Matt Warder appeared as the featured guest on today's Morning Show on Stock Market TV, which was an extra special treat for commodity junkies like us.
Matt is widely recognized as the best Coal analyst in the world.
He’s in constant contact with top executives in the space and is basically a walking commodity encyclopedia, especially when it comes to Black Diamonds.
We had the pleasure of meeting him in New Orleans for our Portfolio Accelerator event and walked away smarter for it.
So when Steve Strazza asked him what commodity he’s most excited about right now, we were all ears.
His answer? “Titanium.”
No hesitation.
Coming from someone with Matt’s pedigree in the Coal markets, that caught us off guard.
But after looking at the charts, it makes a lot of sense why he didn't mention Coal.
How Losing Everything in 2008 Taught Me to Stop Buying Weakness and Start Following Strength
The first time I opened a brokerage account, I didn’t know what the hell relative strength was.
I just bought dips.
In 2008…
And like clockwork, the market kept falling... and I lost everything in that little account.
Every damn dollar.
I remember thinking, “How do people actually learn to trade? Is this even possible?” It felt impossible at the time. But deep down, I knew I’d figure it out, I had to.
Fast forward a few years—I'd devoured every book, article, chart, and white paper I could find on relative strength (not to be confused with RSI—different beast).
Relative strength compares an asset’s performance to a broader index. If it drops less or climbs more, it’s showing strength. And strength attracts capital. Leaders lead. That’s the game.
But this flew in the face of everything I was ever taught…
Buy low, sell high... Where does that logic even...
I have just returned to Kansas after spending a week in New Orleans with some of the brightest minds in finance at our Portfolio Accelerator event.
I had oysters for the first time, and they exceeded my expectations.
And I had my first hurricane, a drink that New Orleans is known for. They put way too much sugar and vodka in it... I don't think I'll try it again.
I also spent some time at the jazz bars where the music was incredible. My favorite was Pat O'Brien's Dueling Piano Bar, which I highly recommend you visit if you ever get the chance.
It was great to spend time with my Stock Market Media family.
Jason and Spencer were unable to attend, but everyone else was there. Mary, Alfonso, Steve, Sean, Grant, Rick, Louis, Patrick, Riley, and, of course, my loud and obnoxious Cuban friend, JC.
We also welcomed friends from around the world, and I’m incredibly grateful for the deep bench of talent and insight this community brings. It’s truly the best network in the business.
One highlight was hearing Brien Lundin speak Wednesday afternoon...
We're amidst an epic bull market for precious metals. And while gold and silver get all the headlines, we think Palladium could end up being the sneaky outperformer in this cycle.
After a decade of going nowhere, livestock futures are showing signs of life.
While other commodities have recently stolen the spotlight, the livestock space has quietly been forming some of the most powerful bases in the commodities market.
Now we’re seeing breakouts across the board - from Live Cattle to Feeder Cattle, and potentially Lean Hogs next.
Let’s walk through the setup...
Our ASC Livestock Index has broken out above a major shelf of resistance 📈
This equal-weight basket of Live Cattle, Feeder Cattle, and Lean Hogs spent over a decade carving out a massive base, testing the 2014 highs multiple times before finally clearing the level.
That’s the principle of polarity in action: what was once resistance is now support.
With bulls back in control, we’re targeting the 161.8% Fibonacci extension near 221. That's almost 25% more upside from the current price!
It’s time to stop fading strength and start riding the uptrend in livestock.
Is it time for Lean Hogs to catch up? 🐷
Lean Hogs futures are lagging, but maybe not for long.
Prices are pushing against a major downtrend line...
Great trades never ring a bell. They don’t come with fanfare. They come wrapped in uncertainty, quiet conviction, and a little discomfort. That’s how you know they matter.
Take Cocoa futures. One of the cleanest breakouts we’ve seen recently, but it didn’t feel clean until after it moved.
Before that, it was all noise and indecision.
Here’s the setup we outlined in October 👇
We were betting that the breakdown to new lows wasn’t going to stick.
Why? The 14-day RSI was firmly in a bullish momentum regime.
That’s a characteristic of an uptrend… Not a downtrend!
Moreover, this was a textbook consolidation after a historic 190% bull run which unfolded over 4 months.
Here’s how the setup unfolded 👇
The price ripped back above support and hit our target at the upper bound of the range in just a few weeks.
It was an epic bear trap…
Admittedly, this worked much better than we expected.