In this scan, we look to identify the strongest growth stocks as they climb the market-cap ladder from small- to mid- to large- and, ultimately, to mega-cap status (over $200B).
Once they graduate from small-cap to mid-cap status (over $2B), they come on our radar. Likewise, when they surpass the roughly $30B mark, they roll off our list.
But the scan doesn't just end there.
We only want to look at the strongest growth industries in the market, as that is typically where these potential 50-baggers come from.
We use sentiment to help put the behavior of the stock market into context.
When looking at markets, it's easy to see what stocks are doing. All you have to do is look.
But what are people thinking? That's what we want to know.
When everyone is bullish, it's hard for stocks to go up in price at the same rate. When everyone turns bearish, that's historically a great time to be putting money to work.
Coming into August, sentiment was running hot. The VIX was at 10, the put/call ratio was muted, newsletter writers were giving us some of their most bullish readings of all-time, and our sentiment composite was as complacent as it's ever been.
Boy did that change quickly.
We just saw the largest week over week spike in bears among individual investors since 2022, just as this bull market was getting started.
Stocks with high short interest are proving resilient, even in challenging market conditions, as the bears struggle to drive down even the most hated names.
With this in mind, it's time for another Freshly Squeezed report.
Here's our approach:
We find the most heavily shorted stocks in the market. Then, we monitor these names for signs of upward momentum. Once that momentum kicks in, we ride them higher as the bears get squeezed.
We got fresh short data on Friday, so let's dive in and talk about it.
Our scan is quite simple. It is designed to identify stocks with the most aggressive short positions.
When a stock is shorted, it means incremental buyers are waiting in the wings to close out their bearish bets.
We love this, as new buyers are the one true catalyst for higher prices.
When shorts are proven wrong, they become buyers of the stock. In many cases, this happens as momentum flows into these names and fuels massive short-covering rallies.
We've had some great trades come out of this small-cap-focused column since we launched it back in 2020 and started rotating it with our flagship bottom-up scan, Under the Hood.
For the first year or so, we focused only on Russell 2000 stocks with a market cap between $1 and $2B.
That was fun, but we wanted to branch out a bit and allow some new stocks to find their way onto our list.
We expanded our universe to include some mid-caps.
Nowadays, to make the cut for our Minor Leaguers list, a company must have a market cap between $1 and $4B.
When the storm is upon us, it's too late to purchase hurricane insurance. Nobody will sell it to you. Of if they will, the prices will be obscene.
Last Monday, when the VIX printed a 65 -- it was too late to buy downside protection. If you did, you were asking for your face to be ripped off. And it likely was.
Now that the dust has settled a bit, volatility has abated significantly, and the relative winners and loses sorted themselves out, we're seeing some good setups to position ourselves for any additional downside action.
Additionally, it offers me a good chance to balance out some of the risks I still have on the books in my long positions.
The increasing stress on credit markets culminated in the High-Yield $HYG versus US Treasuries $IEI ratio blowing out to its lowest 14-day RSI reading since September 2008:
I love it when a group of people dislike a stock for reasons that have nothing to do with the stock itself.
In some cases it's because they don't like the CEO, or they don't like the politics of the players involved, or they think the stock is some kind of fraud.
In the case of Palantir, you're getting all 3 of these.
We love it when a stock hitting new 52-week highs makes people sad.
That built-in short-squeeze scenario is just added fuel to the fire to send stocks much higher, much faster.
Here is PLTR hitting new multi-year highs this week: