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Under the Hood (10-31-2022)

October 31, 2022

From the desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza.

Welcome to Under the Hood, where we'll cover all the action for the week ended October 28, 2022. This report is published bi-weekly and rotated with our The Minor Leaguers.

What we do here is analyze the most popular stocks during the week and find opportunities to either join in and ride these momentum names higher, or fade the crowd and bet against them.

We use a variety of sources to generate the list of most popular names.

There are so many new data sources available that all we need to do is organize and curate them in a way that shows us exactly what we want: a list of stocks that are seeing an unusual increase in investor interest.

Swing Trader Pro: Afternoon Briefing (10-31-2022)

October 31, 2022

From the Desk of Kimmy Sokoloff

Today was a nice consolidation day, with the indices just chopping around. If the indices can continue to trade sideways, we can hopefully work off overbought levels.

I'd like $SPX 3,835 to hold if this market wants to trend higher.

Activists Load up on Biotech Stocks

October 31, 2022

The largest insider buy on today's list is a Form 4 filing by CD&R Boulder Holdings LP.

The firm disclosed the purchase of approximately $6 million worth of shares in Beacon Roofing Supply $BECN.

Chart of the Day: Biggie Smalls

October 31, 2022

For so long it had been Bigs over Smalls.

People would even complain that it was only 5 stocks driving market returns.

Do you remember how hilarious that was?

Good, because it's so much funnier now.

Get this, those same people complaining that only 5 stocks were driving the market higher are now complaining that those 5 stocks aren't participating.

Market returns are currently being driven by all the other stocks. Those 5 big massive ones are doing their very best to hold the market down, but it's not working.

Investors are buying stocks, whether you like it or not. And they're buying the smaller ones at a much faster rate than their larger-cap counterparts.

Look at the Small-cap Russell2000 hitting new Year-to-Date highs vs the Large-cap S&P500.

And of course Small-caps are also hitting new 16-month highs relative to the Nasdaq100:

Maybe you have bad breadth

October 30, 2022

There are 30 stocks in the Dow Jones Industrial Average.

This is the most important stock market index, both currently and of all-time.

In case you missed my explanation, you can catch up here.

Of the 30 stocks, 5 of them are already at New All-time Highs (2 more that are no longer in the Dow also closed at New All-time Highs).

And several more Dow Components are just a few percentage points away.

New all-time highs are NOT a characteristic of downtrends.

An expansion in new highs is NOT weak breadth.

Here's a Dow component that has been basing for a while. Premium Members of ASC will be very familiar with this one:

It's Called Risk Appetite

October 29, 2022

Thanks for all the great comments and emails.

I'm glad to hear how well you guys are doing in this environment.

But keep in mind that not everyone looks at the market the way you and I do.

Some people out there think the Dow Jones Industrial Average is beneath them.

Some people like to pretend to be smart and wait for computers to tell them if stocks are going up, instead of just counting.

Price weighted indexes don't seem to be good enough for some of their boujee lifestyles.

Fortunately, for us simpletons who are only here to make money, we see the Dow Jones Industrial Average rallying for a 4th consecutive week, finishing up the greatest October of all time.

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International Hall of Famers (10-28-2022)

October 28, 2022

From the Desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza and Alfonso Depablos @AlfCharts

Our International Hall of Famers list is composed of the 100 largest US-listed international stocks, or ADRs. We’ve also sprinkled in some of the largest ADRs from countries that did not make the market-cap cut. 

These stocks range from some well-known mega-cap multinationals such as Toyota Motor and Royal Dutch Shell to some large-cap global disruptors such as Sea Ltd and Shopify.

It’s got all the big names and more--but only those that are based outside the US. You can find all the largest US stocks on our original Hall of Famers list.

The beauty of these scans is really in their simplicity.

We take the largest names each week and then apply technical filters in a way that the strongest stocks with the most momentum rise to the top.

Based on the market environment, we can also flip the scan on its head and filter for weakness.

Let’s dive in and take a look at some of the most important stocks from around the world.

Here’s this week’s list:

Swing Trader Pro: Morning Briefing (10-28-2022)

October 28, 2022

From the Desk of Kimmy Sokoloff

It was a big earnings night last night, with $AAPL up and $AMZN down.

Futures are negative this morning. I'd like to see the $SPX hold 3,772. To continue higher, we must stay above 3,800 for a potential move to 3,820.

Bear Markets are a Choice

October 27, 2022

There are stocks going up and there are stocks going down.

I'm old enough to remember when we would all call that normal.

The going up category just got longer recently. Remember Energy had been the only Sector Index above its 200 day moving average.

Healthcare is now also on that list.

Industrials and Consumer Staples are the next closest ones.

This morning we talked about how poorly the Tech heavy Emerging Markets were doing vs those like Brazil, Saudi Arabia and Indonesia, that have a much different composition.

The difference in performance is off the charts.

There are big winners and big losers.

Another big loser driving headlines is in Large-cap Growth. Stocks like Google and Facebook got crushed after earnings. And now Amazon is joining that list after the bell Thursday.

But that's specifically Large-cap Growth.

Small-cap Growth, on the other hand, is holding up way better.

You can see here how Small-cap Growth is hitting the highest levels of the year relative to Large-cap Growth: