We’ve heard it all about speculative growth stocks over the past few years.
Cathie Wood and the entire ARK Invest strategy has been lambasted by the media.
You’ve seen the cover stories. They tried to destroy her.
But Cathie’s ARK didn’t wreck. It survived the storm.
And I think it’s bigger than that. I think the most speculative, highest risk, longest duration equities are about to have their time in the sun again.
Everything I’m seeing suggests we are entering that part of the cycle where the worst stocks become the best stocks.
Today's trade is in a name that JC liked on his recent Mid-Month conference call.
The stock is hanging around the upper end of a "box" it's been in, just below all-time highs. And with earnings coming up in a couple of weeks, it feels to me like it's just waiting for that "all clear" catalyst to allow it to break higher.
In this scan, we look to identify the strongest growth stocks as they climb the market-cap ladder from small- to mid- to large- and, ultimately, to mega cap status (over $200B).
Once they graduate from small-cap to mid-cap status (over $2B), they come on our radar. Likewise, when they surpass the roughly $30B mark, they roll off our list.
But the scan doesn't just end there.
We only want to look at the strongest growth industries in the market, as that is typically where these potential 50-baggers come from.
Some of the best performers in recent decades – stocks like Priceline, Amazon, Netflix, Salesforce, and myriad others – would have been on this list at some point during their journey to becoming the market behemoths they are today.
When you look at the stocks in our table, you'll notice we're only focused on Technology and Growth industry groups such as Software, Semiconductors, Online...
With the S&P 500 index reaching a new all-time high yesterday, this current bull market has persisted for the past 587 trading days.
How much longer can this run continue?
Here is the table:
Let's break down what this table shows:
The green box represents all of the bull markets dating back to 1950. A bull market is defined as a rally of 20% or more that follows a drop of 20% or more.
The red box represents all of the bear markets since 1950. A bear market is defined as a drop of 20% or more that follows a rally of 20% or more.
The Takeaway: There is nothing more bullish than hitting all-time highs.
Yesterday's all-time high marks the second all-time high for the S&P 500 index in 2025. Over the last 587 trading days, this bull market has delivered a remarkable return of 71.4%. However, it’s important to note that the average bull market lasts around 1,138 trading days and typically achieves a return of 153%. Consequently, this bull market, while strong, is still below the...
I'm in the UK visiting my sister for a couple weeks, and I have to tell you—I love it here.
The vibes, the peace, and the sense of adventure just hit different. It never gets old to visit Europe. There are so many incredible places, rich with history and culture, all packed close together.
But for me, it's hard not to think about how these European indexes are moving lately.
They’re all ripping.
From the all-time highs in Germany and the UK to big structural trend reversals in Italy, Spain, and Greece, investors are embracing risk, and it's showing up across the board.
Unlike in the U.S., where tech dominates, these European indexes are built differently. They have a ton of financials, industrials, and even utilities. That’s just how it works here.
While me and the All Star Charts gang have been pounding the table on China for several weeks now, it is still a mostly hated and certainly misunderstood trend. But that's mostly because people are reading the political headlines and ignoring the only thing that doesn't lie to us -- price.
So I'm putting on a trade that might take some heat, and I'm in it to win it.
The percentage of world markets above their 50-day moving average has surged to 86%. But how strong are these trends?
Here’s the chart:
Let's break down what the chart shows:
The black line shows the percentage of world markets above their 50-day average.
The red line shows the percentage of world markets that have a 50-day average greater than their 200-day average.
The Takeaway: The key development here is that global breadth is improving, which is typically supportive of US stocks. Currently, the percentage of world markets above their 50-day moving average has reached its highest level since September of last year. This recent increase in global breadth readings suggests that the underlying short-term strength in the market is healthy, potentially presenting short-term opportunities.
While this is a promising starting point for world markets, the overall trend strength of most world markets remains weak. To clarify how I identify a strong uptrend: is when the 50-day moving average is above the...
Something we've noted in recent weeks is how the United States is falling down the list. Unsuspectedly, we think this is actually rather bullish.
This is because American equities aren't weak - quite the opposite! They're trading at all time highs.
Instead, we're seeing more countries beginning to participate. This points to a growing number of opportunities forming outside the United States; this widening of global breadth is bullish from a macro perspective and suggests this is a global trend, not just a domestic one.
Quantifying this, while the US is still in the top half of the power rankings table, its position has been falling for many weeks now.
The same industry groups are continuing to lead, as pictured by the big block of green on our table. This once again points to the efficacy of erring on the side of relative strength; when an ETF flips green it has a tendency to stay green.
Interestingly, silver and gold miners have migrated higher on the table.
Zooming out, Silver looks to be completing a long-term breakout and catching higher to Gold.
This is clearly a significant tailwind for these ETFs.