Gold futures keep screaming higher to new all-time highs.

It has also rallied over 100% relative to the broader commodity complex.

But what the shiny yellow metal hasn't done this cycle is outperform stocks. We think that's about to change in a major way and here's why.

This stock is really special to me.

It’s the first one I ever bought. 

I used to watch Jim Cramer with my father when I was in high school. He knew I had an interest in the market so gave me a bit of money to experiment with.

I took one of Jim’s calls and bought Build Your Dreams. Part of his bullish thesis was that Buffett was in. This was almost 20-years ago. I paid the $50 international fee and got long.

They call it BYD Co. now. But, it’s the Tesla of China. These guys have been making EVs and batteries longer than anyone. They are an industry leader, and no one ever talks about them.

Mobility is a monster trend and it is just picking up steam.

China is also a monster trend right now. I think it’s the fattest pitch in the market. It’s the kind of trade setup we wait years for. 

And BYDDF is one of the secular leaders in the region.

Much unlike Alibaba, Tencent, and Baidu – the other mega-tech bellwethers – BYD Co is breaking out to new all-time highs.

The bottom line is it is one of the best-looking charts in...

Today's trade is in a computing company we all know. Some might think their best days are behind them, but the price action as of late would indicate otherwise.

And with what feels like a gift of a pullback to get positioned into, we're going for it!

Space stocks have been among the hottest groups in the market, with many names experiencing historic runs of 500% or more off their lows from last year. 

But after the recent rally phase, many of these spaceships have been refueling. 

Over the past few months, the best names in this industry have wound themselves into high and tight coils.

And they are starting to go. In fact, we are just sending an email alert to members about the ripper in ASTS today. We are selling the double on this breakout.

And we’re redeploying that capital into more space stocks.

Here is one of the leaders, Rocket Lab USA $RKLB: 

After a historic take off, RKLB has been in a tight coil, and now our volatility squeeze indicator is crossing up and signaling expansion...

From the Desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza

Welcome to The Minor Leaguers.

We've had some great trades come out of this small-cap-focused column since we launched it back in 2020 and started rotating it with our flagship bottom-up scan, Under the Hood.

For the first year or so, we focused only on Russell 2000 stocks with a market cap between $1 and $2B.

That was fun, but we wanted to branch out a bit and allow some new stocks to find their way onto our list.

We expanded our universe to include some mid-caps.

Nowadays, to make the cut for our Minor Leaguers list, a company must have a market cap between $1 and $4B.

And it doesn't have to be a Russell component — it can be any US-listed equity. With participation expanding around the globe, we want all those ADRs in our universe.

The same price and liquidity filters are applied. Then, as always, we sort by proximity to new...

In today’s Daily Digest, we’ll review the following:

1. No new positions today.
2. Rolled XME to March options.
3. No exits since the last report.
4. Current status of open campaigns.
5. Volatility Snapshot.

Let’s dig in!

On Friday, Amazon $AMZN, one of the most significant stocks in the universe, had its worst earnings reaction since Q1 2023. 

The company reported a total capital expenditure of $26.3B in Q4, which is expected to continue in 2025. 

Andy Jassy, the CEO of AMZN, is all in on AI, and the market isn't thrilled about it. 

Shareholders would rather have the money returned to them than have the company invest a tremendous amount in potential future growth.

Who has it right? Only time will tell...

Let's talk about what else happened 👇

*click the image to enlarge it

Take-Two Interactive Software $TTWO reported mixed results but rallied 14% with a reaction score of 9.14. The market loved it!

The company reported stronger-than-expected NBA 2K sales. They sold over 7M units, increasing daily active users by nearly 20%.

Expedia Group $EXPE beat expectations and rallied 17%, with a reaction score of 7.86. But the market was most excited about the announcement to reinstate the quarterly dividend.

In March 2020, the company...

The largest insider transaction on today’s list was filed by The Estee Lauder Companies $EL director Paul Fribourg.

Fribourg revealed a purchase of $5,724,373 in his own company’s stock.

The CEO of Markel Corp $MKL just put a little over $200,000 of his own cash into the stock—not a massive bet, but definitely worth paying attention to.

We like to see CEO purchases come with a little more size than this.

Here’s The Hot Corner, with data from February 7, 2025:

Control Empresarial de Capitales S.A., the investment firm tied to Mexican billionaire Carlos Slim, just made a massive bet on PBF Energy Inc $PBF, scooping up $4,305,060 worth of stock.

Last but not least, two Merck & Co $MRK directors just made a significant statement, collectively buying $1,577,499 worth of their company’s stock.

When not just one but multiple high-level...

Notice how persistent the colors are on either end of the table?

What this suggests is that the same industry groups that have been outperforming the market have continued to show strength, while there is no signs of this weakness changing on the other end.

Something of note is how Medical Devices $IHI has shown strength while Healthcare $XLV has been the weakest sector over the last six months.

Interestingly, the ratio of Medical Devices $IHI relative to the broad Healthcare sector $XLV is at a key level of resistance. Furthermore, the sector has rebounded and despite its weakness over the last six months has been the strongest sector YTD.

With this ratio hitting resistance, we could see some rotation within the underlying healthcare industry groups which could be positive for the sector.

Speaking of rotation, we might be witnessing the same thing play out in the retail sector, with the market all but writing off Peloton—only for it to explode 20% higher in a stunning reversal.

And even more, Jeff Macke called it. He’s been all over the retail space for years, and he’s got a killer...

Today's number is... 3

Let's check in on how the third year of this bull market is progressing.

