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Most New Highs in 3 years

November 7, 2024

The market has spoken.

They either love Donald Trump as your President. Or maybe it's that they're just happy the election is over.

Either way, this consolidation has now resolved in the direction of the underlying trend: Up.

In fact, yesterday we saw the most amount of stocks on the NYSE hitting new 52-week highs that we've seen in years.

 

Breadth expansion is not evidence of deteriorating market participation. It's by definition, the exact opposite of that.

More and more stocks and sectors making new highs is something you historically see in bull markets. So this is perfectly normal.

Remember when they kept telling you that this was only a "bear market rally" because the small-cap indexes hadn't made a new high yet?

They were lying to you.

Besides, the S&P600 Small-cap Index just closed at a new all-time high yesterday. 

 

Imagine waiting for this index to make new highs before deciding to participate in this bull market?

There are serial killers out there who actually think this way. These people are sick in the head.

The much more reliable confirmation indicator, which dates back to...

Hot Corner Insider

CEOs of HTLD, CCO, and INTC Are Buying Their Own Stock

November 7, 2024

In a notable display of confidence, the CEOs of Heartland Express $HTLD, Clear Channel Outdoor Holdings $CCO, and Intel Corporation $INTC each stepped up with fresh buys of their own stock, according to recent Form 4 filings.

When top executives reach into their own wallets, it’s often a signal they’re betting on one specific thing: They believe the stock is undervalued and primed to move higher.

Here’s The Hot Corner, with data from November 6, 2024:

 

In another Form 4, Director William Galtney Jr. reported a hefty $1 million buy in Everest Group Ltd $EG, snapping up 2,870 shares.

Hot Corner Insider

This Is an Outstanding Chart

November 6, 2024

Thanks to everyone who joined us for today's Hot Corner Insider Weekly Strategy Session.

With the election behind us, banks and crypto proved the ultimate "Trump Trade."

And Customers Bancorp Inc $CUBI stands out as a regional bank, entering the crypto space with blockchain-based payments to attract fintech and crypto clients seeking secure, fast transactions. 

This is an outstanding chart:

 

CUBI is up more than 18% today, and we believe it still has room to run.

All Star Options

[Options Premium] If We Get Rotation Here...

November 6, 2024

During our Analyst meeting this morning, I observed the relative "calm" in the Chinese Large Cap ETF $FXI and how, while down for the day, it is still holding in a range it's been in for over three weeks now. 

And we love how it's holding this range as a healthy consolidation from its late September breakout.

There's nothing about this chart that is bearish to me:

 

When I mentioned the relative bargain in long-dated call options in $FXI, JC said: "If we get rotation into China, this trade could make our year.

I agree.

Here's the Play:

I like buying $FXI January 2026 35-strike calls for approximately $3.00 per contract. This premium I pay today is the most I can lose in this trade and I'll size my position accordingly.

Meanwhile, I'm going to take an active roll in reducing my cost basis in this trade by selling nearer-term calls against it. This might not be for everyone (JC said he's not going to do it, for example).

Today, I'll also sell December 35 calls against this position for an approximately 52-cent credit. And I'll look to roll...

Options Paid to Play

[Options P2P] Daily Digest 11/6/24

November 6, 2024

In today’s Daily Digest, we’ll review the following:

  1. No new positions today.
  2. Adjustment to KRE position.
  3. No exits since the last report.
  4. Current status of open campaigns.
  5. Volatility Snapshot.

Let’s dig in!

All Star Charts Gold Rush,
All Star Charts Premium

[Bonus Gold Rush] Is This A Bubble?

November 6, 2024

We all know it has been a bull market, but how sustainable is it?

In today's Gold Rush video, we addressed the elephant in the room. Is this a bubble?

Additionally, we revisited some of the greatest bubbles of all-time and tied it back to the current environment.

One of our favorite historic bubble examples is silver in the late 1970s:

 

The Hunt brothers controlled around 1/2 of the world's supply of silver and sparked a 900% rally over the course of 2-years. Over the next few years, silver retraced the entire preceding move as it collapsed by 90%.

Finally, we discussed a few strategies for riding a bubble higher and profiting from all the madness.

Here's the video:

 

As always, let us know what you think.

All Star Charts Team

2 to 100 Club,
All Star Charts Premium

2 to 100 Club (11-06-2024)

November 6, 2024

From the Desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza

Welcome to The 2 to 100 Club.

In this scan, we look to identify the strongest growth stocks as they climb the market-cap ladder from small- to mid- to large- and, ultimately, to mega cap status (over $200B).

Once they graduate from small-cap to mid-cap status (over $2B), they come on our radar. Likewise, when they surpass the roughly $30B mark, they roll off our list.

But the scan doesn't just end there.

We only want to look at the strongest growth industries in the market, as that is typically where these potential 50-baggers come from.

