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The Dow Is Down for the Year

April 19, 2024

You can now add the Dow Jones Industrial Average to the list of indexes that are DOWN for the year so far.

I've argued many times that the Dow Jones Industrial Average is the world's most important stock market index.

And while I'm not going to get into all the reasons again today, I'll just show you the chart of the S&P500 and Dow Jones Industrial Average going back 60 years.

They move together...

Baker Bros Boosts Its BCYC Stake to 19.90%

April 19, 2024

From the Desk of Steve Strazza and Alfonso Depablos

The most significant transaction on today’s list is a 13D filing by Baker Bros Advisors LLC for Bicycle Therapeutics plc $BCYC.

Baker Bros revealed an increase in its ownership stake in BCYC from 12.70% to 19.90%.

I make it rain, I make it rain

April 18, 2024

Stock market volatility is at the highest levels since October.

The majority of stocks are NOT in uptrends.

This market is NOT like it was last year.

In fact, coming into today, the majority of stocks on the NYSE are down for the year. Also 2/3rds of the stocks on the Nasdaq are negative for the year.

Go and count for yourself.

You'll quickly see that the majority of stocks in the Large-cap Nasdaq100 are down this year. Same for the Small-cap Russell2000 Index and the S&P Mid-cap 400.

Different markets call for different strategies.

Here's the $VIX hitting levels this week not seen since Halloween:

MFN Partners' Farhad Nanji Reports a Big RXO Buy

April 18, 2024

From the Desk of Steve Strazza and Alfonso Depablos

The most significant insider transaction on today’s list is a Form 4 filing by Farhad A. Nanji, Founder of MFN Partners Management LP.

Nanji reported a purchase of roughly $832,400 in RXO Inc $RXO.

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The Short Report (04-17-2024)

April 18, 2024

From the Desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza

When investing in the stock market, we always want to approach it as "a market of stocks."

Regardless of the environment, there are always stocks showing leadership and trending higher.

We may have to look harder to identify them depending on current market conditions. But there are always stocks that are going up.

The same can be said for weak stocks. Regardless of the environment, there are always stocks that are going down, too. 

We already have multiple scans focusing on stocks making all-time highs, such as Hall of Famers, Minor Leaguers, and the 2 to 100 Club.

We filter these universes for stocks that are exhibiting the best momentum and relative strength characteristics. 

Clearly, we spend a lot of time identifying and writing about leading stocks every week, via multiple reports.

But we're also highlighting lagging stocks on a recurring basis.

Welcome to the Short Report.

We...

Bay Pond Partners Takes a 5.01% Stake in RWT

April 17, 2024

From the Desk of Steve Strazza and Alfonso Depablos

The only insider transaction on today’s list comes in a 13D filing by the Wellington Management fund Bay Pond Partners.

The hedge fund revealed an initial active stake of 5.01% in Redwood Trust $RWT.

How to Adapt to Changing Markets

April 17, 2024

This market is just NOT like it was in 2023.

It's much different.

I've said it right here hundreds of time already.

But today's chart of the day really shows this well, reiterating why it's so important to adapt to changing markets.

Here is the S&P500 with a line plotted below it. This line represents the percentage of stocks in the index that are in longer-term uptrends, but are NOT in short- to intermediate-term uptrends.

Multiple Insiders Report SAIC Purchases

April 16, 2024

From the Desk of Steve Strazza and Alfonso Depablos

The largest insider transaction on today’s list comes in multiple Form 4 filings by the CEO, the general counsel, and the executive vice president of operations of Science Applications International Corporation $SAIC.

Among them the three directors revealed combined purchases of $490,670 in SAIC shares.

Bond Crash Impacting A Portfolio Near You

April 16, 2024

Gold is one of the biggest winners so far in 2024.

But you can argue that it's really the commodities complex that is leading, and Gold is just one of them.

Check out the YTD returns here.

But the unwind in Gold stocks relative to other types of stocks looks to be just getting going.

Here is the Gold Bugs Index, which is loaded with all the top mining stocks, compared to the S&P500.

Notice the dramatic underperformance for so long, followed by a failed breakdown, and now the squeeze is just getting started:

Three Big Trades for 2024

April 16, 2024

I have three big ideas to take advantage of the current markets.

It's pretty obvious to everyone now that this year is not like last year.

Some people are pretending it still is.

You are welcome to lie to yourself if you'd like.

But I have the data.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average is flat so far in 2024. Small-caps are actually still down.

It's Crude Oil, Silver, Gold and Copper leading the way: