From the Desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza

When investing in the stock market, we always want to approach it as "a market of stocks."

Regardless of the environment, there are always stocks showing leadership and trending higher.

We may have to look harder to identify them depending on current market conditions. But there are always stocks that are going up.

The same can be said for weak stocks. Regardless of the environment, there are always stocks that are going down, too. 

We already have multiple scans focusing on stocks making all-time highs, such as Hall of Famers, Minor Leaguers, and the 2 to 100 Club.

We filter these universes for stocks that are exhibiting the best momentum and relative strength characteristics. 

In today’s Daily Digest, we’ll review the following:

1. No new positions today. 
2. Adjustment to XOP position.
3. No exits since the last report.
4. Current status of open campaigns.
5. Volatility Snapshot.

Let’s dig in!

We're now well into Year 3 of this bull market. 

So the question becomes: Is this fresh breakout the beginning of the next leg higher for equities?

Or is this market behavior evidence of exhaustion and it's time to get out?

Let me remind you of the "Fab 5" charts from the beginning of 2024 that helped determine whether we were starting a new leg higher this year or if it was time to bail.

The breakouts coming into this year, specifically in Broker Dealers, Technology, Industrials, Homebuilders and Semiconductors were the most important...

Bitcoin is surging toward $90,000.

Memecoins are ripping across the board. 

DOGE is up over 100% since the election.

BTC miners are squeezing higher.

Everyone is talking about shitcoins I’ve never heard of.

NFTs are back.

It’s all working in crypto land right now. As it turns out, the ultimate election trade was in digital assets, and not the traditional market.

We recently discussed gold achieving its second target since it put the finishing touches on a massive base earlier this year.

It wasn't clear how the price would react to our target, but sure enough, the sellers showed up right on cue.

But the weight of the evidence continues to suggest this bull market has legs and it's better to spend our time looking for buying opportunities, not selling opportunities.

Let's talk about the recent price action and what it means for our portfolios:

We're in the midst of a fierce leg higher for risk assets.

The S&P 500 is making new all-time highs, speculative stocks are on fire, small caps are ripping, and Bitcoin is well on its way to $100k.

As a result, many of our recent positions are multi-baggers.

Let’s review a few of them.

Last week, we put on some trades in Bitcoin miners as we believed they were ideal vehicles to ride the post-election rally in crypto.

As part of this strategy, we picked up $MARA 12/20 $25 calls and $CLSK 11/29 $15 calls. We paid about $1.15 for each.

We were already long MARA and RIOT calls with an 11/22 expiration. There is a juicy short interest in all of these names.

We liked MARA so much that we wanted to double down on it and...

It's easy to over-complicate things. 

I generally try to avoid that. Today's trade might be the simplest thing I do: follow a trend.

When a chart is going from the bottom left to the upper right, who am I to call a top in something like that? What kind of arrogance must I have to think I'm the one who can call the turn?

Let somebody else be the hero. I'm going to follow the trend until it ends.

In today’s Daily Digest, we’ll review the following:

1. No new positions today. 
2. Rolled XLI to December options.
3. Exited XLB and USO at profit targets.
4. Current status of open campaigns.
5. Volatility Snapshot.

Let’s dig in!

From the Desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza.

Welcome back to Under the Hood, where we'll cover all the action for the two weeks ended November 8, 2024. This report is published bi-weekly, in rotation with The Minor Leaguers.

What we do here is analyze the most popular stocks during the week and find opportunities to either join in and ride these momentum names higher, or fade the crowd and bet against them.

We use a variety of sources to generate the list of most popular names.

There are so many new data sources available that all we need to do is organize and curate them in a way that shows us exactly what we want: a list of stocks that are seeing an unusual increase in investor interest.

Click here for a behind-the-scenes look at our process.

Whether we’re measuring increasing interest based on large institutional purchases, unusual options activity, or simply our proprietary lists of trending tickers, there’...

