Today we held our Breakout Multiplier Weekly Strategy Session. If you’re not a member, click here to join us.

We do this every Thursday at 11 a.m. ET for Breakout Multiplier members, where we discuss new trades ideas, open positions and answer questions from the chat.

Here are two takeaways from today’s call:

• One Rule: Sell the Double

Discipline is crucial in any trading strategy. 

Today, we had a brief discussion on why it is so important to "sell the double." 

It’s the only hard and fast rule we have. But it’s critical. Without it, the whole thing breaks down.

Think of a double as a free swing at a potential multibagger. As long as we sell lots of doubles, the big winners...

Here's the replay and chartbook from the December 12 livestream. Note that we talk strategy every Thursday at 11 am Eastern time, and I answer questions in the chat room.

Be sure to join us and maximize your return potential.

In today’s Daily Digest, we’ll review the following:

1. New position in IGV.
2. No adjustments are needed today.
3. Exited TLT for a profit.
4. Current status of open campaigns.
5. Volatility Snapshot.

Let’s dig in!

We'll be streaming LIVE today on Stock Market TV with The Best Morning Show in Finance. This is where we talk about which stocks are moving, the major themes in the market, and what we're doing about it.

Today's guest is our in-house Quantitative Strategist Grant Hawkridge.

Grant joins us from the other side of the world in Australia. So let's all give him a warm U.S. welcome!

...

OPKO Health $OPK CEO Phillip Frost just put his money where his mouth is, snapping up 500,000 of OPK shares at $1.56 each.

Remember, executives sell for many reasons. But they only buy because they believe in their company and think it will have a higher stock price in the future.

Frost is clearly placing his chips on OPKO’s future.

Here’s The Hot Corner, with data from December 11, 2024:

Director David B. Smith, Jr. bought 635 shares of Illinois Tool Works $ITW, equivalent to $174,752.

Today's number is... 8

We have now experienced 8 consecutive days with more S&P 500 stocks declining than advancing. 

But, this time it is different…

Here’s the chart:

(right-click and open image in new tab to zoom in)

Let's break down what the chart shows:

The blue line in the top panel shows the price of the S&P 500 index.

The black line in the middle represents the consecutive days the S&P 500 had more decliners than advancers.

The red line at the bottom represents the percentage of S&P 500 stocks at 1-month lows.

The Takeaway: Yes, breadth appears weak at first glance, as the data indicates that more stocks have been declining than advancing over the past 8 trading days.

Looking back at history, we can see that this period of poor breadth has occurred three other times over the past two decades.

All three times were amid bear markets and record-high spikes in one-month new lows.

Currently, we are just 0.6% below all-time highs...

REV Group is a leading manufacturer of specialty vehicles like fire trucks, street sweepers, school buses, and more. 

They provide every type of vehicle a municipality needs. Sounds like a good business, right?

In the past few years, the company has been trying to divest from several segments, such as school buses, because of slowing sales growth and margin compression. 

Instead of school buses, they've aggressively leaned into the fire and emergency vehicle segments. This has boosted profitability, and the market loves it!

REVG just closed at a fresh all-time high on the heels of a mixed report:

As you can see, the market punished the stock for reporting earnings during its prior drawdown from 2018-2020. 

In the nearly five years since it made its all-time low and embarked on a new uptrend, the market has rewarded the stock for reporting 65% of the time.

What's more important to us is this quarter's report was the catalyst for resolving a multi-year accumulation pattern.

Are you adding fire truck exposure to your portfolio? Let me know 🙉

Thank you for reading.

Below is the 10th ASC Mastermind  Course. In this video, I discuss how to profit from short squeezes.

I love short squeezes. I love how they happen, I love how they're somewhat misunderstood, and most importantly, I love to profit from them. 

That's why we created an entire scan to identify stocks with potential short squeezes. 

Most people think looking for a short squeeze is as simple as looking for stocks with the highest short interest. But we know there's a little more nuance than that. In reality, there are multiple components to a short squeeze.

In this video, I review the three parts of a short squeeze (why they happen), how we find these stocks, and how we analyze them to ultimately profit. 

