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Microcaps Lead The Way Lower

October 3, 2023

From the Desk of Alfonso Depablos @Alfcharts

Sellers have a hold on equity markets as internal weakness expands and downside momentum picks up.

When looking for evidence of additional downside risk, some of the most valuable information we have is in the price action of the weakest areas. The rationale is that they should break down first and lead the rest of the market lower.

With how poorly the smallest stocks have performed this year, the Russell Microcap Index $IWC is the perfect signpost to help us determine the next move for stocks. 

The chart below shows IWC resolving to the downside from a descending triangle formation. It just closed at its lowest level in roughly three years.

Director Aramburuzabala Reports a Big COTY Buy

October 3, 2023

From the Desk of Steve Strazza and Alfonso Depablos

The largest insider buy on today’s list comes in a Form 4 filing by María Asunción Aramburuzabala, director of Coty Inc $COTY.

Aramburuzabala reported a COTY purchase with a total value of $5.4 million.

Energy Wins & Utilities Lose Again

October 3, 2023

We have a big night ahead of us. Are you ready?

This only happens 12 times each year, where we get a fresh batch of Monthly Candlesticks and data sets.

It's that time again!

Tonight at 6PM ET I'll be hosting our LIVE Monthly Charts Strategy Session for Premium Members of All Star Charts.

What do we need to own as we head into the final quarter of the year?

What do we need to avoid?

Here are the final numbers for Q3. Energy won and Utilities lost again!

All Star Charts Premium

Under the Hood (10-02-2023)

October 2, 2023

From the Desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza.

Welcome back to Under the Hood, where we'll cover all the action for the week ended September 30, 2023. This report is published bi-weekly and rotated with The Minor Leaguers.

What we do here is analyze the most popular stocks during the week and find opportunities to either join in and ride these momentum names higher, or fade the crowd and bet against them.

We use a variety of sources to generate the list of most popular names.

There are so many new data sources available that all we need to do is organize and curate them in a way that shows us exactly what we want: a list of stocks that are seeing an unusual increase in investor interest.

All Star Charts Premium

Follow the Flow (10-02-2023)

October 2, 2023

From the Desk of Steve Strazza @sstrazza and Alfonso Depablos @Alfcharts

This is one of our favorite bottom-up scans: Follow the Flow.

In this note, we simply create a universe of stocks that experienced the most unusual options activity — either bullish or bearish, but not both.

We utilize options experts, both internally and through our partnership with The TradeXchange. Then, we dig through the level 2 details and do all the work upfront for our clients.

Our goal is to isolate only those options market splashes that represent levered and high-conviction, directional bets.

Growth vs. Value Is at a Critical Level

October 2, 2023

From the Desk of Alfonso Depablos @Alfcharts

Coming into July, the Nasdaq 100 had already achieved record-setting returns through the first six months of the year. Over the past quarter, however, the trend has cooled off as stocks have struggled with overhead supply.

The same could be said for the relative trend as growth stocks have paused their advance versus the overall market.

The chart below shows the Nasdaq 100 versus Russell 3000 ratio coiling beneath a critical level of interest.