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Alfonso’s Daily Note

Shopping Deals in Retail

December 2, 2024

Participation continues to expand across the board as more sectors and industries break out to new cycle highs.

The SPDR S&P Retail ETF $XRT is the latest example of this theme.

Here’s a look at XRT completing a textbook bearish-to-bullish reversal.

After spending nearly three years in the base-building process, buyers are finally taking control and kicking off a new uptrend.

Alfonso’s Daily Note

Game On: Betting Big on the Hottest Gaming Stocks

November 29, 2024

When I was a kid, I loved to play video games. I spent endless hours on Mario Bros, FIFA, and Call of Duty. Those games were my favorites!

Now, I see them in a whole new light—as an opportunity to profit in the market.

Gaming and eSports are a hot spot right now, and the stocks tied to it are embarking on new uptrends.

A great way to tap into this space is through the VanEck Video Gaming and eSports ETF $ESPO.

Alfonso’s Daily Note

The China Setup to Watch

November 29, 2024

Happy Thanksgiving! A quick pause to say thanks—for the markets, the lessons, and the endless opportunities ahead. 

Let’s enjoy the holiday, recharge, and get back to the grind. 

Here’s today’s note!

Chinese equities are brewing something big.

With the most heated areas not breaking down, and instead, catching a bid, it's tough to imagine China will sit on the sidelines.

Alfonso’s Daily Note

The Base in Building Stocks

November 27, 2024

When it comes to relative strength, building and construction stocks are back toward the top of our scans.

How these stocks perform offers a glimpse into economic health and, more importantly, reveals how much risk investors are willing to embrace.

And right now, it’s a green light from these stocks, with new highs on both an absolute and relative basis this week.

Here’s a look at the Invesco Building & Construction ETF $PKB breaking out relative to the S&P 500 $SPY.

Alfonso’s Daily Note

The Missing Piece Is Here

November 26, 2024

Transportation stocks are finally catching a serious bid—providing a necessary ingredient to  support the current bull market rally.

If you go back and do the work, you’ll find it's tough for the stock market to sustain an uptrend without some rotation into underperforming areas.

Transports fit the bill perfectly as they've gone nowhere for four years. But now, the landscape has changed. 

Forgotten groups like transports are waking up and participating higher, adding fuel to the broader market.

The iShares US Transportation ETF $IYT is breaking out of a massive base to new all-time highs.

Alfonso’s Daily Note

I Love This Setup

November 25, 2024

In this market, it’s becoming clear that some of the best opportunities are coming from the underdogs—those lagging groups finally starting to turn things around.

One name that stands out to me is Lovesac $LOVE.

The stock is setting up nicely, breaking out of a textbook inverted head-and-shoulders pattern.

Alfonso’s Daily Note

16 Years in the Making

November 21, 2024

Energy stocks have been showing some strength over the past few weeks.

Looking at the large-cap Energy Sector ETF $XLE, the price has been coiling around a key shelf of former highs for the past two years.

And when you zoom out on the chart like I’ve done, you’ll notice this base has been forming for the past 16 years!

Buyers have tested this level multiple times, steadily absorbing the overhead supply at the current level.

Alfonso’s Daily Note

Textbook Retest in Healthcare

November 20, 2024

The big theme this week is textbook retests. We’re seeing this kind of price action across the board right now.

One that stands out is the large cap healthcare index. 

The healthcare sector is finding its footing after experiencing significant downside pressure in recent weeks.

Price is currently testing a critical level of former resistance marked by a shelf of prior cycle highs.

Alfonso’s Daily Note

BTC Is Back on Top

November 19, 2024

One effective way to identify relative strength is by charting one asset class against another.

This approach helps us position ourselves strategically for the current market environment—and right now, it's all about crypto.

Bitcoin is breaking out of a multi-year base relative to the Dow Jones Industrial Average.

Alfonso’s Daily Note

Digital Payments Are Paying Off

November 18, 2024

This afternoon on Chart Request Live, my friend Patrick and I reviewed some of the standout tickers from the chat.

One group of stocks that really stood out was Digital Payments.

These stocks are on fire, offering favorable setups left and right these days, to the point I would be ashamed not to share some with you.

Before diving into some individual names, here's the Amplify Digital Payments ETF $IPAY:

Alfonso’s Daily Note

Banking on Strength

November 15, 2024

Yesterday I talked about some areas that are struggling to hold onto their post-election gains. The list has grown following today's selloff.

One group that’s been unfazed by this week’s volatility is financials.

Today, let’s flip the script and focus on an industry showing serious resilience.

Banks have been one of the best-performing groups over the past week, positioning themselves as leaders in the current environment.

The S&P Banks ETF $KBE is on the verge of completing a textbook reversal pattern relative to the S&P 500.

Alfonso’s Daily Note

Metals Take a Back Seat for Now

November 14, 2024

A week after the election, stocks are now digesting some of their impressive gains. 

Some groups like banks, software, Ark funds, and even energy are holding up the best, while others struggle to hold onto those gains and are now giving it all back.

The SPDR S&P Metals & Mining ETF $XME is a great example of this second group that is losing steam.