearly 1/3 of the float sold short and a double-digit days-to-cover ratio. 

The stock we're buying is named after what was once an important ancient trade center in modern-day Turkey.

Let's talk about how we're playing this short squeeze:

 

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Trick or Treat?

October 25, 2024

Each year, Americans buy over 600 million pounds of candy and eat over 1 pound each for Halloween.

It's a lot...

But are there opportunities to profit from Americans ritualistically eating way too much candy? You betcha!

Let's talk about it.

After a historic 190% run earlier this year, cocoa futures have formed a textbook consolidation pattern:

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Uranium Is on Fire

October 18, 2024

Uranium stocks have been screaming higher and show no signs of slowing down.

As the AI Revolution demands more and more power, big technology companies are turning to nuclear energy.

The market is sending a very clear message... we (as investors) need to increase our exposure to uranium stocks.

Check out the recent performance from uranium stocks: