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Breakout Multiplier

The Scoop n’ Score Pattern

January 15, 2025

One of our favorite setups occurs when a stock breaks a key level, fails to follow through, and then reverses sharply in the opposite direction.

These patterns are known as “shakeouts”, and the best ones set the stage for powerful breakouts.

It is no surprise these shake n’ go setups have earned us the quickest doubles. They’ve also delivered some of our best trades in 2024.

When we notice something working, we keep doing it. 

This week, we saw a lot of breakdowns failing, and shaking traders out before ripping higher. We jumped on the opportunity and put a new trade on the Regional Banks ETF $KRE. 

After hitting fresh two-month lows Friday, it’s reversed higher and trapped the bears this week.

Breakout Multiplier

Two New Trades: KRE and CSCO

January 14, 2025

Regional Banks $KRE have given back all their post-election gains but are refusing to break lower from this multi-week coil.

Instead, KRE is reversing higher after trapping the bears at fresh 2-month lows.

This shakeout has resulted in a textbook "scoop and score" setup—giving us a perfect entry to get in just as the real move is happening.

Breakout Multiplier

Fading the Top in NVDA

December 19, 2024

There’s chatter about a potential head and shoulders top forming in NVDA. 

While it’s always good to be aware of potential reversal patterns, let’s keep things in perspective: these so-called “tops” have failed all year long.

We want to fade yesterday’s selloff and make the bet that this top in NVDA turns into a continuation pattern just like all those before it.

The underlying trend is far more important than any short-term pattern. And that trend, for Nvidia, continues to point higher.

Breakout Multiplier

How Greedy Do You Want to Be?

December 17, 2024

It’s a serious question.

Some Breakout Multiplier members will completely close trades at a max return of 10x. I’m okay with that. But, I wouldn't go any lower because you need the outliers.

I know other members who prefer to hold on to their winners until expiration (after selling the double, of course). 

There will be times when the former will work better. And there will be times when the latter strategy is the right move.

But from my experience, there is no correct way to manage these home runs consistently.

I don’t have a hard and fast rule for it.

I will be more aggressive and hold on longer if I think we’re in an extra risk-on tape.

I’ll consider what the broader market and the stock’s peer group are doing.

I’ll look at momentum indicators to gauge how extended the trend is. And I’ll do this with the contract’s time to expiration in mind.

And I’ll assign more weight to the price behavior and level than anything else. 

Breakout Multiplier, The Strazza Letter

My Kicker System

December 17, 2024

Whenever JC is out, the Morning Show becomes the Strazza Show. 

I invite some of my closest friends on for the guest segment, and we bring the analyst team members on for a free-for-all market discussion. It’s a blast.

Today, we had an extra special guest, David Lundgren.

I’ve learned so much from my conversations with Dave over the years. 

One of the big lessons I credit to him is the importance of outlier trades. We spent a good chunk of time discussing this on my Off The Charts podcast a few months back.

But, I’ve also learned the importance of having big winners first-hand over the years. Figuring this out has been quite the journey, and it has made all the difference for my trading.

I believe in being overly aggressive and making as much money as possible in bull markets.