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The Hall of Famers (03-07-2025)

March 7, 2025

From the desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza

Our Hall of Famers list is composed of the 150 largest US-based stocks.

These stocks range from the mega-cap growth behemoths like Apple and Microsoft – with market caps in excess of $2T – to some of the new-age large-cap disruptors such as Moderna, Square, and Snap.

It has all the big names and more.

It doesn’t include ADRs or any stock not domiciled in the US. But don’t worry; we developed a separate universe for that. Click here to check it out.

The Hall of Famers is simple.

We take our list of 150 names and then apply our technical filters so the strongest stocks with the most momentum rise to the top.

Let’s dive right in and check out what these big boys are up to.

Here’s this week’s list:

 

*Click table to enlarge view

We filter out any laggards that are down -5% or more relative to the S&P 500 over the trailing month.

Then, we...

Feeding the Bull: Why Grocery Stores Are Winning Big 📊🐂

March 7, 2025

Grocery stores are so hot right now! 🥵

Skyrocketing egg prices? No problem! Just pass the extra cost onto the consumer.

New tariffs on avocados from Mexico? No problem! Just pass the extra cost onto the consumer.

You get the point... These companies have tremendous power, and the market loves it.

Kroger $KR is one of the largest grocery store chains in the United States, and they've been rewarded for 13 out of its last 17 earnings reports.

This is as good as it gets.

The company reported mixed results on Thursday but rallied amidst a broad market selloff. It was very impressive.

Let's talk about what happened 👇

Here are KR's earnings stats: 

*click the image to enlarge it

As you can see, Kroger missed its top-line expectations but beat the bottom line. The market rewarded it with a 2% rally and a 3.86 earnings reaction.

It was fabulous.

Now, let's dig into the data and talk about the technical setup 👇

KR is consistently rewarded for reporting earnings: 

Kroger grew its total sales by 1.5% in 2024, but the real growth comes from its media business, which...

Hot Corner Insider

Steve Cohen's Point72 Takes a 5% MBLY Stake

March 7, 2025

The most significant insider transaction on today’s list comes from one of the most prominent hedge fund managers on Wall Street.

📌 Point72 Asset Management, led by Steve Cohen, disclosed a 5.00% stake in Mobileye $MBLY through an initial 13G filing. 

Cohen’s track record makes this a move worth watching closely.

And when a firm of Point72’s caliber takes a sizable stake, it often signals strong conviction in the company.

Here’s The Hot Corner, with data from March 6, 2025:

 

Click the table to enlarge it.

📌 Director Kevin O’Byrne made a bold move, purchasing 6,500 shares of International Flavors & Fragrances $IFF.

📌 Last but not least, two U.S. Congress members, John Boozman and Greg Landsman, each purchased $15,000 worth of Amazon $AMZN.

...

ETF Power Rankings Archives

🔎 Cracks Emerge in the Bull Market

March 7, 2025
📊 Daily ETF Overview 

We're noticing many important cyclical groups beginning to transition to red, indicative of the lingering risk aversion impacting the U.S. markets right now.

The Semiconductor $XSD and Homebuilders ETF $XHB are two perfect examples.

 

Homebuilders $XHB are potentially forming a longer-term head and shoulders top.

While they sit on a strong level of support and we'd be surprised to see the ETF melt straight through this level, the fact this important group has transitioned to red points to growing cracks in this bull market.

 

Likewise, Semiconductors $XSD are also selling off very hard right now.

While they remain stuck in the middle of a long-term range, this does point to a weakening of market breadth among important risk-on groups.

 

In a market environment such as this, being selective remains more important than ever. The industry with perhaps the greatest risk in a looming trade war is the consumer.

JC Parets and retail-expert Jeff Macke went live in a special strategy session to discuss exactly this - the best stocks to buy in the face of a trade war.

You can unlock...

ETF Power Rankings Archives

🔎 Consumer Stocks Need to Stop Going Down

March 7, 2025
📊 Daily ETF Overview 

A number of more defensive sectors, like Consumer Staples $XLP, Real Estate $XLRE, and Health Care $XLV are transitioning to green as U.S. markets sell off. This points to the growing risk aversion from investors as money rotates into lower beta and safer equity plays.

We're at a key conjecture between more significant drawdowns in risk groups or buyers stepping in to defend key levels. Last week I pointed to the Consumer Discretionary ETF $XLY retesting its breakout level at the 2021 highs.

Prices continue to work lower in the short-term, and now is when buyers must step in to defend this level.