Enjoy.

With large-cap tech gaining momentum, semiconductors have set the stage for a year-end rally.

The Equal-Weight Semiconductors ETF $XSD offers a valuable lens into the overall health and performance of this critically important subsector.

Unlike traditional cap-weighted benchmarks, XSD provides a much broader view of what’s going on with these stocks. And right now, it’s telling us everything is good with semis.

Currently, the ETF is testing the upper limits of a big basing pattern, following a prior breakout attempt that failed a few months ago.

Our volatility squeeze indicator is accelerating higher, suggesting a big move is brewing.

If XSD can hold above its prior cycle highs, it can only be a bullish development and a big plus for the broader market.

And if...

"First they scare 'em out, then they wear 'em out."

That's a famous old Wall Street saying. And I agree with it 100%.

In Bitcoin, the "scare" post-100K might not have been that scary (or maybe it's yet to come?), but it definitely feels like we're in the "wear 'em out" phase right now.

And my gut tells me the next move higher will catch the chasers by surprise. That's what I want to position for.

In today’s Daily Digest, we’ll review the following:

1. New position in XLE.
2. No adjustments are needed today.
3. Exited IGV at profit target.
4. Current status of open campaigns.
5. Volatility Snapshot.

Let’s dig in!

From the Desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza

Welcome to The 2 to 100 Club.

In this scan, we look to identify the strongest growth stocks as they climb the market-cap ladder from small- to mid- to large- and, ultimately, to mega cap status (over $200B).

Once they graduate from small-cap to mid-cap status (over $2B), they come on our radar. Likewise, when they surpass the roughly $30B mark, they roll off our list.

But the scan doesn't just end there.

We only want to look at the strongest growth industries in the market, as that is typically where these potential 50-baggers come from.

Some of the best performers in recent decades – stocks like Priceline, Amazon, Netflix, Salesforce, and myriad others – would have been on this list at some point during their journey to becoming the market behemoths they are today.

When you look at the stocks in our table, you'll notice we're only focused on Technology and Growth industry groups such as Software, Semiconductors, Online...

ARK Investment Management is making waves with its latest move.

In a recent 13G filing, Cathie Wood and her team increased their stake in CRISPR Therapeutics AG $CRSP from 8.78% to 10.69%.

This move makes CRSP the fifth largest holding in ARK’s portfolio, highlighting their strong belief in the company and its groundbreaking work in gene editing.

Every time ARK Investment Management makes a move, it’s worth paying attention – and their latest activity is no exception.

Here’s The Hot Corner, with data from December 10, 2024:

Adding to the activity, GIC Private Ltd., Singapore's sovereign wealth fund, disclosed an initial 5.66% stake in Paymentus Holdings $PAY in a schedule 13G.

Last but not least, we witnessed insider activity in PBF Energy $PBF, Matador Resources Company $MTDR and Biglari Holdings Inc $BH.

Today's number is... 1

We have now experienced seven consecutive days with more S&P 500 stocks declining than advancing. Are we finally going to see an expansion in the new lows list?

The short answer is yes… 

We are beginning to see the 1-month new lows list expanding.

But should we be concerned?

Here's the data:

(right-click and open image in new tab to zoom in)

The Takeaway: The key point is that you cannot have a bear market of any kind without the prices of stocks falling. 

However, the recent spike in the one-month new lows does not raise any significant red flags at this time, as it is no different from similar pullbacks over the past 2 years and not what a significant market top environment would look like.

Until I observe a more serious deterioration in market internals with the list of new lows expanding into longer timeframes, I have no reason to believe we are entering a bear market.

However, a short-term pullback at this point wouldn’t be surprising at all.

On average, each year tends to have 3 to...

Our China trades are working great so far.

And I still think this is just the beginning of a major new trend. 

All those Breakout Multiplier trades that I told you we put on just 10 days ago have all at least doubled so far. 

Yes. That's over 100% return on each of the China trades they told us we were crazy for putting on.

But it gets better. Wait until I tell you about our new FANGhai Composite Index.

Yes you read right. The FANGhai Composite.

Let me set the stage for you, to help you understand the...