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[Options P2P] Daily Digest 2/7/25

February 7, 2025

In today’s Daily Digest, we’ll review the following:

  1. New position in XRT.
  2. No adjustments are needed today.
  3. No exits since the last report.
  4. Current status of open campaigns.
  5. Volatility Snapshot.

Let’s dig in!

Hot Corner Insider

Director Mittal Buys 100,000 JBLU Shares

February 7, 2025

We’ve got some notable insider transactions hitting the tape.

JetBlue Airways $JBLU Director Nik Mittal just went all in, snapping up 100,000 shares of JBLU.

After a brutal post-earnings drop on January 28, this insider move signals a strong bet on a turnaround.

With Mittal’s private equity background, he likely sees value the market is missing.

Here’s The Hot Corner, with data from February 6, 2025:

 

When the boss buys, it matters: Olin Corporation $OLN president and CEO just dropped $203,446 on company stock.

And Wellington Management just increased its Coterra Energy $CTRA stake from 9.67% to 11.10%.

Wellington is a heavyweight with a strong track record in energy. When a major firm increases its position, it signals confidence in future upside.

These Earnings Reactions Were Dramatic 📊🤯

February 7, 2025

Thursday was a blood bath for most of the companies in the S&P 500 that reported earnings.

It was a great day to be a bear... in most cases.

Stocks like Yum! Brands, Philip Morris, and Tapestry had their best (or 2nd best) earnings reactions ever. It's hard to be bearish when you see reactions like that.

Let's talk about what else happened 👇

Here are the latest earnings reactions from the S&P 500: 

*click the image to enlarge it

Yum! Brands $YUM was at the top of today's dashboard. The stock reported mixed results but rallied nearly 10% with a reaction score of 7.7. 

The Taco Bell Luxe Cravings Box, a value meal starting at $5, drove a 5% increase in same-store sales in the United States. It's hard to bet against tacos, amirite?

Philip Morris $PM beat expectations across the board and rallied 11% with a reaction score of 7. This was the stock's best earnings reaction ever. 

PM shipped over 40B units of heated-tobacco and oral smoke-free products in 2024 and this number is expected to continue growing.

Skyworks Solutions $SWKS beat its expectations but fell over 24% with a...

All Star Charts Premium

The Hall of Famers (02-07-2025)

February 7, 2025

From the desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza

Our Hall of Famers list is composed of the 150 largest US-based stocks.

These stocks range from the mega-cap growth behemoths like Apple and Microsoft – with market caps in excess of $2T – to some of the new-age large-cap disruptors such as Moderna, Square, and Snap.

It has all the big names and more.

It doesn’t include ADRs or any stock not domiciled in the US. But don’t worry; we developed a separate universe for that. Click here to check it out.

The Hall of Famers is simple.

We take our list of 150 names and then apply our technical filters so the strongest stocks with the most momentum rise to the top.

Let’s dive right in and check out what these big boys are up to.

Here’s this week’s list:

 

*Click table to enlarge view

We filter out any laggards that are down -5% or more relative to the S&P 500 over the trailing month.

Then, we...

ETF Power Rankings Archives

🔎 Same Sectors Continue Winning

February 7, 2025

Today we're switching up our regular broadcasting and taking our ETF Power Rankings to the stocks of the Dow 30.

The beauty of these rankings is that they can applied to any universe of our choosing - today we're doing the Dow 30.

📊 Daily ETF Overview 

Here's where our sector universe stands right now.

The same sectors continue to lead, like discretionary, financials, communications, and industrials.

There's a wide selection of leadership, which broadly speaking is bullish for the market.

The Daily Number

The Daily Number 💯 Friday, February 7, 2025

February 7, 2025

Today's number is... 250

The old saying is it's a market of stocks, not a stock market, and so far in 2025, we are seeing 250 stocks outperforming the S&P 500 index.

Here’s the chart:

 

Let's break down what the chart shows:

  • The dark blue bars represent the year-to-date returns of each S&P 500 stock.
  • The light blue bar indicates the average year-to-date return of S&P 500 stocks.
  • The yellow bar represents the S&P 500 index year-to-date return.

The Takeaway: The S&P 500 index has increased by 3.45% this year, but currently, 250 stocks are outperforming it... That's half of the index components!

When we take a look at the year-to-date return data of the S&P 500 stocks, we can see that a total of 331 stocks have recorded positive returns so far this year, whereas only 172 stocks have experienced negative returns during the same period.

Given the recent increase in volatility, these figures actually reflect solid performance.

Although the new high breadth data isn'...

Alfonso’s Daily Note

Gold Keeps Running

February 6, 2025

Gold has been an absolute monster since breaking out of that massive base last year.

Gold bugs can't complain—this is what they've been waiting on for years, and now they’re finally getting paid.

They’ve got the ball and are sprinting downfield with no one in sight.

This week, price ripped out of another tight consolidation to fresh all-time highs, just like it did last September

 

It’s the same playbook.

The bulls are running the show, momentum is screaming higher, and this secular uptrend is showing no signs of slowing down.

Yet no one's talking about it. That just makes me even more bullish.

I think we will see 3,350 this year.

Under this scenario, Silver and Copper could be next in line to follow…

...
The Strazza Letter

One For The Books

February 6, 2025

Every now and then I come across a chart that I feel the need to send over to our friends at the CMT association.

The curriculum covers all sorts of pattern recognition and analysis. While things don’t always work out the way the textbook teaches… sometimes, they do. And it’s just so lovely to see. 

It’s happening now with the recent action in Bank OZK. Both of these flag pattern breakouts are picture perfect.

Let’s use this chart as an example to discuss the classic continuation pattern.

 

Price was coiling in a bear flag coming into the year. 

