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This Company Dominates Golf Technology: It's Growing Revenues By 32% Y/Y 📊🏌️

February 20, 2025

We love to golf around here, even though we lose a lot of golf balls. But we're not the only ones.

Garmin $GRMN designs and manufactures a variety of fitness smartwatches. This includes a watch for golfers.

The technology is super cool. It's like having a caddie on your wrist.

They've programmed damn near every golf course in the world into this device. This shows golfers various things like distances to greens, hazards, and doglegs.

In addition, they embedded swing-tracking technology into the watch. This analyzes swing speed, tempo, club path, and more.

The bottom line is that this company is doing something right, and the market is noticing.

On Wednesday, they reported a double beat, and the reaction was super positive. The stock rallied over 12% and had a reaction score of 5.3.

The fitness segment (which includes the watches) is growing revenues by 32% Y/Y. This is extraordinary growth.

It wasn't just about the last quarter's results. The management team raised its forward guidance and increased the dividend by 20%.

The market loved everything about this report, and the reaction reflects that.

Let's talk about what...

The Daily Number

The Daily Number 💯 Thursday, February 20, 2025

February 20, 2025

Today's number is... 15

My custom Equal Weight Bellwether Stock Index, comprising 15 components, has reached year-to-date highs.

Here’s the chart:

 

Let's break down what this table shows:

  • The blue line is our custom Equal Weight Bellwether Stock Index price, and the stocks within the index are Alcoa, Apple, AMD, Amazon, Boeing, Caterpillar, Walt Disney, FedEx, General Electric, General Motors, Johnson & Johnson, JPMorgan Chase, McDonald's, Walmart and Exxon Mobil. 

The Takeaway: Bellwether stocks are large, well-established, and widely followed companies. These 15 stocks act as an excellent barometer for the stock market as a whole, and in healthy bull markets, bellwether stocks usually move upwards, and that’s exactly what's been happening for the past 2.5 years.

These 15 stocks give us valuable insights into whether overall market conditions are shifting. Currently, this index continues to rise steadily and has been consolidating in a constructive manner. Until we observe a change in this pattern, we should maintain...

Alfonso’s Daily Note

The Prescription for Small Caps?

February 19, 2025

Health Care is one of the largest sectors in the Russell 2000, making up 17%—just behind Financials at 19% and Industrials at 17.5%. 

That makes it a key player in the small-cap space, often overlooked but packed with information.

I often use this sector to gauge where small boys are headed next.

After a brutal drawdown in 2022-2023, the Small-Cap Health Care ETF $PSCH is finally knocking on the door of a major trend reversal.

 

This is the same pattern we saw in major indexes and tech stocks early last year—massive bases resolving higher, marking the beginning of new bull trends.

You can see how this pattern has evolved in PSCH during this cycle.

It started with a downward-sloping 200-day moving average and a bearish momentum regime, keeping these stocks under pressure. But as buyers stepped in and demand overwhelmed supply, momentum shifted. The moving average flattened, then...

The Strazza Letter

Cathie is Back

February 19, 2025

They said it was game over for these stocks.

They’ll never see those valuations again.

They are just stories. They don’t have profits.

They can’t survive a rising rate environment.

We’ve heard it all about speculative growth stocks over the past few years.

Cathie Wood and the entire ARK Invest strategy has been lambasted by the media. 

You’ve seen the cover stories. They tried to destroy her. 

But Cathie’s ARK didn’t wreck. It survived the storm. 

And I think it’s bigger than that. I think the most speculative, highest risk, longest duration equities are about to have their time in the sun again. 

Everything I’m seeing suggests we are entering that part of the cycle where the worst stocks become the best stocks. 

...
All Star Options

[Options Premium] An Earnings Boost Can Bust This Box Higher

February 19, 2025

Today's trade is in a name that JC liked on his recent Mid-Month conference call.

The stock is hanging around the upper end of a "box" it's been in, just below all-time highs. And with earnings coming up in a couple of weeks, it feels to me like it's just waiting for that "all clear" catalyst to allow it to break higher.

I'm going to get positioned now.

2 to 100 Club,
All Star Charts Premium

2 to 100 Club (02-19-2025)

February 19, 2025

From the desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza

Welcome to The 2 to 100 Club.

In this scan, we look to identify the strongest growth stocks as they climb the market-cap ladder from small- to mid- to large- and, ultimately, to mega cap status (over $200B).

Once they graduate from small-cap to mid-cap status (over $2B), they come on our radar. Likewise, when they surpass the roughly $30B mark, they roll off our list.

But the scan doesn't just end there.

We only want to look at the strongest growth industries in the market, as that is typically where these potential 50-baggers come from.

Some of the best performers in recent decades – stocks like Priceline, Amazon, Netflix, Salesforce, and myriad others – would have been on this list at some point during their journey to becoming the market behemoths they are today.

When you look at the stocks in our table, you'll notice we're only focused on Technology and Growth industry groups such as Software, Semiconductors, Online...