 

As evident by the recent dip in this chart, consumer stocks are shifting fast.

There's a lot of headline risk right now with tariffs and trade wars, and there are bound to be significant winners and losers in this space in the coming months.

It's more important than ever to be selective in this group, so that's why retail-expert Jeff Macke is going live at 4pm today (Thursday) where he’ll break down the biggest moves in retail and reveal his model portfolio.

...

The Daily Number

The Daily Number 💯 Friday, March 7, 2025

March 7, 2025

Today's number is... 5%

The S&P 500 has now experienced a 5% correction.

Here’s the chart:

 

Let's break down what the chart shows:

  • The blue line in the top panel is the S&P 500 index price.
  • The gray bars in the second panel are the number of days prior to the start of a 5% correction.
  • The yellow bars in the third panel are the number of days prior to the start of a 10% correction.
  • The red bars in the fourth panel are the number of days prior to the start of a 20% correction.

The Takeaway: As of yesterday, the S&P 500 has pulled back 6.6%. It took 142 trading days for the S&P 500 to experience a 5% correction, which last occurred in August 2024.

So, what’s next? A 10% correction would bring the S&P 500 down to 5,529. It has been 337 trading days since we last witnessed a 10% correction. This level would essentially return the S&P 500 to where it was at the time of the last 5% correction.

Next is the possibility of a 20% correction, which would bring the S...

All Star Charts Premium

Junior Hall of Famers (03-06-2025)

March 6, 2025

From the Desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza

We love our bottoms-up scans here at All Star Charts. We tend to get really creative when making new universes as we want to be sure they will deliver us the best opportunities the market has to offer.

However, when it comes to this one, it couldn't be any simpler!

With the goal of finding more bullish setups, we have decided to expand one of our favorite scans and broaden our regular coverage of the largest US stocks.

Welcome to The Junior Hall of Famers.

This scan is composed of the next 150 largest stocks by market cap, those that come after the top 150 and are thus covered by the Hall of Famers universe. Many of these names will someday graduate and join our original Hall Of Famers list. The idea here is to catch these big trends as early on as possible.

There is no need to overcomplicate things. Market cap is a quality filter at the end of the day. It only grows if price is rising. That's good enough for us.

The bottom line is it is a bull market. We...

Alfonso’s Daily Note

How Bearish Is This?

March 6, 2025

A simple moving average is a lagging indicator that technicians use to help with the trend recognition process. It smooths out the erratic day-to-day action and shows us the mean price over a stated period.

A rising average is indicative of uptrends, while a falling average is indicative of downtrends.

Moving averages can also be used to analyze a market's internals.

One of my favorite ways to use them is to measure the number of stocks holding above or breaking below their long-term mean.

If a stock is above its 200-day, it’s probably not in a downtrend.

The chart below shows the S&P 500 overlaid with the percentage of NYSE stocks above their 200-day moving average.

 

This gives us a broad view of what is going on beneath the hood. 

During strong and healthy bull markets, I expect the indicator to remain elevated.

...
Options Paid to Play

[Options P2P] Daily Digest 3/6/25

March 6, 2025

In today’s Daily Digest, we’ll review the following:

  1. No new positions today.
  2. Adjustment to XLE position.
  3. No exits since the last report.
  4. Current status of open campaigns.
  5. Volatility Snapshot.

Let’s dig in!

Breakout Multiplier

We Are Shorting BTC

March 6, 2025

This post was originally for paid members only. It has since been unlocked for informational purposes and does not constitute financial advice.

If you're not a member, sign up here.

We’re going to take a shot on the short side and make the bet BTC completes this top and legs lower from here.

If it rolls over, this would be a textbook retest from below, and we should have a perfect entry.

 

Volatility is moving higher and we’re going to lean in the direction of the tactical trend. 

We’re also leaning in the direction of everything else in crypto right now. It’s ugly out there. We’ve seen similar tops like this complete and break to the downside in recent weeks.

This setup is too good to pass up.

We’re buying...

Hot Corner Insider

Director Quinn Reports a $9.6 Million PR Purchase

March 6, 2025

A wave of insider transactions rose up from the energy sector yesterday.

📌 Permian Resources $PR, Diamondback Energy $FANG, Murphy Oil $MUR, and Park Hotels & Resorts $PK all saw fresh buys. 

But the most significant move came from PR, where director William J. Quinn put down $9.6 million.

