Skip to main content

Displaying 841 - 864 of 17367

The Daily Number

The Daily Number 💯 Friday, February 7, 2025

February 7, 2025

Today's number is... 250

The old saying is it's a market of stocks, not a stock market, and so far in 2025, we are seeing 250 stocks outperforming the S&P 500 index.

Here’s the chart:

 

Let's break down what the chart shows:

  • The dark blue bars represent the year-to-date returns of each S&P 500 stock.
  • The light blue bar indicates the average year-to-date return of S&P 500 stocks.
  • The yellow bar represents the S&P 500 index year-to-date return.

The Takeaway: The S&P 500 index has increased by 3.45% this year, but currently, 250 stocks are outperforming it... That's half of the index components!

When we take a look at the year-to-date return data of the S&P 500 stocks, we can see that a total of 331 stocks have recorded positive returns so far this year, whereas only 172 stocks have experienced negative returns during the same period.

Given the recent increase in volatility, these figures actually reflect solid performance.

Although the new high breadth data isn'...

Alfonso’s Daily Note

Gold Keeps Running

February 6, 2025

Gold has been an absolute monster since breaking out of that massive base last year.

Gold bugs can't complain—this is what they've been waiting on for years, and now they’re finally getting paid.

They’ve got the ball and are sprinting downfield with no one in sight.

This week, price ripped out of another tight consolidation to fresh all-time highs, just like it did last September

 

It’s the same playbook.

The bulls are running the show, momentum is screaming higher, and this secular uptrend is showing no signs of slowing down.

Yet no one's talking about it. That just makes me even more bullish.

I think we will see 3,350 this year.

Under this scenario, Silver and Copper could be next in line to follow…

...
The Strazza Letter

One For The Books

February 6, 2025

Every now and then I come across a chart that I feel the need to send over to our friends at the CMT association.

The curriculum covers all sorts of pattern recognition and analysis. While things don’t always work out the way the textbook teaches… sometimes, they do. And it’s just so lovely to see. 

It’s happening now with the recent action in Bank OZK. Both of these flag pattern breakouts are picture perfect.

Let’s use this chart as an example to discuss the classic continuation pattern.

 

Price was coiling in a bear flag coming into the year. 

The only difference between the first flag and the second flag is the trend that preceded them. When the trend that leads into the coil is down, it is a bear flag. When it is up, like it is now, it is a bull flag.

Another difference between the two formations is the way that they resolved. The bear flag resolution is actually considered a failed pattern as it resolved in the opposite direction of the downtrend that preceded it.

Failed patterns are some of the best patterns though. As...

Breakout Multiplier

New Trades and a Roll

February 6, 2025
This post was originally for paid members only. It has since been unlocked for informational purposes and does not constitute financial advice.If you're not a member, sign up here.

Speculative themes have been the best trades on the tape for the past six months. 

We’ve been tracking American eVTOL stocks for a few months, noting the aggressive primary trend reversals in many of the names in the space. 

With China shaping up, one stock we’ve kept on our radar is EHang $EH. 

One of our scans picked up an unusual volume splash today in the March 21 $21 strike calls. And we love the chart, so we’re in:

 

With volatility compressed and with volume and momentum coming into EH in a big way, we want to make the bet this base resolves higher. 

A trade like EH has the potential to become a multibagger. 

Not only would a quick pop get us a double, but it would also complete this multi-year basing pattern which could...

All Star Options

When the World is Against You

February 6, 2025

Before I get to today's Options Jam Session, I want to talk about profiting from bearish moves.

Short answer: It's a hell of a lot harder than it looks.

Few people (with the exception of traders holding short positions) hate it when stocks go up. It is human nature to expect stocks to go up. When stocks are going up, everything is "normal." There's no panic. There are no investor lawsuits. There are no board room freak-outs. Everyone is making money, everyone is happy. Carry on.

But when stocks are going down, people get mad. They look for someone to blame. Big shareholders and institutions start looking for malfeasance and an angle to sue the company for fraud. Star employees get frustrated and leave for greener pastures. Customers lose confidence in the company and start exploring other options. Borrowing costs get more expensive. It gets harder to raise capital in the public markets.

All kinds of bad things happen when stocks go down. So companies deploy all kinds of weapons (some legal, some questionable) to try to stop the stock from going down. They issue buybacks. They issue bullish press releases. The executives go on TV and...

Options Paid to Play

[Options P2P] Daily Digest 2/6/25

February 6, 2025

In today’s Daily Digest, we’ll review the following:

  1. New position in EEM.
  2. No adjustments are needed today.
  3. No exits since the last report.
  4. Current status of open campaigns.
  5. Volatility Snapshot.

Let’s dig in!

All Star Charts Premium

Junior Hall of Famers (02-06-2025)

February 6, 2025

From the Desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza

We love our bottoms-up scans here at All Star Charts. We tend to get really creative when making new universes as we want to be sure they will deliver us the best opportunities the market has to offer.

However, when it comes to this one, it couldn't be any simpler!

With the goal of finding more bullish setups, we have decided to expand one of our favorite scans and broaden our regular coverage of the largest US stocks.

Welcome to The Junior Hall of Famers.

This scan is composed of the next 150 largest stocks by market cap, those that come after the top 150 and are thus covered by the Hall of Famers universe. Many of these names will someday graduate and join our original Hall Of Famers list. The idea here is to catch these big trends as early on as possible.

There is no need to overcomplicate things. Market cap is a quality filter at the end of the day. It only grows if price is rising. That's good enough for us.

The bottom line is it is a bull market. We...

Hot Corner Insider

Control Empresarial Buys More PBF Energy

February 6, 2025

We just got some interesting insider action from a few big names. Let’s break it down.