With the Stock Market making new all-time highs every month, you would think that American consumers would be a little more optimistic.

You would think...

The S&P500 keeps hitting new all-time highs. Same for the Dow Jones Industrial Average and the Nasdaq100.

More recently the S&P600 Small-caps, Dow Jones Transportation Average and Bitcoin all joined the New All-time highs list.

And yet...

Sentiment is still way down in the dumps.

The University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment data goes all the way back to the 1950s. So this isn't some kind of random johnny-come-lately poll.

There's real data here that reiterates how bull markets end with too much optimism, but thrive throughout periods with too much pessimism.

Currently, it's the excess pessimism that continues to drive the returns in Stocks,...

The most notable insider transactions in our list is from APMH Invest, which disclosed a $46 million purchase in Noble Corporation $NE via a Form 4 filing. 

This acquisition increased APMH Invest’s stake in Noble to 18.92%, reflecting a strong vote of confidence in the company.

APMH Invest, part of A.P. Møller Holding, is known for its strategic, long-term investments in sectors like energy and logistics, prioritizing stability and sustainability.

When these big players come in, it's always worth keeping an eye on the stock.

Here’s The Hot Corner, with data from November 11, 2024:

The CEO of Centene Corporation $CNC, Sarah London, revealed the acquisition of 4,117 shares, equivalent to $250,313.

When CEOs start putting their own money on the line, it signals they’re bullish on the future, expecting big things.

Director David Sachs...

Bitcoin is gearing up for its next major bull run — and while the spotlight is often on BTC, there are plenty of other opportunities to capitalize on this market shift. Beyond Bitcoin itself, many investors are turning their attention to the broader crypto ecosystem, and especially to Bitcoin miners, which tend to outperform during bullish cycles.

In recent weeks, we've been diving into a number of altcoins that offer outsized returns, but today, I want to focus on a different angle: the growing opportunities in Bitcoin mining stocks. These stocks have historically done well when Bitcoin rallies, and as we start to see signs of the next bull market, I believe miners could play a crucial role in boosting returns.

A key metric to watch is the ratio between Valkyrie’s Bitcoin Miners ETF ($WGMI) and Bitcoin ($BTC). When this ratio rises, it signals that Bitcoin mining stocks are outpacing Bitcoin itself — a trend that often precedes a broader surge in mining stock performance.

Over the past two years, miners have lagged behind Bitcoin, but recent movements in this ratio suggest we may be on the cusp of a reversal. If history holds, Bitcoin miners could once...

In recent months I flipped to a more bullish tone.

I was anticipating a return of the bull market, but the only uncertainty lied in when it would come back.

But with Bitcoin breaking to all time highs following the U.S. election, we have unequivocally began the next leg higher in crypto markets.

Bitcoin just broke out to new all-time highs. The new bull market in Crypto is alive and well.

BTC actually closed yesterday at the highest level in history, and now has a market cap of over $1.5 Trillion.

For perspective, there are only 5 companies in the S&P500 that are worth more that Bitcoin: Nvidia, Microsoft, Apple, Alphabet and Amazon.

Every other stock is worth less than Bitcoin. As we say around here, Bitcoin is the 8th component of the "Magnificent 8".

But as we know from prior cycles, as well as Bitcoin performs, it doesn't even come close to the real winners.

Remember the last Crypto Bull Market? DogeCoin rallied 37,000% in a little over a year to reach an $85 Billion market-cap:

The goal this cycle is to catch moves like this.

And we're already seeing it.

Dog Wif Hat recently rallied 7000% in just 3 months to reach a market-cap of $4.5 Billion:

Looking out even longer, Popcat already gained 34,000% over the past 10 months to reach a current market-cap of over $1.4 Billion.

That would be almost a mid-cap if it was a stock:

And the latest monster that's been...

This is the weekly post that aggregates all the charts we put together throughout the week and organizes them all into one, easy to flip through deck.