Some of the best performers in recent decades – stocks like Priceline, Amazon, Netflix, Salesforce, and myriad others – would have been on this list at some point during their journey to becoming the market behemoths they are today.

When you look at the stocks in our table, you'll notice we're only focused on Technology and Growth industry groups such as Software, Semiconductors, Online...

Betting Markets Got it Right

November 6, 2024

As expected, Trump won by landslide. It was never even close. 

The public markets and the betting markets had it right. 

The pollsters either got it wrong or they just lied to you. But neither of those is acceptable.

I never trusted those weirdos anyway, because why would I?

The way I learned it was that it's not about what they say, but about what they do. Money talks. And the money was right again.

In this case, the market even underestimated the wide margin of victory in last night's election. And the markets have adjusted accordingly.

Dow Futures are up another 1200 points this morning, after putting up a 500 spot during yesterday's session. 

Bitcoin is up 5000 points to new all-time highs this morning

Tesla is up 12% and the Trump SPAC $DJT is up 30%.

So even through the betting markets got the President right, the Tradfi markets hadn't quite priced it all in yet, as we're seeing over the past 24 hours.

Here's the thing: None of us know what the market is going to do. That's the beauty of all this. We are working with incomplete information. And we know that going in. It's ok. 

But there...

Alfonso’s Daily Note

Market Poised for a Year-End Rally

November 5, 2024

Today is Election Day in the U.S., and while the spotlight is on the political arena, this is the perfect time to ignore the noise and focus on what really matters

When it comes to seasonality, some of the best signals that we get are when the market does not follow the historical pattern or seasonal trend.

The chart below shows the S&P 500's average monthly returns during election years.

 

As you can see, we’re leaving the September and October window, which are the two worst months, and entering...

The Strazza Letter

Election Night Charts

November 5, 2024

Happy election day, everybody!

I’m excited for tonight. Know why?

I am so ready to put this election behind us.

Last week, I did an interview with Nerd Wallet about investing around the election. You can read the article on their site

I brought a bunch of charts along for it so figured I’d share some with you.

As we prepare for the voting booths to close and brace for the market's reaction tonight, here are some things I’m thinking about.

I think the uptrends that are already in place, will remain in place. Maybe some post-election volatility will give us the opportunity to get into these trends at a discount.

As for some of the ranges that are in place...

Options Paid to Play

[Options P2P] Daily Digest 11/5/24

November 5, 2024

In today’s Daily Digest, we’ll review the following:

  1. No new positions today.
  2. Adjustment to XLV position.
  3. No exits since the last report.
  4. Current status of open campaigns.
  5. Volatility Snapshot.

Let’s dig in!

Election Day: What You Need To Know

November 5, 2024

We're entering the final stretch of the year.

The market is a discounting mechanism and already looking forward beyond the election and into Q1 2025.

We know. And that's why we had our LIVE Monthly Charts Strategy Session last night. These are the sectors and stocks we're buying right now, and arguably even more importantly, which sectors and stocks we're selling.

This is a CANNOT MISS Conference Call, but it's reserved only for Premium Members for ASC Research. ...

Hot Corner Insider

Jennison Associates Reports a 10.4% PHAT Stake

November 5, 2024

The most significant insider transaction of the day was disclosed in a 13G by Jennison Associates LLC. The investment company reported an initial 10.40% stake in Phathom Pharmaceuticals $PHAT.

Jennison manages approximately $194 billion in assets across diverse portfolios.

They invest in high-growth areas like biotechnology. And when they make a big splash like this, it’s worth paying attention to.

As you can see, PHAT is resolving higher from a bearish-to-bullish reversal pattern:

 

As long as we’re above the 2023 high, the breakout is intact and the path of least resistance is higher.

Here’s The Hot Corner, with data from November 4, 2024:

 

Arturo R. Moreno, the owner of Major League Baseball’s Los Angeles Angels, acquired nearly 2 million shares of Clear Channel Outdoor Holdings, Inc. $CCO, worth about $2.78 million.

Last but not...

The Strazza Letter

How Not To Position For the Election

November 4, 2024

With everyone trying to find a cute election trade, my plan is to keep doing what I always do.

Whether it is Trump or Harris come Tuesday night… or even some sort of contested, disaster scenario… I want to be positioned with the primary trend.

The best piece of advice for investors right now is that reactions to political events - like reactions to most events, tend to occur in the direction of the underlying trend.

In other words, once the election volatility comes and goes… I bet the same trends remain in place.

Things that have already been trending higher will probably keep heading higher.

And things that have been trending lower will probably keep falling.

Elections happen. Presidents come and go. But trends persist. 

One of the big trends we’ve been riding higher this year is the bull market in precious metals.

Let’s recap…

First, it was Gold:

 

Breaking out of a massive base to new all-time highs earlier this year.

And more recently, it was Silver:

 

Breaking...