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Breakout Multiplier

Fading the Top in NVDA

December 19, 2024

There’s chatter about a potential head and shoulders top forming in NVDA. 

While it’s always good to be aware of potential reversal patterns, let’s keep things in perspective: these so-called “tops” have failed all year long.

We want to fade yesterday’s selloff and make the bet that this top in NVDA turns into a continuation pattern just like all those before it.

The underlying trend is far more important than any short-term pattern. And that trend, for Nvidia, continues to point higher.

 

Price is bouncing off the VWAP from August 5th lows.

This has all the characteristics I look for in a failed top, and this week, we even got a little shakeout to new lows. 

I love it when these patterns trap the bears before price springs higher. This is a common way for the failure rally to kick off.

We’re buying the $NVDA 1/24 $150...

Breakout Multiplier

How Greedy Do You Want to Be?

December 17, 2024

This post was originally for paid members only and has since been unlocked for informational purposes and does not constitute financial advice.

If you're not a member, sign up here.

It’s a serious question.

Some Breakout Multiplier members will completely close trades at a max return of 10x. I’m okay with that. But, I wouldn't go any lower because you need the outliers.

I know other members who prefer to hold on to their winners until expiration (after selling the double, of course). 

There will be times when the former will work better. And there will be times when the latter strategy is the right move.

But from my experience, there is no correct way to manage these home runs consistently.

I don’t have a hard and fast rule for it.

I will be more aggressive and hold on longer if I think we’re in an extra risk-on tape.

I’ll consider what the broader market and the stock’s peer group are doing.

...
Breakout Multiplier,
The Strazza Letter

My Kicker System

December 17, 2024

Whenever JC is out, the Morning Show becomes the Strazza Show. 

I invite some of my closest friends on for the guest segment, and we bring the analyst team members on for a free-for-all market discussion. It’s a blast.

Today, we had an extra special guest, David Lundgren.

I’ve learned so much from my conversations with Dave over the years. 

One of the big lessons I credit to him is the importance of outlier trades. We spent a good chunk of time discussing this on my Off The Charts podcast a few months back.

But, I’ve also learned the importance of having big winners first-hand over the years. Figuring this out has been quite the journey, and it has made all the difference for my trading.

I believe in being overly aggressive and making as much money as possible in bull markets. 

...
Breakout Multiplier

Two Takeaways From Today’s Call

December 12, 2024

Today we held our Breakout Multiplier Weekly Strategy Session. If you’re not a member, click here to join us.

We do this every Thursday at 11 a.m. ET for Breakout Multiplier members, where we discuss new trades ideas, open positions and answer questions from the chat.

Here are two takeaways from today’s call:

  • One Rule: Sell the Double

Discipline is crucial in any trading strategy. 

Today, we had a brief discussion on why it is so important to "sell the double." 

It’s the only hard and fast rule we have. But it’s critical. Without it, the whole thing breaks down.

Think of a double as a free swing at a potential multibagger. As long as we sell lots of doubles, the big winners...