One of our favorite setups occurs when a stock breaks a key level, fails to follow through, and then reverses sharply in the opposite direction.
These patterns are known as “shakeouts”, and the best ones set the stage for powerful breakouts.
It is no surprise these shake n’ go setups have earned us the quickest doubles. They’ve also delivered some of our best trades in 2024.
When we notice something working, we keep doing it.
This week, we saw a lot of breakdowns failing, and shaking traders out before ripping higher. We jumped on the opportunity and put a new trade on the Regional Banks ETF $KRE.
After hitting fresh two-month lows Friday, it’s reversed higher and trapped the bears this week.
Some Breakout Multiplier members will completely close trades at a max return of 10x. I’m okay with that. But, I wouldn't go any lower because you need the outliers.
I know other members who prefer to hold on to their winners until expiration (after selling the double, of course).
There will be times when the former will work better. And there will be times when the latter strategy is the right move.
But from my experience, there is no correct way to manage these home runs consistently.
I don’t have a hard and fast rule for it.
I will be more aggressive and hold on longer if I think we’re in an extra risk-on tape.
I’ll consider what the broader market and the stock’s peer group are doing.
I’ll look at momentum indicators to gauge how extended the trend is. And I’ll do this with the contract’s time to expiration in mind.
And I’ll assign more weight to the price behavior and level than anything else.
Whenever JC is out, the Morning Show becomes the Strazza Show.
I invite some of my closest friends on for the guest segment, and we bring the analyst team members on for a free-for-all market discussion. It’s a blast.
Today, we had an extra special guest, David Lundgren.
I’ve learned so much from my conversations with Dave over the years.
One of the big lessons I credit to him is the importance of outlier trades. We spent a good chunk of time discussing this on my Off The Charts podcast a few months back.
But, I’ve also learned the importance of having big winners first-hand over the years. Figuring this out has been quite the journey, and it has made all the difference for my trading.
I believe in being overly aggressive and making as much money as possible in bull markets.