Many stocks are no where near their all-time highs.
The S&P500 still needs to rally 25% just to get back to its former highs. And that's after the 10% rally that we've already seen in October.
The Nasdaq100 would need to go up another 43% from here just to get back to its highs. And again, that's after it already ripped 12% off its lows this month.
Remember, the average Nasdaq stock fell 44% from its highs during the bear market. The average small & micro cap stock dropped about 50%.
And since most stocks are so far from their highs, investors are having a hard time calling this a bull market.
"They need to make new all-time highs for it to be a bull market", they say to me.
So ok, let's play that game.
None of these prices here below were new all-time highs. So was this a bear market then?
Generally speaking, more stocks are going up than going down in bull markets.
And sure, there are a lot of different ways to quantify it, but this is really the gist of it: Are more stocks going up or are more of them going down?
From the Desk of Steve Strazza @sstrazza and Alfonso Depablos @AlfCharts
This is one of our favorite bottom-up scans: Follow the Flow.
In this note, we simply create a universe of stocks that experienced the most unusual options activity — either bullish or bearish, but not both.
We utilize options experts, both internally and through our partnership with The TradeXchange. Then, we dig through the level 2 details and do all the work upfront for our clients.
Our goal is to isolate only those options market splashes that represent levered and high-conviction, directional bets.
We've had some great trades come out of this small-cap-focused column since we launched it back in 2020 and started rotating it with our flagship bottom-up scan, Under the Hood.
For the first year or so, we focused only on Russell 2000 stocks with a market cap between $1 and $2B.
That was fun, but we wanted to branch out a bit and allow some new stocks to find their way onto our list.
We expanded our universe to include some mid-caps.
To make the cut for our Minor Leaguers list, a company must have a market cap between $1 and $4B.