The only difference between the first flag and the second flag is the trend that preceded them. When the trend that leads into the coil is down, it is a bear flag. When it is up, like it is now, it is a bull flag.

Another difference between the two formations is the way that they resolved. The bear flag resolution is actually considered a failed pattern as it resolved in the opposite direction of the downtrend that preceded it.

Failed patterns are some of the best patterns though. As...

Breakout Multiplier

New Trades and a Roll

February 6, 2025
This post was originally for paid members only. It has since been unlocked for informational purposes and does not constitute financial advice.If you're not a member, sign up here.

Speculative themes have been the best trades on the tape for the past six months. 

We’ve been tracking American eVTOL stocks for a few months, noting the aggressive primary trend reversals in many of the names in the space. 

With China shaping up, one stock we’ve kept on our radar is EHang $EH. 

One of our scans picked up an unusual volume splash today in the March 21 $21 strike calls. And we love the chart, so we’re in:

 

With volatility compressed and with volume and momentum coming into EH in a big way, we want to make the bet this base resolves higher. 

A trade like EH has the potential to become a multibagger. 

Not only would a quick pop get us a double, but it would also complete this multi-year basing pattern which could...

All Star Options

When the World is Against You

February 6, 2025

Before I get to today's Options Jam Session, I want to talk about profiting from bearish moves.

Short answer: It's a hell of a lot harder than it looks.

Few people (with the exception of traders holding short positions) hate it when stocks go up. It is human nature to expect stocks to go up. When stocks are going up, everything is "normal." There's no panic. There are no investor lawsuits. There are no board room freak-outs. Everyone is making money, everyone is happy. Carry on.

But when stocks are going down, people get mad. They look for someone to blame. Big shareholders and institutions start looking for malfeasance and an angle to sue the company for fraud. Star employees get frustrated and leave for greener pastures. Customers lose confidence in the company and start exploring other options. Borrowing costs get more expensive. It gets harder to raise capital in the public markets.

All kinds of bad things happen when stocks go down. So companies deploy all kinds of weapons (some legal, some questionable) to try to stop the stock from going down. They issue buybacks. They issue bullish press releases. The executives go on TV and...

Options Paid to Play

[Options P2P] Daily Digest 2/6/25

February 6, 2025

In today’s Daily Digest, we’ll review the following:

  1. New position in EEM.
  2. No adjustments are needed today.
  3. No exits since the last report.
  4. Current status of open campaigns.
  5. Volatility Snapshot.

Let’s dig in!

All Star Charts Premium

Junior Hall of Famers (02-06-2025)

February 6, 2025

From the Desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza

We love our bottoms-up scans here at All Star Charts. We tend to get really creative when making new universes as we want to be sure they will deliver us the best opportunities the market has to offer.

However, when it comes to this one, it couldn't be any simpler!

With the goal of finding more bullish setups, we have decided to expand one of our favorite scans and broaden our regular coverage of the largest US stocks.

Welcome to The Junior Hall of Famers.

This scan is composed of the next 150 largest stocks by market cap, those that come after the top 150 and are thus covered by the Hall of Famers universe. Many of these names will someday graduate and join our original Hall Of Famers list. The idea here is to catch these big trends as early on as possible.

There is no need to overcomplicate things. Market cap is a quality filter at the end of the day. It only grows if price is rising. That's good enough for us.

The bottom line is it is a bull market. We...

Hot Corner Insider

Control Empresarial Buys More PBF Energy

February 6, 2025

We just got some interesting insider action from a few big names. Let’s break it down.

Control Empresarial de Capitales S.A. just dropped $1,098,968 on a fresh PBF Energy $PBF buy.

This firm, linked to Mexican billionaire Carlos Slim, has stakes in everything from energy to media. When they make a move, it’s worth watching.

Here’s The Hot Corner, with data from February 5, 2025:

 

Long Focus Capital Management is taking a big bite of Herbalife $HLF with a 5% stake.

This hedge fund manages over $666M, with major positions in Comcast $CMCSA, Alibaba $BABA, and Intel $INTC.

Last but not least, James W. Ayers, the Executive Chairman of FB Financial $FBK, just bought 4,000 shares of his own company.

The Daily Number

The Daily Number 💯 Thursday, February 6, 2025

February 6, 2025

Today's number is... 517

The Equal Weight Consumer Discretionary vs Equal Weight Consumer Staples relative ratio has been in an uptrend for the past 517 trading days.

Here’s the chart:

 

Let's break down what the chart shows:

  • The black line in the top panel represents Equal Weight Consumer Discretionary vs Equal Weight Consumer Staples relative ratio (If the ratio rises, discretionary stocks are outperforming staples; if it falls, staples are outperforming discretionary stocks.)
  • The blue line in the top panel represents the 50-day moving average, while the red line represents the 200-day moving average.
  • The black bars in the bottom panel indicate the consecutive days when the 50-day average is greater than the 200-day average.

The Takeaway: If you've been following me, you probably already know that I define an uptrend as when the 50-day moving average is above the 200-day moving average. I like to keep things simple and avoid complicating things.

This ratio is one of my favorite Risk-On/Risk-...

The Strazza Letter

Crisis Dogs

February 5, 2025

The monthly strategy session has always been one of my favorite things we do here at All Star Charts. I’ve been watching these calls for like ten years now. Since long before I worked here.

They are a huge part of my process. 

So, when I got the call from JC on Monday, I was pumped. It’s always an honor.

Not to mention, there’s so much to talk about right now… from some major intermarket developments to the expansion in participation for global equities and commodities. We covered it all. 

If you missed the call, you can rewatch it here.

If you are not a member of ASC premium, you can sign up here and get access.

And for the rest of you, here’s one of my favorite charts from the slide deck:

 

This is a custom equal-weighted index of some of the absolute worst...