A standout on the thematic side has been VanEck's Video Gaming & eSports ETF $ESPO.
This isn't a recent trend as well, it's been a significant winner since it launched and it just broke out to new all time highs.
Like eSports, the reason I love diving into these thematic ETFs is that they offer a wide selection of hidden opportunities away from the mainstream. And often, these opportunities with a small number of eyeballs can be the most lucrative.
That's exactly what we try to achieve at our Portfolio Accelerator events. The whole team will be in New York in a few weeks to talk markets and trades. It's an incredibly intimate group so spots are limited.
Over the intermediate term, consumer discretionary is on top, rallying more than 40% off the summer lows.
So this is one of the areas where I’m searching for strength right now.
It’s the traditional top-down exercise for picking stocks.
The best way to go about it is to use the relative trends and drill down from sector, to industry, and eventually all the way to the individual component level.
While doing this today, I was flipping through my discretionary industry charts, and the relative ratio for Homebuilders really stood out.
Here it is retesting a massive base breakout level from above.
This is the Dow Jones Home Construction Index $ITB relative to the Discretionary Sector SPDR $XLY.
If the ratio digs in and bounces higher here, this is a structural trend reversal for the homebuilders versus their peer group.
The relative trend for homies vs the broader market looks similar. We’re talking about multi-decade bases that are just now resolving higher.
For the market to experience a meaningful correction, we need to see clear signs of defensive rotation—and so far, that hasn’t happened.
In the bond market, U.S. Treasuries are viewed as the defensive play, especially compared to their High Yield counterparts.
It’s the same concept in equities when you compare Consumer Staples to the broader S&P 500. If the environment favors risk-taking, both Treasuries and Staples should underperform.
Overlaying the Treasuries versus High-Yield ratio (IEI/HYG) with the Staple vs S&P 500 ratio (XLP/SPY), you’ll notice they move in the same direction.
Currently, both are trending lower and making new lows, signaling no defensive positioning from bond or equity investors.
As long as these lines keep trending down and to the right, there’s nothing to worry about for risk assets. But if they start to turn higher, that would be a key warning sign of trouble ahead, potentially...
Here's the recording and the chartbook from the third Breakout Multiplier Mastermind class.
Here, we go deep into the anatomy of a Breakout Multiplier trade, from idea generation, including system mechanics and trade executions, to risk management, including position sizing and, of course, selling the double.
One of my junior analysts (Rick! He's the Man!) brought a stock to my attention that is in an attractive sector that could fly under the right conditions.
Add to this that there is a high short interest and there is "meme" stock potential, and this could really be an upside portfolio-buster for us.
EcoR1 Capital, a biotech-focused hedge fund, made waves today with a substantial Form 4 filing.
The fund reported a purchase of $2,278,811 worth of Zymeworks $ZYME, increasing its ownership stake to 22.61%.
It’s worth noting that EcoR1 has a strong track record of identifying winners in the biotech space, often making concentrated bets on companies with transformative pipelines or innovative therapies.
Here’s The Hot Corner, with data from January 15, 2025:
On another note, Phillip Frost, CEO of OPKO Health Inc $OPK, disclosed the acquisition of 500,000 shares, continuing a pattern of insider buying.
Sector rotation is the lifeblood of a bull market.
We're seeing Small Cap Financials $PSCF begin to weaken to red while the other financial ETFs are still green.
It's positive to see that despite this recent weakness in financials, the Large Cap ETF $XLF has failed to hold its breakdown and is back above support.
This is a key theme right now, where breakdowns are failing. Of course, this is positive information for bulls.
Rotation is the Lifeblood
If we're in the context of a bull market, it wouldn't be surprising to see all these rotations under the surface.
An area that needs to be discussed are commodities. We're in a super cycle and there's plenty of areas to profit. JC and Jason Perz discussed exactly this in a brief video, it's got a bunch of great insights.
One of our favorite setups occurs when a stock breaks a key level, fails to follow through, and then reverses sharply in the opposite direction.
These patterns are known as “shakeouts”, and the best ones set the stage for powerful breakouts.
It is no surprise these shake n’ go setups have earned us the quickest doubles. They’ve also delivered some of our best trades in 2024.
When we notice something working, we keep doing it.
This week, we saw a lot of breakdowns failing, and shaking traders out before ripping higher. We jumped on the opportunity and put a new trade on the Regional Banks ETF $KRE.
After hitting fresh two-month lows Friday, it’s reversed higher and trapped the bears this week.
The bounce is resulting in a textbook “scoop n’ score” setup—just as momentum is shifting in our favor. The best trades start working right away like this.
In this scan, we look to identify the strongest growth stocks as they climb the market-cap ladder from small- to mid- to large- and, ultimately, to mega cap status (over $200B).
Once they graduate from small-cap to mid-cap status (over $2B), they come on our radar. Likewise, when they surpass the roughly $30B mark, they roll off our list.
But the scan doesn't just end there.
We only want to look at the strongest growth industries in the market, as that is typically where these potential 50-baggers come from.
Some of the best performers in recent decades – stocks like Priceline, Amazon, Netflix, Salesforce, and myriad others – would have been on this list at some point during their journey to becoming the market behemoths they are today.
When you look at the stocks in our table, you'll notice we're only focused on Technology and Growth industry groups such as Software, Semiconductors, Online...
Because of that, the infrastructure and construction industries are booming.
Think of the billions (trillions, in some cases) of dollars in funding the U.S. government passed recently.
Bills like the Inflation Reduction Act and Jobs Act have fattened the pockets of corporations and their shareholders.
Primoris Services is one of those corporations. Its shares have soared 150% over the last year, and revenue and earnings have reached new record highs.
They're riding the tailwinds of significant secular trends.
Q4 2024 was the best earnings reaction ever for $PRIM:
In addition, the stock has been rewarded for its earnings reports in three consecutive quarters and has rallied in the last seven out of nine quarters.
The bottom line is the market likes what this company is doing, and so do we.
Here's how we're trading the $4.4B industrial stock, $PRIM:...