Here’s the chart:

Let's break down what the chart shows:

• The light blue line represents the performance of an average first year during a bull market for the S&P 500. The dark blue line illustrates the performance of the first year of the current bull market for the S&P 500.
• The light gray line indicates the performance of an average second year within a bull market for the S&P 500, while the dark gray line shows the performance of the second year of the current bull market.
• The light red line indicates the performance of an average third year during a bull market for the S&P 500, and the dark red line represents the performance of the third year of the current bull market for the S&P 500.

The Takeaway: Let's start by clarifying how I define a bull market: 

A bull market is a 20% or more rally preceded by a -20...

Artificial intelligence is no longer just a futuristic buzzword - it’s a transformative force reshaping industries worldwide. 

Companies are racing to integrate AI into their operations, but many lack the in-house expertise to do so effectively. 

AI consulting is a rapidly growing sector that helps businesses harness machine learning, automation, and data analytics.

As AI products and services become increasingly powerful, the demand for AI consultants to help implement them will only grow.

The mega trend in AI consulting has already caught the attention of investors as these stocks continue to outperform the broader market.

The bullish thesis is clear as day and easy to understand. It's perfect for a Beat Report deep dive.

As businesses across healthcare, finance, retail, and other sectors seek to adopt AI-driven solutions, consulting firms that effectively bridge the gap between cutting-edge technology and real-world applications are positioned for significant growth...

This is the weekly post that aggregates all the charts we put together throughout the week and organizes them all into one, easy to flip through deck.

It's hard to imagine what it is that these investors are all so bearish about.

I mean, we're in the middle of a bull market, where we know historically it pays way better own stocks than to be selling them. We know. We have the data.

And yet, accordingly to the latest AAII survey, more individual investors are bearish over the next 6 months than at any point since November of 2023.

Here's what stocks have done since then:

These are historic returns that have rarely been seen throughout stock market history. It's been practically straight up. 

The S&P500 is up almost 40%, while the Nasdaq100 is up over 45%. Financials and Communications are each up over 50%.Consumer Discretionary, Industrials and Technology are also major leaders during this period.

You see, stocks don't go up or down in price based on "fundamentals". Prices move based on positioning. And when individual investors are all bullish, it's probably a good time to be selling.

More importantly, and definitely more actionable, is when individual investors are bearish. That's historically a great time to be buying very aggressively.

These are the...

Chinese stocks are on the move.

These Breakout Multiplier trades are all popping off one by one. 3 of them doubled today.

The Chinese Internet Index closed at its highest levels since mid-October, well before the Trump landslide victory (that was supposed to be the end of Chinese stocks).

It's actually been the exact opposite.

In fact, look Chinese Internet stocks relative to the U.S. Internet Index. The new lows could not hold, and now the face-ripper is here:

The rotation is real, and this is a perfectly normal characteristic of a bull market, which we are very much in.

There's a time and a place for everything. Buying China has not been a good idea for a long time. So it should be no surprise that the short interest in China is so high.

Those shorts have overstayed their welcome and now it's time for us to profit from their demise. The short squeeze you...

We bought some calls in EHang $EH yesterday.

They build autonomous flying cars in China. Some real-life Jetsons stuff.

We also bought some calls in PDD Holdings $PDD.

They are one of the Chinese online retail conglomerates, known in the US for temu.com.

Today, I sold half of both of my positions at double the price I paid yesterday.

Now, this does not mean I think these stocks will go lower from here. I think they’re going higher.

It’s just my rule. I follow it religiously. 

It keeps me in the game. It’s how I keep swinging.

When I sell a double I am effectively earning a risk-free shot at making big profits. No matter what happens, I can’t lose.

But, it’s bigger than that. It’s not about the half position left on the table.

It’s about getting liquid and doing it quickly.

It’s about getting my money back. 

In bull markets I don’t just have cash laying around. I’m invested. 

And in times like these, there are so many opportunities....

If you’ve been following me for a while, you know I’ve been long China.

This is a bet against the crowd. Nobody trusts these companies or their numbers—honestly, I don’t either. But I don’t have to. 

I trust price.

And for months now, these stocks have been catching a relentless bid. That kind of price action tells me everything I need to know.

Investors are willing to take the risk, and as long as price keeps confirming it, I am too.

One big reason China is working—something no one’s really talking about—is the quiet rotation happening across emerging markets.

The Large-Cap China ETF $FXI recently scooped higher above a key support level relative to the Emerging Markets ETF...

Commodities are catching a serious bid right now.

Coffee futures have resolved a nearly 50-year base, printing fresh all-time highs.

Base and industrial metals keep screaming higher as the Chinese economy strengthens. 

This is all happening at a time when commodities are supposed to be strong.

As you can see, February has historically been an excellent month for owning commodities. The only better month is April, and the difference is marginal.

Will this be another strong February? We think so!

We told you we were buying fertilizer stocks a few weeks ago. ...

Today's trade is in a $104B company that provides cybersecurity solutions that is printing new all-time highs.

You know how I feel about all-time highs...

It's late on Friday. Let's get after it.

If you want to understand where commodity prices are headed, look at the yield curve.

Every major commodity bull market has been preceded by a steepening yield curve—every single one.

📈 When the yield curve bottoms and starts steepening, commodities follow.
 

Look at the last cycle:

• The commodity index bottomed when the yield curve hit its lowest point.
• When the yield curve flipped positive for the first time since 2022, commodities started trending higher.

It’s not magic—it’s liquidity and capital flows. When short-term rates fall relative to long-term rates, the market starts pricing in higher growth and inflation expectations, and commodities are the first to respond.

This is exactly why we’re positioned the way we are. Commodities don’t move in isolation—...

Amazon is selling off on weak guidance. After 30yrs you'd think we'd have learned