📌 Meanwhile, over in trucking, Old Dominion Freight Line $ODFL EVP and CFO Adam N. Satterfield just stepped up with a Form 4 filing revealing a purchase of $432,260.

When a CFO puts their own money in, it’s worth paying attention—they know the numbers better than anyone.

Here’s The Hot Corner, with data from March 5, 2025:

 

Click the table to enlarge it.

📌 Skeena Resources $SKE saw a 13G filing, with Helikon Investments increasing its stake from 7.81% to 10.67%. 

📌 Last but not least,...

Cybersecurity Stocks Get Hacked by the Bears! 🖥️🐻📉

March 6, 2025

The biggest and best cyber security stocks haven't been rewarded for great earnings reports this quarter.

A few weeks ago, Palo Alto Networks $PANW reported a double beat, but it was beat down.

On Tuesday evening, CrowdStrike $CRWD reported a double beat, but it closed 6.33% lower on Wednesday.

This is a significant change in character from the recent past when these stocks were some of the hottest in the market.

PANW and CRWD recently rallied after 10 and 5 consecutive earnings reports, respectively.

This shows how much the market used to like what they had to say in their earnings reports. 

The tables have turned for these stocks. The market is now consistently punishing them for reporting earnings.

We have a lot to unpack today, so let's talk about what else happened 👇

Here are the latest earnings reactions from the S&P 500: 

*click the image to enlarge it

As you can see, Brown-Forman $BF.B had the best reaction score on Wednesday, and Crowdstrike $CRWD had the worst.  

The stock with the largest market capitalization was CRWD, and the smallest was Campbell's $CPB.

...

Hot Corner Insider

Key Retail Stocks to Watch

March 6, 2025

The other day, I wrote about how the Consumer Discretionary Sector $XLY is testing a critical polarity level.

This is one of the most risk-on groups in the market.

Bulls want to see these consumer stocks hold the line—if they do, and the market rebounds, XLY should be a good place to be.

And when we talk about consumers, we have to talk about retailers. 

Some of the largest retail stocks in our universe are at or near key levels right now. 

Let’s dive in and talk about some of our favorites:

First up, the largest retailer in the world—Amazon $AMZN.

 

In January, chief congressional whale Nancy Pelosi bought between $250K–$500K worth of stock. 

Say what you want about her, but when Nancy...

ETF Power Rankings Archives

🔎 Nasdaq Breaks Down

March 6, 2025
📊 Daily ETF Overview 

The big insight here is that equity markets failed to follow through on their strength to close last week.

The Nasdaq 100 ETF $QQQ, for instance, is now breaking below a key level of support. Unless buyers step in right now, there is elevated downside risk in stocks in the short-term.

 
The Daily Number

The Daily Number 💯 Thursday, March 6, 2025

March 6, 2025

Today's number is... 5

The S&P 500 has experienced five consecutive days of moves exceeding +1% or -1%.

Here’s the chart:

 

Let's break down what the chart shows:

  • The blue line in the top panel is the S&P 500 index price.
  • The black line in the middle panel indicates consecutive days when the S&P 500 experienced a daily movement of +1% or -1%.
  • The red line in the bottom panel is the S&P 500’s 52-week drawdown.
  • The vertical gray lines indicate consecutive days when the S&P 500 experienced a daily movement of +1% or -1% is greater than 5.

The Takeaway: We have experienced five consecutive days of 1% movements, either up or down, in the S&P 500. This marks the longest period of market volatility since August of last year. 

During this current period of volatility, we have seen a consistent trend of more stocks reaching new lows than new highs, alongside a significant rise in bearish market sentiment.

As shown in the chart, these volatile...

The Strazza Letter

The Big Level for Stocks

March 5, 2025

Today, we made a checklist of the most important charts in the market. 

We came up with about 20 key levels that, if broken, would suggest the end of the bull market.

Our list covers things from the major averages to crypto, and even some commodities and relative ratios. 

There are so many big levels being tested right now. In many cases, they are the prior-cycle highs, which means violations will result in some nasty failed breakouts.

We’re going to track them all closely and weigh the evidence. As more and more of these levels give way, we will turn increasingly bearish.

But, for me, one chart matters so much more than the rest over the short-term. Actually let’s just call it three, since it is the same situation for all of them.

Here’s a look at the S&P 500, Nasdaq 100, and Dow Industrial Average all digging in at their VWAPs from the August lows. These are the most important stock market indexes in the world.

 

They are all testing crucial support and rebounding in synchrony.

We’ve seen this story before. This won’t be...