With the current market environment giving us many mixed messages, what better time to dive in and see what's happening underneath the surface?
Stocks (International & U.S.)
U.S. Sectors & Industries
Market Breadth & Sentiment
Commodities
Currencies
Intermarket Analysis
Crypto Currencies
New Trade Ideas
Overall Strategy
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Our apologies for the late delivery as we've all been so buried in charts preparing our Q3 Playbook that we forgot about this week's column!
As many of you know, something we’ve been working on internally is using various 'bottoms-up' tools and scans to complement our top-down approach.
One way we’re doing this is by identifying the strongest growth stocks as they climb the market-cap ladder from small, to mid, to large - and ultimately mega-cap status (over $200B).
Once they graduate from small-cap to mid-cap status (over $2B) they come on our radar. Likewise, when they surpass the roughly $30B mark, they roll off our list.
The Outperformers is our newest scan that pinpoints the very best stocks in the market. It’s the fastest, easiest way to find quality names that are primed for major moves.
The goal is that as the market rally progresses, the sector rotation within the market will reflect in this scan. So while our Top/Down Analysis helps us with the broader view of the market, this Bottom/Up scan makes sure that we catch the slightest change in sentiment.
This is one of our favorite bottoms-up scans: Follow The Flow. In this note, we simply create a universe of stocks that experienced the most unusual options activity — either bullish or bearish… but NOT both.
We utilize options experts, both internally and through our partnership with The TradeXchange. Then, we dig through the level 2 details and do all the work upfront for our clients. Our goal is to isolate only those options market splashes that represent levered and high-conviction, directional bets.
We also weed out hedging activity and ensure there are no offsetting trades that either neutralize or cap the risk on these unusual options trades. What remains is a list of stocks that large financial institutions are putting big money behind… and they’re doing so for one reason only: Because they think the stock is about to move in their direction and make them a pretty penny.
We've already had some great trades come out of this small cap-focused column since we launched it late last year and started rotating it with our flagship bottoms-up scan, "Under The Hood."
To make the cut for our Minor Leagues list, a company must have a market cap between $1 and $2B. There are also price and liquidity filters. Then, we simply sort by proximity to new highs in order to focus on the best players only.
We have a bonus Trade of the Week post for you! There is a name that's popping up in the Fertilizer space and we didn't want to wait longer to share it with you.
This is a quick follow-up to discuss a hot stock from a leading industry group... And of course, it's presently offering us a skewed risk/reward. At the end of the day, that's all we're really looking for!
On the surface, this company is just an old LED light and radio-frequency device maker...
But, that's not the whole story.
They actually manufacture and sell some of the most important inputs and materials for a variety of burgeoning growth industries.
While a seemingly favorable fundamental story is always nice to have as a potential catalyst, it is never enough. For us, it's all about price.
Speaking of which, let's dive in and see what the charts are telling us.
Earlier this week we shared a couple of trading ideas in the Commodities space. While Cotton as a commodity continues to shine through, we're seeing some movement in the related stocks as well.
Today we're here to connect the dots and see the impact of the rise in commodity prices on the related stocks.
So let's dive in!
Cotton has been positive in the recent past and has been achieving its targets. What we're seeing right now is an almost 8-year base breakout in the commodity! You can see the clean move and breakout on the monthly chart below. With that said, the long-term trend of this commodity will remain positive so long as it trades above the level of 24,225.