Control Empresarial de Capitales S.A. just dropped $1,098,968 on a fresh PBF Energy $PBF buy.

This firm, linked to Mexican billionaire Carlos Slim, has stakes in everything from energy to media. When they make a move, it’s worth watching.

Here’s The Hot Corner, with data from February 5, 2025:

 

Long Focus Capital Management is taking a big bite of Herbalife $HLF with a 5% stake.

This hedge fund manages over $666M, with major positions in Comcast $CMCSA, Alibaba $BABA, and Intel $INTC.

Last but not least, James W. Ayers, the Executive Chairman of FB Financial $FBK, just bought 4,000 shares of his own company.

The Daily Number

The Daily Number 💯 Thursday, February 6, 2025

February 6, 2025

Today's number is... 517

The Equal Weight Consumer Discretionary vs Equal Weight Consumer Staples relative ratio has been in an uptrend for the past 517 trading days.

Here’s the chart:

 

Let's break down what the chart shows:

  • The black line in the top panel represents Equal Weight Consumer Discretionary vs Equal Weight Consumer Staples relative ratio (If the ratio rises, discretionary stocks are outperforming staples; if it falls, staples are outperforming discretionary stocks.)
  • The blue line in the top panel represents the 50-day moving average, while the red line represents the 200-day moving average.
  • The black bars in the bottom panel indicate the consecutive days when the 50-day average is greater than the 200-day average.

The Takeaway: If you've been following me, you probably already know that I define an uptrend as when the 50-day moving average is above the 200-day moving average. I like to keep things simple and avoid complicating things.

This ratio is one of my favorite Risk-On/Risk-...

The Strazza Letter

Crisis Dogs

February 5, 2025

The monthly strategy session has always been one of my favorite things we do here at All Star Charts. I’ve been watching these calls for like ten years now. Since long before I worked here.

They are a huge part of my process. 

So, when I got the call from JC on Monday, I was pumped. It’s always an honor.

Not to mention, there’s so much to talk about right now… from some major intermarket developments to the expansion in participation for global equities and commodities. We covered it all. 

If you missed the call, you can rewatch it here.

If you are not a member of ASC premium, you can sign up here and get access.

And for the rest of you, here’s one of my favorite charts from the slide deck:

 

This is a custom equal-weighted index of some of the absolute worst...

All Star Options

[Options Premium] A Spicy Earnings Bet

February 5, 2025

I think I surprised JC during this morning's internal analyst Call. He asked me if I had any "spicy trades" in mind.

In fact, I did have one.

It's a bet on an upcoming earnings release kicking a dog semiconductor stock while it's down, sending prices even lower.

All Star Charts Premium

CAD/USD at a Tipping Point

February 5, 2025

When it comes to Canada, it's not about tariffs or political headlines making the rounds these days.

The real focus is the Canadian Dollar.

With nearly a 10% weighting in the Dollar Index $DXY, CAD is a crucial piece of the broader currency puzzle.

CAD/USD is pressing against a decade-long support zone, hovering around a key level that triggered strong reversals in 2016 and 2020.

 

What makes this even more significant is CAD’s close correlation with commodities—especially oil and metals—due to Canada’s heavy exposure to natural resources.

Just look at how the Canadian Dollar has historically traded alongside Crude Oil over the past years.

 

They look almost identical.

They say history doesn’t repeat, but it often rhymes. If CAD/USD rips higher from here and buyers defend support around 0.68, we can expect energy stocks, metals, and...

2 to 100 Club,
All Star Charts Premium

2 to 100 Club (02-05-2025)

February 5, 2025

From the Desk of Alfonso De Pablos @AlfCharts

Welcome to The 2 to 100 Club.

In this scan, we look to identify the strongest growth stocks as they climb the market-cap ladder from small- to mid- to large- and, ultimately, to mega cap status (over $200B).

Once they graduate from small-cap to mid-cap status (over $2B), they come on our radar. Likewise, when they surpass the roughly $30B mark, they roll off our list.

But the scan doesn't just end there.

We only want to look at the strongest growth industries in the market, as that is typically where these potential 50-baggers come from.

Some of the best performers in recent decades – stocks like Priceline, Amazon, Netflix, Salesforce, and myriad others – would have been on this list at some point during their journey to becoming the market behemoths they are today.

When you look at the stocks in our table, you'll notice we're only focused on Technology and Growth industry groups such as Software, Semiconductors,...

Options Paid to Play

[Options P2P] Daily Digest 2/5/25

February 5, 2025

In today’s Daily Digest, we’ll review the following:

  1. No new positions today.
  2. Adjustment to GLD position.
  3. No exits since the last report.
  4. Current status of open campaigns.
  5. Volatility Snapshot.

Let’s dig in!

31 S&P 500 Components Just Reported Earnings: Here are the Best & Worst Reactions 📈📉

February 5, 2025

Tuesday was jam-packed with earnings reactions, most of which were negative.

Merck $MRK, one of the largest drug manufacturers in the world, led the way lower after releasing terrible guidance. This is after the stock had its second-worst earnings reaction ever in Q3 2024.

On the bright side, Palantir Technologies' $ PLTR earnings report was outstanding. The stock had its second-best earnings reaction ever after crushing expectations and raising guidance.

Let's talk about what else happened 👇

Here are the latest earnings reactions from the S&P 500: 

*click the image to enlarge it

The second-best earnings reaction came from Xylem $XYL, which beat its expectations and rallied over 5% with a reaction score of 3. They've successfully integrated Evoqua into the company, which delivered cost synergies 18 months ahead of schedule.

The market loved it.

Another report the market hated came from PayPal $PYPL which beat its expectations but fell over 13% with a reaction score of -6.74. It was really bad.

PYPL even announced a new $15B stock repurchase program, which wasn't enough to offset the growth...