Options Paid to Play

[Options P2P] Daily Digest 2/19/25

February 19, 2025

In today’s Daily Digest, we’ll review the following:

  1. New position in TLT.
  2. No adjustments are needed today.
  3. Closed XLV (loss) and USO (profit).
  4. Current status of open campaigns.
  5. Volatility Snapshot.

Let’s dig in!

Hot Corner Insider

Director Robo Reports a $10 Million JBHT Purchase

February 19, 2025

Today's insider action starts with a bold move at J.B. Hunt $JBHT, where director James Robo disclosed a purchase of nearly $10 million.

RA Capital Management reported an original 13D showing a 23.7% stake in Sionna Therapeutics $SION. 

The biotech-focused hedge fund has a strong track record in early-stage investments, making this one to watch.

Among its largest holdings are Ascendis Pharma $ASND, Vaxcyte $PCVX, and Janux Therapeutics $JANX.

Here’s The Hot Corner, with data from February 18, 2025:

 

Meanwhile, Pinetree Capital Ltd just filed a Form 4 for TruBridge $TBRG, totaling more than $3 million.

Last but not least, Farallon Capital Partners made moves in both Aramark $ARMK and New York Times $NYT, raising its ownership to above 5% in each.

The Nvidia of Utilities: Consistent Blockbuster Earnings Are Fueling This Company's Ascent 📊🔥

February 19, 2025

Constellation Energy $CEG just released another blockbuster earnings report.

The company exceeded the top end of its guidance range for the second consecutive year.

In addition, they are returning money to shareholders at a rapid clip. Last year, they repurchased $1B in common stock.

Moreover, CEG increased the annual dividend by 25% last year and plans to grow the dividend by another 10% this year.

For the 11th consecutive year, they were the United States' largest producer of emissions-free energy. 

It's safe to say that Constellation is the Nvidia of "AI Utilities." It's a fantastic company!

Let's talk about what else happened 👇

Here are the latest earnings reactions from the S&P 500: 

*click the image to enlarge it

As you can see, Entergy had the best earnings reaction on Tuesday, and Medtronic had the worst. 

Constellation Energy was the largest company to report. It reported mixed results and rallied 2.6% with a reaction score of 0.3. It was muted.

Now, let's dig into the data and talk about some of the best and worst earnings reactions 👇

CEG is flirting with...
The Daily Number

The Daily Number 💯 Wednesday, February 19, 2025

February 19, 2025

Today's number is... 587

With the S&P 500 index reaching a new all-time high yesterday, this current bull market has persisted for the past 587 trading days.

How much longer can this run continue? 

Here is the table:

 

Let's break down what this table shows:

  • The green box represents all of the bull markets dating back to 1950. A bull market is defined as a rally of 20% or more that follows a drop of 20% or more.
  • The red box represents all of the bear markets since 1950. A bear market is defined as a drop of 20% or more that follows a rally of 20% or more.

The Takeaway: There is nothing more bullish than hitting all-time highs.

Yesterday's all-time high marks the second all-time high for the S&P 500 index in 2025. Over the last 587 trading days, this bull market has delivered a remarkable return of 71.4%. However, it’s important to note that the average bull market lasts around 1,138 trading days and typically achieves a return of 153%. Consequently, this bull market, while strong, is still below the...

All Star Charts Premium

The Short Report (02-18-2025)

February 18, 2025

From the Desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza

When investing in the stock market, we always want to approach it as "a market of stocks."

Regardless of the environment, there are always stocks showing leadership and trending higher.

We may have to look harder to identify them depending on current market conditions. But there are always stocks that are going up.

The same can be said for weak stocks. Regardless of the environment, there are always stocks that are going down, too. 

We already have multiple scans focusing on stocks making all-time highs, such as Hall of Famers, Minor Leaguers, and the 2 to 100 Club.

We filter these universes for stocks that are exhibiting the best momentum and relative strength characteristics. 

Clearly, we spend a lot of time identifying and writing about leading stocks every week, via multiple reports.

...

Alfonso’s Daily Note

I’m Bullish Europe

February 18, 2025

I'm in the UK visiting my sister for a couple weeks, and I have to tell you—I love it here.

The vibes, the peace, and the sense of adventure just hit different. It never gets old to visit Europe. There are so many incredible places, rich with history and culture, all packed close together.

But for me, it's hard not to think about how these European indexes are moving lately.

They’re all ripping. 

From the all-time highs in Germany and the UK to big structural trend reversals in Italy, Spain, and Greece, investors are embracing risk, and it's showing up across the board.

Unlike in the U.S., where tech dominates, these European indexes are built differently. They have a ton of financials, industrials, and even utilities. That’s just how it works here.

...

All Star Options

[Options Premium] Most Traders Will Hate This Trade

February 18, 2025

...and that's precisely why I love it.

While me and the All Star Charts gang have been pounding the table on China for several weeks now, it is still a mostly hated and certainly misunderstood trend. But that's mostly because people are reading the political headlines and ignoring the only thing that doesn't lie to us -- price.

So I'm putting on a trade that might take some heat, and I'm in it to win it.